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CalgaryExMetO
13 October 2012 00:37:47


Looks like you are in for a shock, but this is normal to Calgarian's anyway! Currently 23C at 3pm yet tomorrow you could see some snow according to the CBC weather.


http://www.cbc.ca/calgary/weather/s0000047.html


I doubt it will settle! - How are your tomatoes doing this year?


 


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


It did - but all gone now!  Tomatoes are also gone, I'm afraid.  The frost put paid to them.....

CalgaryExMetO
13 October 2012 00:47:35

Well, October has been different.  The snow has arrived, and also gone thank goodness.  But it's not summer no more...


Basically last week on the Tuesday we had a few flurries, amounting to nothing and did not settle.  This week we had a more determined cold arctic plunge, drizzle changing to flurries during the day Wednesday and overnight.  Thursday we awoke to a white world.  Fortunately a Chinook kicked in later on Thursday and we're back into something more Autumnal. 


This autumnal pattern sticks around for a while at least with temps in the mid-teens by day and low single figures by night.  Sooner or later one of these dips is going to stick and winter will have begun....


Peter


 


July 2012 - June 2013 Stats
Elevation: 1084m
Latitude: 51° 6' N
Warmest Temperature: 30.5c 09/07/12
Coldest Temperature: -5.7c 04/10/12
Days with thunderstorms: 8
Days with rain falling: 22
Days with snow falling: 3
Days with snow lying: 2
Maximum snow depth: 1" (3cm)
Current snow depth 0" (0cm)

ghawes
13 October 2012 11:21:18

Weekend greetings.


Fife is still here Stewart, although after serious flooding on the roads yesterday, everything is rather soggy. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-19935712


I love watching North American weather at this time of year, with Fall making inroads as Peter describes. Looks like a more notable chill might be headed for Calgary in a week or so's time. The models have been hinting at it and Brett's latest take on the ECM would back it up: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/new-weekly-weather-forecast-model-update/158491


Light snow has been coming and going on the Kimmirut cam of late but it's all white this morning again, might that be it for the winter? http://www.kimmirutweather.com/


Much further south there was some snow in northern and central Ontario and Quebec this week and on the back of that a widespread freeze this morning with even the major cities (Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal) all currently reporting sub zero readings.


The big story this weekend however is severe weather (including a tornado threat) over the Plains and into the Midwest - the second severe weather season is well underway. Dallas, Oklahoma City and St Louis all at risk: http://www.weather.com/news/weather-severe/severe-weather-tracker


Enjoying the playoffs, Stewart, been plenty of excitement even without the Blue Jays. I'm looking for a Tigers/Cards World Series!


Graeme
East Neuk of Fife



ghawes
17 October 2012 18:30:39

Accuweather have put out their Canadian winter forecast: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/canada-winter-2012-2013-forecast/266862


It's pretty restrained, which makes sense. Looks colder than last winter which was notably mild in general, and especially so across the Prairies.


Graeme
East Neuk of Fife



ghawes
21 October 2012 13:55:48


Looks like a more notable chill might be headed for Calgary in a week or so's time. 


Originally Posted by: ghawes 


And so it proved: http://wx.ca/?service=page/SkyCams Nice snowy Sunday morning in Calgary. There's more snow in the forecast too, especially later tomorrow. Temperatures will be chilly (probably subzero) all week as the cold hangs around. The western chill is more intense up in the Yukon: http://weatheroffice.gc.ca/city/pages/yt-16_metric_e.html


Quite a contrast to Southern Ontario where the low 20s look likely midweek and there's no more frost in sight for Hamilton or Toronto just yet.


Playoffs providing plenty of excitement Stewart, I think a Cards/Tigers World Series looks a good bet. I fancy Detroit. And Jays news too with John Farrell leaving to manage Boston - not a huge surprise, but will be interested to see who gets the vacant position.


Graeme
East Neuk of Fife



Ontario Snowman
22 October 2012 19:08:51

Pleasant day outside for Hamiltorians with sunshine and 18c, almost summerlike. Things becoming unsettled thru the night and into Tuesday as rain and possible Thunderstorms move in. High tomorrow of 21c/70f early, before falling later. As Graeme reported, the early taste of winter for now gone in the East of Canada at least and the outlook stays variable with temps between 14-20c across Ontario.


Further west, it's a different story and an early winter snowfall for Peter. Not sure if your happy about it or not Peter, guess the tomatoes have gone for another year by now. Must say that Western Canada is probably overdue a significantly prolonged cold spell compared to the quick snowfall then chinnock regime of the past few winters.


I'd take a significantly prolonged cold spell for Southern Ontario this winter. Signs are from the ever reliable  lrf's, that it could be colder and more wintery in the East this year.


The big weather story going forward this week is going to be TS Sandy which has developed near the Yucatan. This troublemaker could become the storm of the year maybe the storm of many a year for a widespread area from FL to ME and possibly impacting Atlantic & Eastern Canada. Any time you see Henry Marguisty talk about the infamous 'Perfect storm' it grabs your attention. This storm could also of course be blown out to sea by the jetstream and become a non-event, but it definately needs watching.


As for the Play-off's, ain't they been great Graeme? The Yankees getting zipped 4-0 by the Tigers was impressive and the NL final tied at 3-3 between San Fran & St. Louis has been good value also. I think a Cards/Tigers WS is a strong possibility and it could go to 7 there also if that happened.


Take Care

CalgaryExMetO
22 October 2012 23:58:32


Further west, it's a different story and an early winter snowfall for Peter. Not sure if your happy about it or not Peter, guess the tomatoes have gone for another year by now. Must say that Western Canada is probably overdue a significantly prolonged cold spell compared to the quick snowfall then chinnock regime of the past few winters.


Originally Posted by: Ontario Snowman 


Yep, I have this feeling that Winter is now here:


Warnings


City of Calgary
3:37 PM MDT Monday 22 October 2012
Snowfall warning for
City of Calgary continued

    Heavy snowfall tonight through Tuesday.

A strong low pressure system will build into Southern Montana tonight pushing warm moist air up against the Rockies generating heavy snow over Southern Alberta. The heaviest accumulations will start along the foothills early this evening and will spread eastward through the overnight period. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 20 centimetres are expected by Tuesday afternoon. Given the current track of the low heaviest snow should fall in the Claresholm and Brooks regions.


 


Snowfall warning in effect.


TonightCloudy. Snow at times heavy beginning early this evening. Amount 10 to 15 cm. Wind becoming north 20 km/h early this evening. Low minus 5. TuesdaySnow. Amount 5 cm. Wind northwest 30 km/h. Temperature steady near minus 5. Tuesday nightCloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries. Wind northwest 20 km/h becoming light near midnight. Temperature steady near minus 6. WednesdayA mix of sun and cloud. High minus 3. ThursdaySunny. Low minus 10. High minus 3. FridaySunny. Low minus 10. High plus 1. SaturdayA mix of sun and cloud. Low minus 9. High minus 2. SundayA mix of sun and cloud. Low minus 5. High plus 3.

 


 


You know what happens though Stewart - what starts in the West goes East eventually.

Roonie
23 October 2012 20:31:34

Orlando - Florida


Time is 16.40, temp is 28c, humidity is bearable (58% from the reports) - sunny, cloud cover is 3/8ths


Even Retron (Darren) might be comfortable (perhaps )...


Perfect Theme Partk weather!!!



 


 


Still Lurking.......

North Worcestershire
stodge
26 October 2012 16:20:17

Have just returned after two and a half weeks in the US. We arrived in Los Angeles on Saturday October 6th to cloudy skies but warm conditions and the following day went down to Manhattan Beach and enjoyed fine and sunny weather with temperaures in the mid-70s.


After a couple of days, we travelled to Palm Springs where we spent six days. After a fine and hot day, the weather changed markedly on the Thursday. A LP system, initially weak and disorganised off the Califoirnia coast, developed and moved inland on a southerly track crossing southern California bringing rain and thunderstorms to LA and much of SoCal. In Palm Springs, I saw thunder clouds over the mountains and heard thunder but in the resort itself we had a couple of drops of rain on a "cool" day for the area (maximum around 80F). There was a gusty NW'ly wind to0 accentuate the chill.


For those who don't know, Palm Springs has had an incredibly hot year with more than 120 days with maximum values above 100F. The area around Thermal, just to the east, is often the warmest part of the continental US. Anyway, after that mixed 24 hours, the weather returned to "normal" with clear skies and hot sunshine though temperatures were a notch below average with values around 91F though it was warming as HP developed over central California.


From Palm Springs, we moved up for a week to Vegas and enjoyed glorious conditions. Unbroken sunshine, light winds and low humidity with daytime maxima in the low to mid-80s and night temperatures comfortable in the mid-60s. For the final weekend, we moved from the Strip to Lake Las Vegas and the weather began to change as the HP began to weaken and move east in the face of a buckling jet stream and a strong trough from an active LP off the north California coast which came inland and developed a secondary feature over Montana.


We endured increasingly strong and gusty SW'ly winds with falling humidities but still fine weather. Coming back to LA on Tuesday, the wind on I-15 was noticeable but was indicative of a building HP cell over the Great Basin and the onset of a Santa Ana wind promising much warmer values for Southern California (Palm Springs back into the 90s, LA in the 80s) but a big fire risk with humidities in single digits.

Ontario Snowman
29 October 2012 20:40:10

Obviously the main news story is Hurricane Sandy right now and i know there's a dedicated thread to this on TWO so i won't get into specifics except to say that it now looks likely that Sandy will make landfall as a Cat 1 storm somewhere on the New Jersey shoreline between 5-8pm ET this evening. The effects of storm surge etc, will then be known. There has already been some flooding in coastal areas from this. Exceptionally poor weather for NYC and Philly, potentially life-threatening conditions on Long Island, NY later this evening and overnight.


Huge news story and will be throughout tomorrow.


Sandy is also affecting us here in Southern Ontaio as EC have now issued the following warning :



3:07 PM EDT Monday 29 October 2012
Wind warning for
City of Hamilton continued

Severe winds of 60 gusting up to 100 km/h beginning this evening.

This is a warning that potentially hazardous winds are expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions and listen for updated statements.

Hurricane Sandy is forecast to make landfall on the New Jersey shoreline this evening and then quickly transition into a strong post-tropical storm as it tracks slowly toward Central Pennsylvania.

Over parts of Southern Ontario, north to northeast winds associated with this storm will intensify this evening, with sustained winds of 60 km/h and gusts at times to 90. Winds may be even stronger in the Niagara and Sarnia regions, as well as over areas of higher terrain, where gusts over 100 km/h are possible.

Winds of this strength can break tree limbs and even knock over weak or shallow rooted trees. Some power outages are likely should any limbs or trees fall across power lines.

The winds will begin to ease below warning criteria by late Tuesday morning.


There has been a real autumnal feel over the past couple of days in the GTA. Over 36mm of rain over the past 48hrs in the City of Hamilton area, temps of 7c on Sat, 4c on Sun and just 4c this afternoon, borderline sleet or snow event territory if Sandy's outer bands were from a colder source. No snow is forecast for around here that is reserved for the Appalation mountains and WV. Conditions become milder from tomorrow but still alot of rain about, we just had a strong band of rain move through from E-W, almost unheard of around here!


October is going out with a bang!

Ontario Snowman
30 October 2012 19:54:26

Well, Sandy hit and hit hard for the U.S. Northeast and in particular for Coastal NJ & NY, some incredible images out of there and definately a once in a lifetime storm for millions of folks in these areas. However, Sandy or what remained of post-tropical Sandy paid Southern Ontario a visit overnight and the effects were felt here also across a wide area of the GTA. 1 woman was killed in Toronto last evening after a street sign collapsed on her and around 45,000 Torontorians awoke to no power this morning. Thousands in the Hamilton area including Dundas also woke to no power, this included me  and the Spec.com summerises well here - http://www.thespec.com/news/local/article/827368--power-restored-to-thousands-of-dundas-customers. We only just got our power restored being in that last bracket of outlying areas of the Dundas subdivision to be re-connected. Day off for me it was as a result, several problems also affecting local and statewide roads (mostly fallen trees) and GO Transit and Toronto Transit Commission services as a result of the weather.


Here below is a EC round-up of some of the highest wind gusts across the GTA and SouthWestern Ontario -


Location        strongest wind reported

Sarnia                  78 km/h gusting to 100 km/h
Ridgetown               80 km/h gust
London Airport          80 km/h gust
Kitchener               87 km/h gust
Oshawa                  87 km/h gust
Toronto Island          91 km/h gust
Toronto Pearson         80 km/h gust
Burlington              95 km/h gust
Port Weller             80 km/h gust
Qew by Stoney Creek  75-80 gusting to 96  (measured by storm spotter
                                           At 12.15 AM)
Point Petre             93 km/h gust
Western island         106 km/h gust
(in Georgian Bay)
Blue water bridge      121 km/h gust (about 70 metres above ground)
(Sarnia)


The figure there from Sarnia is extreme given elevation but not so extreme in context that for several hours overnight, Sarnia Airport recorded many periods of sustained wind speeds in excess of 70kph, that's well into Tropical Storm force territory.


The power outage for us also apart from it being associated with the storm and it's bigger picture, is also one of the longest spells without power that we've had here in Dundas in all my time in Canada, even with snowstorms and blizzards etc, Thunderstorms and the odd Tornado.


Sandy will be remembered around here for sometime, and for the people of the heavily populated East Coast - remembered forever.

tallyho_83
02 November 2012 14:30:48

If Hurricane Sandy wasn't enough to cause devastation, lost lives and chaos then what about the widespread snowfall event or blizzard that looks set to target the eastern seaboard of the USA for polling day on Tuesday 6th November - early next week!? - Looking at GFS and BBC graphics this looks like it could be a major snowfall event for eastern seaboard of the USA!!???


 



Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


ghawes
03 November 2012 11:48:16


If Hurricane Sandy wasn't enough to cause devastation, lost lives and chaos then what about the widespread snowfall event or blizzard that looks set to target the eastern seaboard of the USA for polling day on Tuesday 6th November - early next week!? - Looking at GFS and BBC graphics this looks like it could be a major snowfall event for eastern seaboard of the USA!!???


 



Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Weekend greetings all,


I took a break from the thread during Sandy as there was a dedicated thread and I did not feel I had anything to add that wasn't already being covered! What a storm that was. One interesting thing from a model watching point of view was how badly wrong the GFS modelled Sandy, continually wanting to take it out into the Atlantic before coming round to the ECM very late in the day.


Anyway as Tally points out another storm on the way, and although this one will just be a typical Nor'easter any storm on the back of Sandy is most unwelcome. However I don't think there will be much in the way of snow for the major I95 cities (Washington, Philli, New York, Boston) snow is more likely inland and to elevation. Here's Accuweather's take on it: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/another-storm-may-target-sandy/1000157 


After that midweek storm (if it does hit) things look like settling down in the beleaguered east, with the welcome possibility of high pressure and mild temps as the NAO rises.


In the meantime it's chilly in the eastern Great Lakes. Toronto should see highs in the low to mid single digits all week, but there should be some welcome sun, at least. Depending on the eventual track of the storm it's possible Montreal and Quebec City see some snow and areas to the east in Northern New England and eastern Quebec, western New Brunswick look a decent bet for an early season snowstorm.


Farther west it's been cold in Calgary of late and after a milder few days looks like the cold will return (to the Prairies too) late in the week ahead.


Enjoy the weekend everyone.


 


Graeme
East Neuk of Fife



tallyho_83
07 November 2012 21:18:16
I think this could be snow falling in Times Square:

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/ 

What would you say?

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


doctormog
07 November 2012 21:29:31

I think this could be snow falling in Times Square:

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/

What would you say?

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 



It doesn't look like it is snowing there at the moment but I suspect you are right when you said you thought you saw snow falling there a few minutes ago. The conditions and local reports sound right.
AIMSIR
07 November 2012 21:37:51

Definitely at least sleet showing up well on Duffy Square.
The stream keeps hanging though.


http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/

Hammer
07 November 2012 21:40:35
Sat at JFK Airport awaiting a BA flight to Heathrow. Snow is coming down hard and has settled to an inch or two. Not hopeful I'll get away on time. H
AIMSIR
07 November 2012 21:53:43
Hope you get off Hammer.
There are various forecasts from rain/snow mix to heavy snow.
Judging by the temp forecast any snow should be wet.
Hammer
07 November 2012 22:19:30
Thanks AIMSIR. Still falling heavily. It s wet but the rate is leading to steady accumulation. Wind is strong too. Still the lounge s nice!
doctormog
07 November 2012 22:26:04
The latest METAR (aviation report) from JFK confirms that over the last hour there has been an inch of snow settling on the ground and that the snow is continuing to fall (with mist).

Hopefully it should be sorted soon and you'll get on your way.

METAR: KJFK 072151Z 35018G24KT 3/4SM R04R/2600V3500FT -SN BR OVC005 01/M01 A2982 RMK AO2 PK WND 36026/2136 SLP097 SNINCR 1/1 P0012 T00061006 $

"SNINCR 1/1" suggests one inch of snow since the previous report with a depth of 1" in total
-SN BR is continuous light snow and mist
AIMSIR
07 November 2012 23:37:28

Mouse over to find a handy link for weather and delats at JFK.






(JFK) John F. Kennedy International Airport Weather


www.flightstats.com/go/Airport/weather.do?airportCode=JFK


Airport Name: (JFK) John F. Kennedy International Airport. Address: JFK Airport. City: New York NY, US. Last Updated: Wed, 07-Nov-2012 14:51:00 UTC ...

tallyho_83
08 November 2012 00:54:57

I think this could be snow falling in Times Square:

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/

What would you say?

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

It doesn't look like it is snowing there at the moment but I suspect you are right when you said you thought you saw snow falling there a few minutes ago. The conditions and local reports sound right.

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


 


Looks like there has been some snow and even settling in Times Square!! Looks like it has turned/turning to slush though looking at latest live webcam:


http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/


Once again Washington DC has missed the storm - Almost a non-event for Washington DC, Richmond, Delaware and Philadelphia etc!


 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


RustyRoo
08 November 2012 02:09:29

Breaking..


 


3+ inches of snow in central park breaks the cities earliest 3+ inch snowfall on record.


 


MLS cup Semi final at Red Bull Arena - match postponed due to snowfall.

ghawes
08 November 2012 07:57:19

Indeed, latest from Accuweather:


2:45 a.m. EST: Final totals came in for snow accumulation Wednesday. Record daily snow amounts fell in New York City; 4.3" of snow fell, breaking the record of 0.1" from 1878.


http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/live-noreaster-whipping-sandyr/1215332


Parts of Connecticut have had 10"+


I definitely called that one wrong for NYC!


Also, as an interesting aside: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/ct-talk-winter-storm-athena-1108-20121107,0,7467578.story 


Graeme
East Neuk of Fife



ghawes
08 November 2012 20:32:01

Meanwhile all the action is shifting out west with a snowstorm set to impact Alberta, The Prairies and into the Northern Plains of the US, with some severe weather (damaging storms) further south.


Calgary starting to look snowy: http://wx.ca/?service=page/SkyCams


Warnings are out: http://weatheroffice.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?ab12#ab12-405cweg-072400 


 


Graeme
East Neuk of Fife



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