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ozone_aurora
20 September 2017 18:49:21

Popocatepetl has been erupting on and off since 1994 after a dormant period since 1947, and frequently since 2012. Having said that, I agree with recent posts from Maunder and Saint. 

Anyway horrible earthquake; 225 people killed so far, including school children by collapsing primary school. 

ozone_aurora
20 September 2017 22:53:09

There was in fact an explosion at Popocatepetl today, according to this video;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=34&v=Mcm4umvnoa4.


 

Saint Snow
25 September 2017 12:01:40

As I've posted on the Winter thread, Mount Agung in Indonesia set to blow:


 


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/24/bali-volcano-34000-flee-mount-agung-as-tremors-intensify


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Perthite1
25 September 2017 12:31:43
I am due to be in Bali a week on Thursday and watching Agung like a hawk. It's a pretty dangerous volcano and infamous for large eruptions.
doctormog
25 September 2017 12:42:39

I am due to be in Bali a week on Thursday and watching Agung like a hawk. It's a pretty dangerous volcano and infamous for large eruptions.

Originally Posted by: Perthite1 


Don't forget your camera 


It looks like there is a significant chance of an eruption in the coming days but sometimes these periods of activity happen then no eruption takes place. If I was pushed I would say that na eruption is more likely than not.

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Saint Snow
25 September 2017 13:11:35

 


Don't forget your camera 


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


And asbestos anti-pyroclastic flow suit


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
doctormog
25 September 2017 13:14:52


 


 


And asbestos anti-pyroclastic flow suit


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Yes that too! 



On a serious note, do keep a close eye on developments as things might happen quickly.


I'm struggling to find any live data feeds so it is hard to see how things are progressing.

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Arcus
25 September 2017 13:44:40
Obviously depends on where on Bali you would be going, but most of the tourist areas seem well away from the "danger zone". I would imagine the real issue would be flights becoming grounded if an eruption were to occur.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Perthite1
26 September 2017 12:17:17
Yes we are going to Nusa Dua, which is 78km from Agung. The volcano last erupted in 1963, it actually did not produce much ash at first, it really got going though and became a VE 5 eruption. Therefore our biggest threat is the Ash cloud, ash deposits were recorded up to 1,000 km away and speculation that Denpesar airport would have been mostly closed for a year if the 1963 event was to occur now. The thought of having a few extra days by the pool in Bali is rather appealing, a year could be an issue 😉 I will check out the suits though just in case. Will keep you updated on developments. A lot of people from Perth are in the same boat as Bali is our local holiday resort.
doctormog
26 September 2017 15:35:26
The aviation warning code has been updated to orange today, so it’s still okay but they are obviously a bit concerned about potential impacts from ash associated with an eruption. Seismic activity is still ongoing with a (magmatic?) quake of magnitude 4.2 this morning adding to the growing evidence of a potential eruption.
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
28 September 2017 18:33:32

Well, if you wanted to stop an eruption, a Daily Express shock-horro headline should do the trick


http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/859280/Bali-volcano-update-Mount-Agung-eruption-latest-seismic-graphs-news-maps-warnings-live


 

War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
doctormog
28 September 2017 18:42:32
I’d love to see more data from around the area and I hope for research purposes the data is being collected in large quantities. I think an eruption is very likely but there is still a chance it may come to nothing. The worst scenario is that people get “bored” of the waiting and go back to their homes just before an eruption occurs.
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
ozone_aurora
29 September 2017 14:24:06

Agung, Bali, has begun belching steam and sulphurous fumes as fissures have been observed at the crater;

https://coconuts.co/bali/news/balis-mt-agung-belches-steam-sulfur-fissure-vents-observed-crater/.


 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
02 October 2017 21:17:47

Sinabung in nearby Sumatra also showing activity


http://www.9news.com.au/world/2017/10/01/06/01/second-volcano-erupts-after-140000-residents-evacuated-from-bali


 

War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Steve
04 October 2017 07:27:36

Gunung Merapi (Central Java) and Gunung Kelud (East Java) are the ones I keep an eye on in case they start showing signs of life.. They are very dangerous and I have family in the region.


But Indonesia has 129 active volcanoes, so wherever you go you're not too far away from one ! This image looking east through Java towards Bali gives a good idea of how volcanoes have formed the backbone of Indonesia.



They are awesome places to visit and if anyone is ever in the region, the 2 hour drive to the top of the Bromo Caldera in East Java to see the sunrise is an incredible experience...



Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park


 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
09 October 2017 21:15:55

This one nearly passed unremarked - Manaro Voui in Vanuatu


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-41423856


 

War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Maunder Minimum
11 October 2017 13:40:27
Saint Snow
11 October 2017 16:04:39


Prepare for doomsday:


http://www.geo.arizona.edu/~andyf/LaPalma/doomsday.html


Tenerife may be about to go pop!


https://watchers.news/2017/10/09/cumbre-vieja-volcano-earthquakes-canary-islands/



Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


 


Not uncommon, and I really can't see the doomsday scenario ever happening (it'd be fascinating to watch, though - I understand the apocalyptic predictions are gross exaggerations and, whilst there would be Tsunami triggered, they'd be far less impactful.


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Maunder Minimum
11 October 2017 16:27:55


Not uncommon, and I really can't see the doomsday scenario ever happening (it'd be fascinating to watch, though - I understand the apocalyptic predictions are gross exaggerations and, whilst there would be Tsunami triggered, they'd be far less impactful.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Yes indeed. Still, it is one to watch.

New world order coming.
doctormog
11 October 2017 16:37:23


Prepare for doomsday:


http://www.geo.arizona.edu/~andyf/LaPalma/doomsday.html


Tenerife may be about to go pop!


https://watchers.news/2017/10/09/cumbre-vieja-volcano-earthquakes-canary-islands/



Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


It’s La Palma and a very low probability. 

Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
15 October 2017 06:15:46

I wondered what had been happening at Agung (bar the Express trying to make mountains out of molehills)


https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/agung/news/65606/Agung-volcano-Bali-Indonesia-increasing-seismic-activity.html


Still lots of actvity below ground but nothing to show on the surface. A nightmare for authorities who have arranged evacuation - people will think it's all crying wolf, and start moving back (and by Murphy's Law, just in time for Agung to blow!)

War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Perthite1
15 October 2017 06:42:25
Having just come back from Bali, the volcano seemed to be a bit of a taboo subject. We were around 70km away in Nusa Dua, and over there it seems to be life as normal. The only mention at all in the whole trip was the flight out from Perth mentioning Jetstar were watching the mountain very closely in case of eruption.
At least the Indonesian government are now doing updates in English, which means it easier to understand what they are saying. The mountain is still rumbling and if anything the earthquakes have increased. It maybe a matter of months before there is an eruption, a nightmare for authorities.
Bali is such a beautiful place, well worth a trip. Planning to go to Ubud next time which is more central.
Steve
16 October 2017 14:28:38

Having just come back from Bali, the volcano seemed to be a bit of a taboo subject. We were around 70km away in Nusa Dua, and over there it seems to be life as normal. The only mention at all in the whole trip was the flight out from Perth mentioning Jetstar were watching the mountain very closely in case of eruption.
At least the Indonesian government are now doing updates in English, which means it easier to understand what they are saying. The mountain is still rumbling and if anything the earthquakes have increased. It maybe a matter of months before there is an eruption, a nightmare for authorities.
Bali is such a beautiful place, well worth a trip. Planning to go to Ubud next time which is more central.

Originally Posted by: Perthite1 


Ubud is fabulous, you will love it 

Saint Snow
26 October 2017 11:50:26

All calmed down again


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Solar Cycles
26 October 2017 11:59:29


All calmed down again


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

I know, I keep awaiting my apocalyptic eruption but alas Mother Nature keeps on disappointing me.😏

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