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Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
31 January 2015 13:27:59

Here's the week ahead forecast video;


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Here's the Written version;


http://www.gavsweathervids.com/written.html


Staying cold and icy with snow showers for some.


I'm going live with Quantum tonight at 7pm. We'll be discussing the current weather, the models, next weeks snow risk and maybe a few other bit's and pieces as well. You can watch/listen at GWV or on Q's YouTube channel;


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FC0XBNZzzCo


Tomorrow I should have Terry's February forecast. I'll post in here when I get it.


Thanks as ever for your support and to Brian and the Mods for making it happen.


EDIT: Here's Terry's February month ahead forecast: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/terryscholey.html


 


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
ARTzeman
31 January 2015 14:34:33

Thank you  Gavin....      Keeping the thermals on.. Good seasonal weather...  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
idj20
31 January 2015 15:14:10

Oooo, you've picked up on that Kent snow streamer thing too.

I shall await that with bated (dragon's) breath.


Folkestone Harbour. 
sizzle
31 January 2015 15:29:35

thanks gav.   and 7pm, ill be watching you LIVE LIVE LIVE.  

Gooner
31 January 2015 15:42:58

Cheers Gav


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


schmee
31 January 2015 16:32:52

Thanks Gavin. 


Observations from around GUILDFORD in SURREY and now Nottingham
llamedos
31 January 2015 16:36:56

Interesting read as always.....thanks Gavin  


"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
31 January 2015 18:48:10

^^^^^


Thanks guys.


Right, I'm going to be live in 15 minutes with Quantum.


We'll be talking about tonight's models, next weeks snow risk, maybe some longer range thoughts and if we have time answering one or two questions.


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Gooner
31 January 2015 19:02:39


^^^^^


Thanks guys.


Right, I'm going to be live in 15 minutes with Quantum.


We'll be talking about tonight's models, next weeks snow risk, maybe some longer range thoughts and if we have time answering one or two questions.


http://www.gavsweathervids.com


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


Chop chop then you're late


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


sriram
31 January 2015 20:40:37
Well done gav and quantum for a great first live broadcast


Sriram
Sedgley, West Midlands ( just south of Wolverhampton )
162m ASL
Dougie
31 January 2015 20:42:54

Thanks to Gavin and Quantum for an interesting show, may it be the first of many.


Ha'way the lads
Gooner
31 January 2015 20:51:15

Yes , great effort


Showed charts that I hadn't got a clue about


Look forward to the next


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
31 January 2015 21:16:46

Thanks guys.


Was great fun!


Many thanks to Quantum.


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Quantum
31 January 2015 21:35:09

Thanks everyone, really fun doing that. I hope everyone enjoyed.



2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
sizzle
31 January 2015 21:38:41


Thanks everyone, really fun doing that. I hope everyone enjoyed.



Originally Posted by: Quantum 

thanks gav and quantum, hope we see another LIVE real soon,

Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
01 February 2015 09:52:26


Thanks everyone, really fun doing that. I hope everyone enjoyed.



Originally Posted by: Quantum 



Thanks Sizzle.


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Gavin P
  • Gavin P
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
01 February 2015 17:04:59

OK, here's Terry Scholey's February month ahead forecast;



Looks like a bit of everything but again the main talking point this month could be the dryness?


Rural West Northants 120m asl
Short, medium and long range weather forecast videos @ https://www.youtube.com/user/GavsWeatherVids
Gooner
01 February 2015 17:09:20

Cheers Gav


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


sizzle
01 February 2015 17:12:52

thanks for posting gavin.  thanks for the forecast terry I look forward to it every month well twice a month, its looking like GAME OVER now for this winter, tho march can see snow [ easter time ], by then its pointless, oh well,,   looking forward to next winter,

nsrobins
01 February 2015 19:09:33
Terry Scholey by his own admission hasn't been too accurate so far this winter so probably not best to throw all your eggs into his basket?
Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Matty H
01 February 2015 20:21:46

Terry Scholey by his own admission hasn't been too accurate so far this winter so probably not best to throw all your eggs into his basket?

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Or just accept we have no scientifically proven method for seasonal forecasting. A pointless exercise other than for the fact nothing was ever achieved by not bothering. 


Monthly forecasting is a little more within reach, although still completely in it's infancy, and small changes early in the forecast period can make it a total disaster within days if issue. 


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