Yep, 11c here this morning and most nights look like they will be below 15c so I think it will be quiet comfortable particularly as the sun is a bit weaker so the house may not be warmed up as much.  30c is possible perhaps on Friday or Saturday but for the most part just below. 

Yes 30.0 on the nose which is the 10th 30C of the summer. 

And talking of 30, today will be the 30th day of the summer to reach 80F, which is a good old-fashioned benchmark for a hot summer day. 

Also the opposite is also a myth in that a La Nina is good for cold winters,21-22 being the most recent. It is worth noting though that prolonged dry periods and persistant high pressure tend to occur during La Nina.

The met office have issued an amber warning for extreme heat issued from Thursday to Sunday for;

• East Midlands


• East of England


• London & South East England


• North West England


• South West England


• Wales


• West Midlands


• Yorkshire & Humber

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-08-11&id=47fce950-e67b-4271-9a07-92ba94c1934a&details

Yep, nothing super extreme but day after day of 30-32C

Do you have the stats for how many 28 and 29 days that summer had? Feels like we’ve got close but not quite to 30C a lot this year. Including possibly today?

Yes I put the data into a spreadsheet.

2022 (to 8 Aug): 25C+ 37 days, 28C+  23 days, 29C+ 16 days, 30C+ 10 days, 32C+ 5 days, 35C+ 2 days

2018 (to 8 Aug): 25C+ 51 days, 28C+  32 days, 29C+ 27 days, 30C+ 24 days, 32C+ 6 days, 35C+ 2 days

2018 (JJA): 25C+ 59 days, 28C+  33 days, 29C+ 27 days, 30C+ 24 days, 32C+ 6 days, 35C+ 2 days

So we would need every day from now till the end of August to reach 25C to beat 2018 on that score! However the GFS this morning would see us catching up on the 28C+ count, and probably catching up on many of the others (not to mention smashing the 35+!)

So Tim's feeling above is correct, only 10/23 28C days have hit 30, compared with 24/32 in 2018. Also shows how amazing 2018 was, 51/69 days so far had reached 25C!

Struggling a bit for a 30C today. Ross on Wye the highly hourly reading so far at 29.8

There's quite a bit of high cloud around here. Models suggested the west country would be the hottest today which is generally the case although south Wales is putting in a good shout too.

We now have a Met Office amber heat warning from Thursday to Sunday.  I know there was a heat health alert already, so I guess this is no surprise. 

30.1c in Ross on Wye today. 

Should be a  bit  easier to get to 30c from now on. 

Yes looks like 30.1 was the top today. Yeovilton also just made it to 30.0C.

Superb forecasting from the GFS temperature wise if you look at the uk wide picture

There are now signs in computer models that heat may continue into next week across some parts of the UK, especially the SE. And much uncertainty in who will get rain, how much/how little and when exactly. Local flash floods are certainly a risk. Humidity would also increase.

— Tomasz Schafernaker (@Schafernaker) August 10, 2022

I was forgetting the time zone  difference. Hotter than same time yesterday in the key spots.

GFS has somewhere just scraping a 33C but it’s been a tiny bit over in recent days so I’d guess the warmest spot will get something like 32.2C.

Out of curiosity in the rankings of the hot UK summers I have collected together the data where I can (the full daily data for 1976 for the entire summer seems impossible to find, so I have only got the 30C+ days there).

For info, listed as year, followed by days above 25C, 28C, 29C, 30C, 32C and 35C in the three summer months.

1976: ?, ?, ?, 17, 15, 5
1995: 61, 40, 31, 27, 12, 1
2018: 59, 33, 27, 24, 6, 2
2022: 38, 24, 17, 11, 5, 2 (up to 9 August).

1995 is still the daddy as far as I am concerned, with a whopping 27 days above 30C, and 40 above 28C. However when talking extreme heat duration (above 35C), 1976 is the champ for now.

After the coming week, I think 2022 is likely to take the "extreme heat" crown from 1976, but 1995 is still the overall summer to rule them all. Shame about the cruddy start to June though - 8 days in the first half of June 95 failed to even reach 20C!

So we could exceed 30C from today until Sunday here. That would make 9 days above 30C this year. I think that would be equal to/slightly higher than 1995.