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Roger Parsons
26 February 2020 16:18:55

Message from Flusurvey:
"We have re-opened registration to join the flusurvey to allow us increase number of active participants, hence providing us robust data to identify any early changes in patterns of acute respiratory illness/ILI in the community. Routine surveillance of influenza activity in the UK shows continued declining/stable activity for all indicators while amongst flusurvey participants, rate of ILI also decreased from 19.7/1000 reported in week 7 to 15.4/1000 in week 8. Please invite your friends and family to sign up via this link, you can also share to your social media contacts as we will like to have more participants registered. You can also share to your social media contacts as we will like to have more participants registered."
https://flusurvey.net/en/accounts/register/




Now's your chance to add to the ILI data in addition to all the discussion.


I would guess they will be asking us about Covid-19 again before long.
Roger


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Ally Pally Snowman
26 February 2020 16:22:54


Friend with son in Kunming says that his son reports that there have been no new cases in that town for a week.


Originally Posted by: DEW 


 


That'll happen when you stop testing .


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
doctormog
26 February 2020 17:45:58


 


 


That'll happen when you stop testing .


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Coincidentally another situation where it happens is one in which there have been no new cases.


Roger Parsons
26 February 2020 18:35:28


Coincidentally another situation where it happens is one in which there have been no new cases.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 



R.


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Ally Pally Snowman
26 February 2020 18:38:11


 


Coincidentally another situation where it happens is one in which there have been no new cases.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


Amazing so many of you on here believe the Chinese Communist Party. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
doctormog
26 February 2020 18:49:29


 


 


Amazing so many of you on here believe the Chinese Communist Party. 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


I prefer to “believe” in the scientific and verifiable evidence not the evidence-free hearsay or social media rumours and conspiracy theory - namely the medical experts, epidemiologists etc. If you want to resorts to silly accusations go ahead  but it won’t change my approach and more importantly neither my take on things nor yours will change the reality. However for clarity my analysis is nothing to do with the “Chinese Communist Party”.


KevBrads1
26 February 2020 19:01:38


Ireland v Italy 6 nations game called off. Almost certainly the Italy v England game will also go.  Unlikely to be played before Autumn id imagine.  If this outbreak drags on Euro 2020 in serious doubt. 


 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


 


There also the Olympics in Japan this year


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
Heavy Weather 2013
26 February 2020 19:03:33
Sky ness have a special on now ‘Virus Outbreak’

It really does present a somber picture. Things are not looking great at the moment.
Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Ally Pally Snowman
26 February 2020 19:09:08


 


I prefer to “believe” in the scientific and verifiable evidence not the evidence-free hearsay or social media rumours and conspiracy theory - namely the medical experts, epidemiologists etc. If you want to resorts to silly accusations go ahead  but it won’t change my approach and more importantly neither my take on things nor yours will change the reality. However for clarity my analysis is nothing to do with the “Chinese Communist Party”.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


So in your view 5 new cases in mainland China (Outside Hubei) today seem realistic? Population 1.4 billion.  There were 4 today in one Tenerife hotel room.


 


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
26 February 2020 19:11:07


 


 


There also the Olympics in Japan this year


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


 


Yes its crappy timing for sports fans hopefully they can go ahead but huge doubt at the moment. 


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
doctormog
26 February 2020 19:13:13


 


 


So in your view 5 new cases in mainland China (Outside Hubei) today seem realistic? Population 1.4 billion.  There were 4 today in one Tenerife hotel room.


 


 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Well I choose not to make up my own facts, that’s all.


Ally Pally Snowman
26 February 2020 19:18:34


 


Well I choose not to make up my own facts, that’s all.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


I'm not making anything up I just don't think that those numbers are realistic. 


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
speckledjim
26 February 2020 19:23:28

Sky ness have a special on now ‘Virus Outbreak’

It really does present a somber picture. Things are not looking great at the moment.

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


843 new cases today, 2400 resolved. Looks good to me


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
xioni2
26 February 2020 19:28:11

Sky ness have a special on now ‘Virus Outbreak’

It really does present a somber picture. Things are not looking great at the moment.

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


 


As with Brexit, I think you are affected too much by the media.


 

Quantum
26 February 2020 19:41:16


 


843 new cases today, 2400 resolved. Looks good to me


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


Again the growth of the cases are far more important than the raw numbers. We have out of control exponential increaes in Iran at the very least but probably in other parts of the world too.


 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Ally Pally Snowman
26 February 2020 19:42:28

Sky ness have a special on now ‘Virus Outbreak’

It really does present a somber picture. Things are not looking great at the moment.

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 


 


I don't think it will be the death toll which will be the story here hopefully not anyway.  But the disruption to normal life. Where already losing major sporting events . If we lose the Euros that alone would be massive news. A major European outbreak seems inevitable at the moment but its a very difficult virus to predict. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
speckledjim
26 February 2020 19:57:55


 


Again the growth of the cases are far more important than the raw numbers. We have out of control exponential increaes in Iran at the very least but probably in other parts of the world too.


 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


The number of new cases is trending downwards so it is not growing. You also have no idea what is going on in Iran so once again all you are spouting is speculation.


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
westv
26 February 2020 20:07:22
We can only really go by the numbers reported by Governments. Anything else is just guesswork.
At least it will be mild!
Ulric
26 February 2020 20:27:11
I wonder what numbers our gov't is reporting for reduced pension liabilities?
To doubt everything or to believe everything are two equally convenient solutions; both dispense with the necessity of reflection. - Henri Poincaré
Quantum
26 February 2020 20:49:15


 


The number of new cases is trending downwards so it is not growing. You also have no idea what is going on in Iran so once again all you are spouting is speculation.


Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


No. The total is trending downwards but that is only because China has this under control.


Iran is completely out of control. Tens of thousands of people are projected, by models, to have it.


 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Quantum
26 February 2020 20:52:10


We can't be far off a pandemic now.


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
westv
26 February 2020 21:21:53
That graph appears to assume that 100% of those under investigation will be positive.
At least it will be mild!
Quantum
26 February 2020 21:26:08

That graph appears to assume that 100% of those under investigation will be positive.

Originally Posted by: westv 


Confirmed cases.


Source of infection unconfirmed.


 


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
ozone_aurora
26 February 2020 21:26:45

The number of coronavirus cases in Italy has jumped to 400, according to BBC.

Quantum
26 February 2020 21:31:12


The number of coronavirus cases in Italy has jumped to 400, according to BBC.


Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 


Growth doesn't quite look exponential, that's the good news.


 


 
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.

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