theweatheroutlook

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Jiries
19 July 2022 15:38:15


Its still edging up. 36.8c. There can be no frustration expressed today about the 'what could have been'.


It aligned perfectly.


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Must be frustrating for many station's holders who want to see 40C have to live with 39'er figure.   Now 38C as it been 100F for 5 hours. 

nsrobins
19 July 2022 15:38:54


 


Your profession is irrelevant. 


My main point is that people are entitled to hold different beliefs. I am not commenting regarding GW being a fact or fiction. What I am saying is that people can hold a different opinion to what is regarded as the consensus, and should NOT be belittled for doing so. I'm sick and tired of internet people cancelling debate that does not conform to their own belief, or labelling those who disagree as deniers or idiots. 


I say again, I am personally not making any claim either for or against GW. I am merely lauding the right of an individual to have an opinion. It is up to the community to then discuss and debate opinions. Closing down said debate does nothing to further anyone's understanding. 


I'll say no more on the matter.


 


Originally Posted by: Tom Rance 


Why is this conversation still going on when you have been advised to move it elsewhere?

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Retron
19 July 2022 15:39:47


GFS has been superb on this spell. Not Arome's finest hour though.


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


MetO / UKV was the winner for me today. It was the only model which showed a marked cooldown due to a change of airmass this afternoon. It remains to be seen whether it's correct that temperatures will shoot up once the sea breeze switches off!


GFS has 40C for Leysdown right now. It was a degree under yesterday (37 vs 36 in reality), but today was spot on (38) - until that sea breeze set in. It's now 29C, which is what was forecast by the Met Office forecast. The Met Office then has it warming back up to 35C in an hour and 20 minutes - we'll see!


(Here in Sittingbourne it's been near enough 40C. Hotter than when I was in Vegas, with a discomfiting "slightly hard to breathe" feeling going across the playground at work. The car said 41 as I made the short journey to the hotel down the road. It was making a racket, too, all sorts of whirring noises once I turned off the ignition!)

Leysdown, north Kent
Tom Rance
19 July 2022 15:42:09


 


Why is this conversation still going on when you have been advised to move it elsewhere?


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Probably because people keep bringing it back up and making false assertions, misinterpreting what I say that's why?! 

Tom
Cambridgeshire, Ouse Valley, 40ft AMSL.
dagspot
19 July 2022 15:42:36
So did anywhere reach the much fanfared 41-42 or is it the only ‘just’ 40 at LHR?
Neilston 600ft ASL
Bertwhistle
19 July 2022 15:42:57

Risen to 38.1c on the south coast now. Remarkable.
Shot up in the last hour!!

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


 


That's amazing. Whereabouts- is that W Sussex?


Edit - no that was a silly question; I can se the high temps along the kent & E Sussex coast.


Brilliant.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
CreweCold
19 July 2022 15:43:11

So did anywhere reach the much fanfared 41-42 or is it the only ‘just’ 40 at LHR?

Originally Posted by: dagspot 


40.3 in Lincolnshire 


Crewe, Cheshire
55 metres above sea level
NDunwell
19 July 2022 15:43:26


 


Why is this conversation still going on when you have been advised to move it elsewhere?


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Calm down. Surely he has the right to reply....and I don't even agree with his stance, but you could quite easily have asked the others taking shots at Tom to move their comments elsewhere too!

Nick
Ruislip (2 miles from the Northolt recording station)
LeedsLad123
19 July 2022 15:45:00
I remember in July 2015, we had a max temp of 33C. That was our first time exceeding 90F since August 2003.

To then exceed 100F 7 years later is astonished.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
briggsy6
19 July 2022 15:45:07

The forecast late peak for Yorkshire/Lincolnshire failed to occur then?


I have the immortal words of Dave Angel, Eco Warrior ringing in my ears today: "The world is burning and we're not learning."

Location: Uxbridge
NickR
19 July 2022 15:45:07
I'm going to remove comments when I get to the laptop.

In the meantime, no more comments from anyone on this (off) topic.
Nick
Durham
[email protected]
BYF1
  • BYF1
  • Advanced Member
19 July 2022 15:45:31


Boys boys boys not today.....pleaseeeee 


I'm beside myself here with excitement.


36.8c near the SE coast ! 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


 


Madness, like the south of France. We peaked at 35c on the downs and still 34-35c, not bad for 580ft asl and less than 3 miles from the coast.

North downs, near Folkestone, 177m asl.
Retron
19 July 2022 15:45:32

Chart showing the airmass change. IF (big if) the wind changes enough to bring the hot airmass back, it'll be another spectacular rise.


Leysdown, north Kent
Tom Rance
19 July 2022 15:45:44

Hovering just above 40c. 


Not something you say every day in the UK! 

Tom
Cambridgeshire, Ouse Valley, 40ft AMSL.
Rob K
19 July 2022 15:45:48

So did anywhere reach the much fanfared 41-42 or is it the only ‘just’ 40 at LHR?

Originally Posted by: dagspot 


Also a couple of 40s in Lincolnshire area, and temps may still be rising there. 


 


Not sure anywhere will hit 41 but high 40.X is a possibility.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
LeedsLad123
19 July 2022 15:48:29


The forecast late peak for Yorkshire/Lincolnshire failed to occur then?


I have the immortal words of Dave Angel, Eco Warrior ringing in my ears today: "The world is burning and we're not learning."


Originally Posted by: briggsy6 


Coningsby in Lincolnshire reached 40.3C, probably still rising. Bramham near Leeds was 39.5C so could have exceeded 40C. 

Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Rob K
19 July 2022 15:49:52
After a clear blue sky day the cloud is finally starting to appear in the west. The hot spell is soon to come to an end here (for now). But looking at the models (especially GFS control run on 6Z) it may not be the last!
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
fairweather
19 July 2022 15:50:44


 


Your profession is irrelevant. 


My main point is that people are entitled to hold different beliefs. I am not commenting regarding GW being a fact or fiction. What I am saying is that people can hold a different opinion to what is regarded as the consensus, and should NOT be belittled for doing so. I'm sick and tired of internet people cancelling debate that does not conform to their own belief, or labelling those who disagree as deniers or idiots. 


I say again, I am personally not making any claim either for or against GW. I am merely lauding the right of an individual to have an opinion. It is up to the community to then discuss and debate opinions. Closing down said debate does nothing to further anyone's understanding. 


I'll say no more on the matter.


 

Originally Posted by: Tom Rance 


On a lighter but not dissimilar note I was just sent this:-


"Meteorologists and doctors all over the place have warned people to be careful ahead of the extreme heat because there is a serious danger to health, but Gary from Basildon just said on Twitter that it's all bollox. Now I don't know who to believe" 

S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
19 July 2022 15:52:37


 


Why is this conversation still going on when you have been advised to move it elsewhere?


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


I deleted my reply voluntarily but there are some standards we have to maintain credibility. 

S.Essex, 42m ASL
Tom Rance
19 July 2022 15:54:02


 


On a lighter but not dissimilar note I was just sent this:-


"Meteorologists and doctors all over the place have warned people to be careful ahead of the extreme heat because there is a serious danger to health, but Gary from Basildon just said on Twitter that it's all bollox. Now I don't know who to believe" 


Originally Posted by: fairweather 


Gary from Basildon might be on to something 


 


Below 40 for the first time in a few hours. Simply remarkable. I had to take a few pictures to document the day. It could be a once in a lifetime event. I feel that's it for today record wise - an astonishing day in all respects, especially given the totally clear blue skies!

Tom
Cambridgeshire, Ouse Valley, 40ft AMSL.
Bertwhistle
19 July 2022 15:55:13

After a clear blue sky day the cloud is finally starting to appear in the west. The hot spell is soon to come to an end here (for now). But looking at the models (especially GFS control run on 6Z) it may not be the last!

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


 


We had a beautiful little hot shower Rob about half an hour ago when the temp had already dropped from 34 to 32 under growing cloud. I could smell the dust first- reminded me of W Africa at the end of the dry season it was so strong. There's a name for it- petra something. A few distant rumbles, now it's cleared & the sun is back but it's damp now- smells and feels like a horticultural greenhouse.

Bertie, Itchen Valley.
Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.
Ally Pally Snowman
19 July 2022 15:55:45

Quite a lot over 40c now at 4pm. All v close though 40.3c the high

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Rob K
19 July 2022 15:56:20


 


 


We had a beautiful little hot shower Rob about half an hour ago when the temp had already dropped from 34 to 32 under growing cloud. I could smell the dust first- reminded me of W Africa at the end of the dry season it was so strong. There's a name for it- petra something. A few distant rumbles, now it's cleared & the sun is back but it's damp now- smells and feels like a horticultural greenhouse.


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


 


Petrichor!


 


Met Office tweet: 29 stations have beaten the old record!


 


https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1549421924052246534


 


Looks like 5 have beaten 40C too: Northolt, Heathrow, Kew Gardens, St James's Park, and Coningsby. No mention of Waddington there.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Ally Pally Snowman
19 July 2022 16:00:43


 


 


Petrichor!


 


Met Office tweet: 29 stations have beaten the old record!


 


https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1549421924052246534


 


Looks like 5 have beaten 40C too: Northolt, Heathrow, Kew Gardens, St James's Park, and Coningsby. No mention of Waddington there.


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


So many 39s and 40s somewhere will be 41c surely 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ulric
19 July 2022 16:02:40


We had a beautiful little hot shower Rob about half an hour ago when the temp had already dropped from 34 to 32 under growing cloud. I could smell the dust first- reminded me of W Africa at the end of the dry season it was so strong. There's a name for it- petra something. A few distant rumbles, now it's cleared & the sun is back but it's damp now- smells and feels like a horticultural greenhouse.


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


Anticipating this kind of event later, I've just been up the ladder and turfed all the spiders out of the rain gauge.

To doubt everything or to believe everything are two equally convenient solutions; both dispense with the necessity of reflection. - Henri Poincaré

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