TheWeatheroutlook



Welcome Guest Active Topics | Log In | Register

12 Pages«<89101112>
July CET watch
Options
Previous Topic Next Topic
Global Warming Offline
#181 Posted : 28 July 2010 20:09:13(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,893
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants 89m asl

Gavin P wrote:

CET picks up to 17.4;

http://hadobs.metoffice....adcet/cet_info_mean.html

Think tomorrows update may drop back to 17.3 as last night was a bit cooler?

Yes only 12.0C on the CET minimum this morning and with the mean at 17.37C it could slip back to 17.3C tomorrow.

September 2010 data (to 4th)
Mean max: 21.9C
Mean min: 7.9C
Mean temp: 14.9C
Warmest day: 22.7C 3rd
Coldest night: 6.3C 1st
Total rain: 0.0mm
Days with measurable rain: 0
Back to top
Caz Offline
#182 Posted : 29 July 2010 00:26:07(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,843
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire

Even though we've had a much cooler, cloudier day here generally, we have had the odd sunny spell that has raised the temp considerably, albeit very briefly, but it has made a considerable difference to my mean.  

I think I'm going to be quite happy with my July prediction, of 17.5c 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Back to top
Dougie Offline
#183 Posted : 29 July 2010 12:30:33(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 10,883
Location: Sidcup, Kent.

Hadley dropped back to 17.3°c.

http://hadobs.metoffice....adcet/cet_info_mean.html

Haway the lads
Back to top
 |  Edit by user
Gavin P Offline
#184 Posted : 29 July 2010 12:35:10(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 12,368

I wonder if tomorrow might drop back to 17.2? Its pretty cloudy and chilly here at the moment, but last night was quite mild at 13c, so probably no change on tomorrows update?

Rural West Northants 120m asl
Back to top
 |  Edit by user
Dougie Offline
#185 Posted : 29 July 2010 14:23:55(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 10,883
Location: Sidcup, Kent.

Gavin P wrote:

I wonder if tomorrow might drop back to 17.2? Its pretty cloudy and chilly here at the moment, but last night was quite mild at 13c, so probably no change on tomorrows update?

Not sure about tomorrows value Gavin, its very much cooler here today, and if that is reflected within the CET area there could be another drop. Its getting to the business part of the month now, and I think the next 2/3 days will be interesting for us both.

Haway the lads
Back to top
Gavin P Offline
#186 Posted : 29 July 2010 15:12:47(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 12,368

Well, I'm going to be a bit under the final outcome, but I'm just relieved I'll be within 1c of the final number after the disasterous predictions in May and June.

Rural West Northants 120m asl
Back to top
Dougie Offline
#187 Posted : 29 July 2010 18:04:53(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 10,883
Location: Sidcup, Kent.

Well I have to agree that so far this year, all the months have been difficult to predict, particularly if you are basing your entry on the models( if you pardon the expression)

Best of luck with the rest of the year.

Haway the lads
Back to top
Gavin P Offline
#188 Posted : 29 July 2010 21:26:58(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 12,368

Cheers Doug.

Pretty chilly here tonight, got a feeling we're going to see single figure minima tonight, so we could be down at 17.1 by Saturday's update? Then a rise for a final day means we end at 17.2 before adjustments?

Rural West Northants 120m asl
Back to top
Global Warming Offline
#189 Posted : 29 July 2010 21:56:06(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,893
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants 89m asl

Dougie wrote:

Gavin P wrote:

I wonder if tomorrow might drop back to 17.2? Its pretty cloudy and chilly here at the moment, but last night was quite mild at 13c, so probably no change on tomorrows update?

Not sure about tomorrows value Gavin, its very much cooler here today, and if that is reflected within the CET area there could be another drop. Its getting to the business part of the month now, and I think the next 2/3 days will be interesting for us both.

I think it will stay at 17.3C. The minimum this morning was a little higher at 13.3C. The maximum will probably come in around 19C or possibly a little lower. The mean is currently at 17.32C and will probably fall to about 17.27C or 17.28C.

September 2010 data (to 4th)
Mean max: 21.9C
Mean min: 7.9C
Mean temp: 14.9C
Warmest day: 22.7C 3rd
Coldest night: 6.3C 1st
Total rain: 0.0mm
Days with measurable rain: 0
Back to top
Caz Offline
#190 Posted : 30 July 2010 00:06:07(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 1,843
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire

Well Dougie, you're been a bit up and down this month but it looks like you were right to re-think your prediction, yet only a couple of weeks ago I was saying you'd regret it!  You will end up very close yet again! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Back to top
Dougie Offline
#191 Posted : 30 July 2010 01:42:44(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 10,883
Location: Sidcup, Kent.

Caz wrote:

Well Dougie, you're been a bit up and down this month but it looks like you were right to re-think your prediction, yet only a couple of weeks ago I was saying you'd regret it!  You will end up very close yet again! 

You win some, you loose some, so will keep on trying

Not far off yourself Caz, nice one!!!

Haway the lads
Back to top
Gavin P Offline
#192 Posted : 30 July 2010 08:13:17(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 12,368

8.2c here last night, easily the coldest night of the month! Could well drop the CET on tomorrows update, but then tonight and tomorrow should see a rise.

Rural West Northants 120m asl
Back to top
Jiries Online
#193 Posted : 30 July 2010 08:20:14(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 11,253
Location: West Ewell and Langley

Latest mean now 20.7C up to yesterday date.  Latest average for min to max is 14.1C and 27.3C.
Back to top
Dougie Offline
#194 Posted : 30 July 2010 12:58:19(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 10,883
Location: Sidcup, Kent.

Hadley unchanged at 17.3°c

http://hadobs.metoffice....adcet/cet_info_mean.html

Haway the lads
Back to top
Gusty Offline
#195 Posted : 30 July 2010 13:34:32(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 4,880

Looks like it will end up at 17.4c. Tonight is looking like being a warm night in the CET area.

Does the CET ever get pushed up a bit after adjustments or is it normally down ?

Folkestone, Kent

August 2010 (updated 25th)

Max temperature 23.6c
Min temperature 9.9c

Av Max 19.9c
Av Min 13.3c
Mean 16.5c (-0.2c)
Rainfall 42.4mm
Days with measurable rain = 12
Sunshine = 101 hours
Back to top
Dougie Offline
#196 Posted : 30 July 2010 13:48:41(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 10,883
Location: Sidcup, Kent.
I think its normally down Steve.
Haway the lads
Back to top
Gusty Offline
#197 Posted : 30 July 2010 13:51:21(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 4,880

Dougie wrote:
I think its normally down Steve.

Thanks Dougie... shame.

Folkestone, Kent

August 2010 (updated 25th)

Max temperature 23.6c
Min temperature 9.9c

Av Max 19.9c
Av Min 13.3c
Mean 16.5c (-0.2c)
Rainfall 42.4mm
Days with measurable rain = 12
Sunshine = 101 hours
Back to top
Sevendust Offline
#198 Posted : 30 July 2010 15:41:04(UTC)
Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,835
Location: Alton, Hampshire

Gusty wrote:

Dougie wrote:
I think its normally down Steve.

Thanks Dougie... shame.

Known as the Pingo adjustment
Back to top
Global Warming Offline
#199 Posted : 30 July 2010 18:34:18(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/10/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,893
Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants 89m asl

Gusty wrote:

Looks like it will end up at 17.4c. Tonight is looking like being a warm night in the CET area.

Does the CET ever get pushed up a bit after adjustments or is it normally down ?

There is a good chance it will fall to 17.2C today as it was a little cooler last night at 12.0C. May well go back up to 17.3C tomorrow.

The month end adjustments are normally down but not always. I have seen it go the other way. The adjustments for the past two months have been especially large though in the negative direction.

This year's month end adjustments so far have been as follows:-

Jan  -0.25C
Feb  -0.08C
Mar  -0.03C
Apr   -0.25C
May  -0.49C
Jun  -0.40C

September 2010 data (to 4th)
Mean max: 21.9C
Mean min: 7.9C
Mean temp: 14.9C
Warmest day: 22.7C 3rd
Coldest night: 6.3C 1st
Total rain: 0.0mm
Days with measurable rain: 0
Back to top
 |  Edit by user
Gusty Offline
#200 Posted : 31 July 2010 07:49:22(UTC)

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 4,880

Global Warming wrote:

Gusty wrote:

Looks like it will end up at 17.4c. Tonight is looking like being a warm night in the CET area.

Does the CET ever get pushed up a bit after adjustments or is it normally down ?

There is a good chance it will fall to 17.2C today as it was a little cooler last night at 12.0C. May well go back up to 17.3C tomorrow.

The month end adjustments are normally down but not always. I have seen it go the other way. The adjustments for the past two months have been especially large though in the negative direction.

This year's month end adjustments so far have been as follows:-

Jan  -0.25C
Feb  -0.08C
Mar  -0.03C
Apr   -0.25C
May  -0.49C
Jun  -0.40C

Thanks GW. Some of those adjustments are quite notable !

My average stands at 17.8c. (Average Max is 21.7c, average min is 14.0c)

Folkestone, Kent

August 2010 (updated 25th)

Max temperature 23.6c
Min temperature 9.9c

Av Max 19.9c
Av Min 13.3c
Mean 16.5c (-0.2c)
Rainfall 42.4mm
Days with measurable rain = 12
Sunshine = 101 hours
Back to top
Users browsing this topic
Guest
12 Pages«<89101112>
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

TWO theme by Brian Gaze (based on YAFVision by Jaben Cargman)
Powered by YAF | YAF © 2003-2010, Yet Another Forum.NET
This page was generated in 0.420 seconds.