Looking set to be a long day for us weather watchers as well as obviously for those who could/will be affected.
But I'm finding it odd that right now yr.no and xcweather , which I use to follow close range forecasting, are showing 19/20 m/s winds or 30 to 45 mph winds for this area and yet it is calm as a mill pond with sunshine and only passing showers. I forecasted there were going to be some sunshine anyway and I wasn't too sure about the showery part but with a 950 mb low pressure close by, I would be expecting the wind to be getting up by now as per the models.
Mind you, the GFS charts are showing the gustiness to peak at around 5 pm here but that coincides with a receding spring tide.
However, I guess there is that delayed reaction where the tidal surge work it's way eastwards over the Channel in the next 48 hours, so as our wind becomes a strong southerly tonight then perhaps that's when the tidal surge get to be felt at this end at 12 am midnight tonight, like a build up effect. Remember when the North Sea ultra spring tide occurred long since after the storm system had moved on? I got to see the spring tide but the weather had calmed down and it was bright with excellent light for photography.
I hope those who are in the high risk zone will get off with the minimum of problems, nothing worse than knowing about a storm system being on it's way and wondering how much damage and heartache it's going to bring.
I think the excitement of this kind of thing has now been replaced with worry and anxiety whereas a few years ago, I would be saying "Bring it on!"and end up feeling disappointed when nothing happened. Must be an age thing.
Edited by user
03 January 2014 10:48:51
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Reason: Not specified