The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

November weather: More changeable later

Forecast issued 01/11/2024

Temperature

Slightly above average

Precipitation

Below average, particularly in the south

1/11 to 7/11

Mostly dry

Settled and dry weather continues through the week in most of the UK. The exception is the northwest, where there could be wet spells, but even there rain amounts are forecast to be below the norm. Cloud amounts vary, but clear periods could lead to some chilly nights. Daytime temperatures will often be close to or above average, although slow lifting fog may peg them back on some days. 

8/11 to 14/11

More mixed later

After a settled start it probably begins to turn changeable in the northwest of the UK. The more mixed weather steadily extends down across the UK, though amounts of rain probably remain small in the south and east. It will perhaps turn windy at times in the north and west. Daytime temperatures close to or above the norm, but chilly nights remain possible, especially early on.

15/11 to 30/11

Often unsettled [Forecast confidence is low]

The risk of showers or longer spells of rain and strong winds increases, but more settled spells remain possible. The wettest and windiest conditions are likely to be in the north and west. Temperatures fluctuate, overall they are expected to be close to or above average. However, the likelihood of colder snaps rises towards the end of the period, leading to a growing chance of frost and hill snow in the north.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

© TheWeatherOutlook - https://www.theweatheroutlook.com