Recent soft hail shower with snow on it's back edge - settled on all surfaces as the air temp. was -1.3C before it arrived. Now +0.1C

Local lookeast forecast suggested quite a showery weekend starting in the early hours tonight. but unfortunately it did seem to be a wintry mix of rain, sleet and snow.

Buried in 2013/2014 winter?!? Buried in water maybe... Guessing you're thinking of 2012/13...

Funnily enough Mersey side didnt get buried.

Most i saw that year was abut 2.5 inches from one snowfall, and i think that was more than most got in my area... 7 miles away in Parts of West kirby on the coast got 5-6 inches on the 23 rd march.   They seemed to be just a bit closer to the intense snowfall in wales... strangely on the other side of the River Dee.

But apart from that we kinda missed out too.  I remember further in land towards Manchester had virtually no snow in parts from the mahoosive 23rd march blizzard.  

if i remember correctly alot of those slider lows  that year provided for us nothing more than a few snow squals and a dusting followed by a rapid thaw.

Still reckon it was a brilliant year though becuase the way the snow developed was so exciting.

Award this forecast a 60% chance of being roughly correct:

Developments in the last few hours, coupled with current dps and temps and the E4 WRF ppn charts, suggests some central regions and down into CS and SE England could see some snow overnight. A clump of showers of moderate intensity at times are due to run NNW to SSE and exit the SE around 8am, which would maximise the chances even in low altitude S areas given the lowest ambient air temps at that time.

Worth a watch if like me you're still to see a flake.

WRF ppn for 7am: http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/nmm-1-18-0.png?20-20

Ahem! Much as many in 'Tellins stamp their feet about it, St Helens is officially in Merseyside. And We had 4 separate snowfalls in the 12/13 winter - two of them (one in each of Jan & March were at least 10cm (the other in March was about 5cm)

OK, not buried, but we did rather well nonetheless.

25/01/13 (J8 M62, about 2 miles from MBY)

23/03/13 (about a mile from MBY, that's a snowdrift, blown off the adjacent field)

PS - still got lying snow here from last night's fall. It was only about 4cm max on the grass this morning, but still a covering - strangely even where the sun has been on it. All roads/pavements mostly clear, but widespread thin, icy covering on grass.

IMBY, IMBY! Nice one Neil, looks like it has some potential. On the initial burst yesterday evening we did well here and my altitude of circa 100masl helped (no settling at work, which has much lower altitude). Overnight, however, we had rain. So this must have coincided with higher 850s and DPs etc. anyway, hopefully tonight will be different as 850s will be lower again, so my altitude should help. I know it's not hugely high, but compared to many places in the SE its a good altitude. Unless you live right on the top of a hill like Mr Gaze. 

As to this spell, it looks to end up being over a week of cold, so heading into the prolonged category (what do we define as prolonged?), however the uncertainty in what will happen next clearly shows around the 7th Feb on the GEFS for the SE (and even then 850 average is circa -8c) which is well into FI. So too far into FI to predict with any certainty at all, so enjoy the next few days instead........😀

Just looked through my pic library, and the above is wrong.

There were three snowfalls in Jan 13 (depths approx.):

13/01/13 - 1cm

18/01/13 - 10cm

25/01/13 - 12cm

The WRF does indeed model the PPN to be at peak rate over C & S/SE areas - and I hope you get some snow, Neil.

In the interim, the radar shows it moving through Merseyside/Cheshire (Wirral's right in the firing line, the main PPN blob is too far west for here). Problem is, the coastal fringes are just too warm, and I think it will only be rain/sleet (maybe some hail) until it's a good 20-30 miles inland or with altitude (higher parts of Flintshire could get a few cm's)

All in all, though, the PPN seems to be ploughing through at a rate of knots, so I doubt any PPN will last for more than 30-40 mins.

Yeh we didnt get anywhere near that in 2013.. but it was a great year none the less, just down to the regularity of the snowfalls after xmas.  It actually felt like winter, becuase we got regular reliable snowfall - albeit for us not in great amounts.  But was the equivalent of a summer with lots of sunshine.

I remember the blizzard of march 23rd - in Ellesmere port it rained a mile down the road in every direction it was snowing.  Such an isolated area.  I wouldve been suicidal had i lived there.

Still dam and cold here in Wirral.  Not much to report.  Waiting for the real cold to hit tomorrow.  As Metoffice says - less marginal conditions arriving by Sat Afternoon - just intime for alot of dry weather :(

The snowfall before that was in December 2011, one snowfall of half an inch.

The one before that was in December 2010 when we had two falls, one of 3 inches and one of three quarters of an inch.

If you like I could go back to January 1977 when I started measuring snowfall depths.

Heavy snow shower passes through and its white over again!

Plenty showers backed up over Wales to come..

Heavy snow showers when I left Stoke tonight, roads were pretty bad, I had to change cars as I slid down the hill in one of them and it wasn't safe, so I opted for my smaller Citroen C2 which is great in snow.

Watching this closely