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http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015121806/gfs-0-210.png?6
Euroslug on the way out on this run. very different to the 00z
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East
The slug hangs in there. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015121806/gfs-0-348.png?6
Lets be honest, we have a cold pool in the north atlantic and and warm mid atlantic. There is only ever going to be one outcome from that.
Originally Posted by: warrenb
Perhaps you could elaborate. A Meto spokesman was telling us in October that the cold pool could lead to a colder winter than average.
The North Atlantic cold pool, is not what is was and has weakened a lot.
Originally Posted by: Charmhills
Not if it hasn't started
Originally Posted by: Sevendust
If this mornings ecm run comes off it would be a very wet Christmas One for the bin I think.
I'm still waiting for winter 2013/14 .......
Originally Posted by: Essan
LOL at ECM op. I think it was thrown in on purpose just to keep the site traffic going.
Odds on for a record breaking warm December
Classic
Looks pretty robust to me.
Which is what ????
You can't say that then leg it???
Clearly you can
Interesting ECM at day 10 but it's a big outlier.
Vs ENS anomalies
"Interesting ECM at day 10 but it's a big outlier. "
The Op may be an outlier, but hope springs eternal - I wouldn't trash it yet - let's see what further runs produce.
ECM op not a complete outlier at day 10. One or two even colder runs in the ensemble.
http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html
Originally Posted by: some faraway beach
Trendsetter ?
Originally Posted by: Fothergill
LOL but not without interest- even if the ENS as a group are correct then the core of the high is drifting North towards Scandy. Remember the skew on these things- the result could be a cooler ESE flow.
A little more interest, and as SFB has just mentioned one or two quite cold stragglers in the mix.
Hmmm, seems this thread has overrun a little. Better start a new one before I get my knuckles rapped!
Closing this one shortly.