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Nice at 500 espoodo gfs nose up from gfs good trend
constant ridge for last few days at day 10
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/hgtcomp.html
Certainly an upgrade for hot weather fans from this morning. I would imagine 32-34C in favoured spots on Friday and then 30C again next week.
Originally Posted by: Justin W
very good run of temps for london gfs untill end well above average
http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html
Loving this ensemble chart: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
Like the Himalayas of heat.
Originally Posted by: Rob K
Trends for more hot spells coming up those outliers at first then not a outlier anymore when more members start joining them.
Very good hot runs and August would be shaping up a very hot month.
oh shirt sorry better delete it not intended to mislead
quote=Matty H;519561]That piece Polar Low has linked is from 2010 I've noticed this quite a few times with various online rags. Old stories come up with the current date at the top. The giveaway was the bit about next Tuesday being the hottest day of the year
That piece Polar Low has linked is from 2010 I've noticed this quite a few times with various online rags. Old stories come up with the current date at the top. The giveaway was the bit about next Tuesday being the hottest day of the year
Originally Posted by: Matty H
Dont uderstand there is no date on it at all
T192 onwards from the ECM certainly looks lively - increasingly hot and humid before that, if you like that sort of thing.
With the trends fairly consistent on the big 3, some sort of period of hot/humid weather interspersed with thundery outbreaks is looking fairly likely - rinse and repeat on ECM, not checked GFS other than ENS but they scream hot plumes with rainfall to be decided.
Originally Posted by: Hendon Snowman
its gone feel like digging hole and all that thanks for pointing out Matty I guess it was funny in a way
Oh i thought it was the 500 mb charts Polar Low posted link to
Originally Posted by: Polar Low
had my cheap specs on thats my excuse anyway
Sorry guys unable to post my report across tonight but you can read it direct from my website on this link. As a clue 'thundery' is the message.http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk/Model-Analysis (2859336).htm
Originally Posted by: GIBBY
Sorry guys unable to post my report across tonight but you can read it direct from my website on this link. As a clue 'thundery' is the message.http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk/Model-Analysis(2859336).htm
Sorry guys, try this.
http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk/Model-Analysis(2859336).htm
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn6617.png
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn9017.png
Thursday and Friday are hot
Temps IMBY for the next few days
30c , 29c , 24c , 24c , 27c , 30c
Acooler weekend but still good temps
The models this morning have in general decided to have the troughs not digging to our SW quite so much longer term, with less of a Euro high.
GFS is the exception pre-FI.
This adjustment towards more energy going NE than beforehand is perhaps not what some were expecting, but since when did the models stride confidently in a given direction without stumbling about here and there? Now we can only wait to find out whether they were walking the way they wanted to before the stumble...
Based on recent experience, corrections to less energy going NE as the important sliding trough in question moves from 144h to 96h range would be typical - but that's by no means a guarantee!