Met  Office  Hadley           10.0c.               Anomaly        0.1c.      Provisional to 5th.

Metcheck                          10.26c.              Anomaly        -1.14c.

Netweather                       11.08c.              Anomaly        -0.23c.

Peasedown  St  John           11.8c.                Anomaly         -0.4c. 

A nice rise in temps both day and night now and should increase the CET quite a lot during the next week or so.

Met Office Hadley           10.6c.         Anomaly       0.5c.   Provisional to 6th.

Metcheck                       11.01c.       Anomaly       -0.39c

Netweather                    11.65c.       Anomaly        0.36c.

Peasedown  St  John          12.5c.         Anomaly       0.3c.    

Rising nicely now and hopefully it will keep going up while I'm in the heat of the Caribbean. 

I've calculated the CET to be bang on 12 to the 17th. After this who knows which way it will go. It could finish 10,11,12, or 13! Good luck to everyone's estimation's this month.

Met  Office  Hadley           11.3c.           Anomaly     1.1c.  Provisional to 7th.

Metcheck                         11.58c.         Anomaly     0.18c.

Netweather                      12.22c.         Anomaly     0.3c.

Peasedown St John           13.1c.           Anomaly     0.9c.  

Met  Office  Hadley             12.1c.           Anomaly      1.9c.   Provisional to 8th.

Metcheck                            12.40c.         Anomaly      0.99c.

Netweather                         13.04c.         Anomaly      1.75c.

Peasedown  St  John             13.8c.          Anomaly       1.c.

Met Office Hadley          12.8c..      Anomaly     2.5c.     Provisional to 9th.

Metcheck                       12.87c.     Anomaly     1.46c.

Netweather                     13.56c.      Anomaly     2.27c.

Peasedown St John            14.1c.        Anomaly     1.9c.  

Something doesn't quite add up Art; 11.3 anomaly 0.1 means 11.2 is the average.

The next day:

Met  Office  Hadley             12.1c.           Anomaly      1.9c.   Provisional to 8th.

Metcheck                            12.40c.         Anomaly      0.99c.

Netweather                         13.04c.         Anomaly      1.75c.

Peasedown  St  John             13.8c.          Anomaly       1.c.

1.9 from 12.1 means 10.2 is the average.

Have the MO got something muddled? I can't quite conceive the averages changing this much in a day.

Eyeballing the rest of the figures I think the first anomaly should have been 1.1c.

Met Office  Hadley              13.0c             Anomaly        2.6c.      Provisional   to  10th.

Metcheck                            12.94c.          Anomaly       1.53c.

Netweather                         13.67c.          Anomaly       2.37c.

Peasedown St John              14.2c.            Anomaly       3.0c.    

I'm getting the feeling almost everyone has gone to low with their predictions this month and this may ends up around 14c+

Any chance of the table of predictions GW?

The MO anomaly is with respect to the first 10 days of May which is cooler then the 1st-31st of May average. 

10.4C (+0.5C) here - will go down a bit the next week or so.
We have had plenty of decidedly cool nights so far.

Ignore the numpties who clearly don't understand

The ECM is painting quite a warm picture from the middle of next week after a cool few days. At the moment my calculations give 12.5ish for the first 2/3 of May. If the last 3rd was a warm 14c that would still only give 13c overall. The GFS looks a bit cooler overall. However if we get the Azores high putting the Jet north next week above 13c might not be out of the question.

Yes the record for the 8th is indeed 16.9C (1867) and for the 9th is 17.6C (1945). Both records look to have gone

Hadley has 18.0C for the 8th provisionally and 18.2C for the 9th.

My estimate is 17.9C for the 8th and 18.0C for the 9th.

So I think we do have two date records this month already.

Apologies for the delay again. Here finally are the prediction tables for May. Weatherfan2 is off the scale again so I had to cut down his bar on the chart in order to not distort the rest of the table.

Thank you GW for the tables.... Not too far from bottom...

Met  Office  Hadley           13.2c.           Anomaly         2.7c.   Provisional to  11th.

Metcheck                          13.06c.          Anomaly          1.66c.

Netweather                       13.77c.          Anomaly          2.47c.

Peasedown St John              14.1c.           Anomaly          2.9c. 

Are you saying that the lower anomaly is related to the whole month and the higher to the first 10 days? The anomalies given imply a 0.9°c drop in the mean from one day to the next. Is it just 2 different sets of averages that are being quoted?

*tap*...*tap*

Is this thing on?