..and at the other end of the country its been a fairly calm and bright day.

In the last 10 minutes the first gusts have stirred.

[quote=Medlock Vale Weather;649976]

Snow risk has reduced to 50% for here tomorrow night, but gone up to 70% early Friday. Wouldn't be surprised to see this downgrade again and like yesterday snow cover restricted to ground 300m plus where most people don't live. 

I suppose with the better funded state education system north of the border the BBC can use such academic jargon. They would't get away with that down here as it would be considered too elitist.

It's been very quiet and completely dry down here today, though the wind is picking up now.

In the past couple of days, every time the term "weather bomb" got mentioned, a mental image kept springing to mind. So, I had to put it to paper and this is what I came up with . . .

 Very good Ian 

Maybe some widespread snow fall from the midlands north by Friday

79" of snow in Norway. Not a bad total that.

Certainly getting a bit blustery but two things are working to my favour at the moment. 1) The Folkestone Rain Shield appears to be still working as it's remaining bone dry and 2) because the wind is coming from the south west, the built up hilly bit is having the effect of absorbing the worst of the gales.
 
However, it seems that Thursday night's event does have more of a punch to it AND it'll have more rain to go with it going by current model outputs. I guess at this point it's no good hoping/wishing for any kind of downgrades - but again, at least it'll be coming in from the south west rather than that annoying in-your-face south direction as far as I can see.

Yes, we lost the satellite signal for a few minutes it was raining so hard.

For Ian's benefit, we should keep an eye on the pendulum trough moving East across the N Midlands early Friday.
An adjustment upwards into a more closed system could deliver severe gales to the South between 00Z Fri and 09Z Fri, and on it's Northern edge some significant snow. One to watch.

Nice phrase. Yep as discussed elsewhere, certainly of interest and could cause issues in terms of both snow and powerful winds

My mates stuck on an oil rig off Shetland - Supposed to be seeing him on Saturday!

Interesting animated view of things http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-7.36,-4.83,261

A lot of snow piling up across Scotland by Thursday according to EURO4

My crayon drawings have returned. Snow risk for the entirety of 24 hours today. Note this map only is useful for low ground including towns and cities, snow risks for even a small amount of elevation will be virtually 100% today. Interpret this map as the probability of you seeing snow if you live in that region. And by snow I mean something the average guy on the street can agree with, not 2 slightly icy raindrops under a lamppost. This is one of the hardest snow maps I have ever done, because none of the models agree with each other, and neither do the snow benching parameters. Above all else though, I base my decision on the entire atmosphere, which revolves around the use of skew-t diagrams. The upshot is that if the winds were light the snow probability would be very high, as it is, we are just (but definitely) on the wrong side of marginal. The weird thing is, it will take hardly any elevation to change this, even 100m could be enough. So because of all of this the map is rather homogenous and topped out, there is no place in the UK that has a high risk of seeing snow today, but there is a widespread low risk. Note that by thursday we will be on the other side of marginal. 

Still looking like a significant snowfall early Fri am for Higher areas N Midlands and into N England generally.
Also the threat of a wind event S UK remains, with a deepening trough zipping across and closing as it exits into the N Sea. The phasing of this feature with the jet streak will determine the severity but as this stage an upper end event is low risk IMO.