Morning model watchers.
I took a break from model watching last night, had an early night, got 8 hours of sleep and have come back with a fresh pair of eyes.
As it was really, certainly up to the early part of Boxing day with mild air in the south being swept away from the south on Christmas Eve ahead of a bright and chilly couple of days with the risk of a few wintry showers in the north east. Aberdeen looks favoured at the moment for the odd flurry on the big day Doc. 
The rapidly deepening depression on the night of the 26/27th is becoming generally well modelled with the exception of the ECM. The GEFS continue to pick this up well.
In the wake of the depression there is the potential for some cold air, at least temporarily, in its wake with the risk of snow showers for exposed eastern and coastal locations and possibly more generally if the feature develops a wrap around occlusion or the track is further south.
Thereafter high pressure appears to settle close to the UK bringing us into a calm frosty period in a week's time, what happens to the high pressure thereafter is very much FI. The form horse would be for it to slowly ebb into Europe restoring the PV to Greenland restoring the recent pattern, however, there are some weak signals for an attempted ridge to Scandinavia, hence increasing the longevity of the colder spell into New Year.
Lots to watch..especially that potential nasty storm.
Have a good day.
Originally Posted by: Gusty