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xioni2
21 April 2020 09:19:40


The excess mortality is very high


xioni2
21 April 2020 09:31:57

The WHO warns that few (maybe as few as 2-3%) have developed antibodies to Covid-19

llamedos
21 April 2020 10:07:28

 


Number dying hits 20-year high


Deaths in England and Wales have risen sharply above what would be expected, hitting a 20-year high.


The Office for National Statistics said there were 18,500 deaths in the week up to 10 April - around 10,000 more than is normal at this time of year.


More than 6,200 were linked to coronavirus, a sixth of which were outside of hospital.


But deaths from other causes also increased, suggesting the lockdown may be having an indirect impact on health.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52361519


"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
21 April 2020 10:09:44

Excellent news on the vaccine front. Read the whole thread.

Originally Posted by: NickR 

">https://twitter.com/PeterKolchinsky/status/1252283886417174528?s=19



It doesn't seem very useful when they are talking 12 months before it might be available.


four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
21 April 2020 10:11:23


 


Number dying hits 20-year high


 


Originally Posted by: llamedos 



What was going on in January 2000?


Saint Snow
21 April 2020 10:20:13




What was going on in January 2000?


Originally Posted by: four 


 


The Millennium Bug.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
21 April 2020 10:20:36




What was going on in January 2000?


Originally Posted by: four 


January 6, 2000 – UK hospitals forced into meltdown after flu outbreak


"At the start of 2000, flu cases doubled in England, Scotland and Wales, leaving non-emergency surgeries in Merseyside hospitals cancelled and all 275 intensive-care beds in London filled."


http://www.mancunianmatters.co.uk/content/060177181-day-january-6-2000-%E2%80%93-uk-hospitals-forced-meltdown-after-flu-outbreak


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
xioni2
21 April 2020 10:24:50


">https://twitter.com/PeterKolchinsky/status/1252283886417174528?s=19

It doesn't seem very useful when they are talking 12 months before it might be available.

Originally Posted by: four 


 


On the contrary, I think that'd be an amazing result. The thread also mentions vaccination of frontline staff at the end of the year.

Brian Gaze
21 April 2020 10:32:19


On the contrary, I think that'd be an amazing result. The thread also mentions vaccination of frontline staff at the end of the year.


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


I remain very sceptical about the likelihood of an effective vaccine being developed quickly. However, if one is rushed out I suspect many people will want to sit back and see it "tested" on other people before agreeing to have it themselves. It's an interesting scenario. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
xioni2
21 April 2020 10:36:57


 However, if one is rushed out I suspect many people will want to sit back and see it "tested" on other people before agreeing to have it themselves.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


I don't think they'd have to as frontline medics would get it first, followed by the most vulnerable people. The 'masses' would get it months later.

Brian Gaze
21 April 2020 10:37:33

Some interesting stuff from the Robert Koch institute this morning:


1) In its first coronavirus briefing this week, Germany’s leading public health body, the Robert Koch Institute said that there was evidence that Covid-19 could damage the heart, kidneys and cause blood clotting. Prof Lars Schaade, the RKI’s vice president, said: “We must systematically examine all the evidence, including through autopsies.”


2) The main aim remained ensuring that the number of cases remained in a “safe zone”, he said. Germany’s reproduction rate is currently 0.9 - up on Friday when it was 0.7 - which means every person contracting the illness is infecting a further person. The number of new cases are currently doubling every 20 days, the number of deaths every 12 days.


3) He said test capacity was currently at 730,000 a week in Germany, but should ideally be around one million, with everyone who has a respiratory illness or infection of the airway getting tested. However, he pointed to practical problems with upscaling testing due to a global lack of reagents.


4) Despite reports this morning that children are not actually spreading the disease as much as had been thought, Schaade said that intensive tracking showed that children who had contracted the disease in Germany were found to have as much of the virus in their throats as adults, even if they often show no symptoms. He said the RKI believed children played a not-insignificant role in spreading the disease.


5) He said intensive tracking of those who had been in contact with infected people remained an important part of the strategy to tackle coronavirus, and was a “classical epidemiological tool”, enabling contacts to be “found and isolated so that they don’t infect more people”.


https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2020/apr/21/coronavirus-live-news-donald-trump-downplays-oil-price-crash-as-short-term-latest-updates


 


 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
The Beast from the East
21 April 2020 10:37:37


The WHO warns that few (maybe as few as 2-3%) have developed antibodies to Covid-19


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


This is what the Oxford lady was saying. The vaccine will provide much better protection, assuming the virus doesn't mutate in a meaningful way


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Brian Gaze
21 April 2020 10:38:58


 


I don't think they'd have to as frontline medics would get it first, followed by the most vulnerable people. The 'masses' would get it months later.


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


It would then raise ethical questions around frontline medics who don't want / refuse it. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
xioni2
21 April 2020 10:40:26


 It would then raise ethical questions around frontline medics who don't want / refuse it. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


I really doubt that will happen.

RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
21 April 2020 10:44:25


Some interesting stuff from the Robert Koch institute this morning:


.


.


4) Despite reports this morning that children are not actually spreading the disease as much as had been thought, Schaade said that intensive tracking showed that children who had contracted the disease in Germany were found to have as much of the virus in their throats as adults, even if they often show no symptoms. He said the RKI believed children played a not-insignificant role in spreading the disease.


 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


I think those who are advocating reopening schools need their heads examining.


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
Bugglesgate
21 April 2020 10:48:27


 


I really doubt that will happen.


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


 


Might if they happen to be Jehovah's Witnesses


Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
fairweather
21 April 2020 10:50:51


 


 


And that's a very good point , and I think that's the concern of the Government . If relaxed to much everyone will be out and all is forgotten on distancing etc .


 


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


It will only be stupid people and I don't think there are quite enough to make a significant distance. I mean who is not going to carry out the easy things voluntarily like keeping their distance and avoiding crowds being sneezed on. I certainly will on the grounds of self preservation. 


S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
21 April 2020 10:55:09


Air Purifiers?
I woke thinking that in particular NHS 30 year olds should not be dying of the virus unless its the amount of exposure and hits they are getting from the infected patients.
It says on a general website about purifiers that there is no evidence they will stop the virus, but have they been tested? On a Dyson model it says "The fully-sealed 360 filter system combines an activated carbon filter to remove gases, and a glass HEPA filter that captures 99.95% of microscopic allergens and pollutants.2 Using Air Multiplier™ technology, the machine projects over 290 liters of smooth, purified air per second for whole-room purification"


I was wondering if a number of purifiers were set up in wards where there were a lot of people and more chance of getting, whether they would go someway in at least taking some of the virus out of the air.


Originally Posted by: Phil G 


My understanding is that it doesn't form aerosols unless that has changed as well. What Dyson says it does and what it actually does are probably not the same, but like you imply, what harm does it do for someone to do some tests. i suspect over the course of the next 6 months something will be found that actually does help.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
The Beast from the East
21 April 2020 10:57:31


Some interesting stuff from the Robert Koch institute this morning:


1) In its first coronavirus briefing this week, Germany’s leading public health body, the Robert Koch Institute said that there was evidence that Covid-19 could damage the heart, kidneys and cause blood clotting. Prof Lars Schaade, the RKI’s vice president, said: “We must systematically examine all the evidence, including through autopsies.”


2) The main aim remained ensuring that the number of cases remained in a “safe zone”, he said. Germany’s reproduction rate is currently 0.9 - up on Friday when it was 0.7 - which means every person contracting the illness is infecting a further person. The number of new cases are currently doubling every 20 days, the number of deaths every 12 days.


3) He said test capacity was currently at 730,000 a week in Germany, but should ideally be around one million, with everyone who has a respiratory illness or infection of the airway getting tested. However, he pointed to practical problems with upscaling testing due to a global lack of reagents.


4) Despite reports this morning that children are not actually spreading the disease as much as had been thought, Schaade said that intensive tracking showed that children who had contracted the disease in Germany were found to have as much of the virus in their throats as adults, even if they often show no symptoms. He said the RKI believed children played a not-insignificant role in spreading the disease.


 


 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Maybe that's why Bozo is taking such a long time to re-surface. He's a fat unhealthy bugger


There was an expert on CNN last night saying that 40% of the workforce is still working - healthcare, law enforcement, cleaners, keys workers etc. Also there is no limit to online shopping and that whole process and delivery will help spread  virus. So infection rates where lockdown is loose like UK and US will be remain fairly high and you will have to accept an ongoing death rate of perhaps 100 a day for the whole year


Agree, that children are spreaders and schools should remain closed until Sept, even though vaccine wont be ready by then


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Chichesterweatherfan2
21 April 2020 11:01:52
Just read this article on the BBC website... If nothing else gets you in tears, this one surely will...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52358078 

I think it is the photo of the foil wedding rings that made me choke up.... Amongst many groups of people who are doing extraordinary things, hospital chaplains are right up there in the forefront, comforting people as they approach the end of their lives...
The Beast from the East
21 April 2020 11:03:20


 


 


Welcome to 1984.


Where the government uses taxpayer money to spread propaganda lies to the electorate. 


And Tory supporters - whose reaction we can guess if it were Labour politicians doing the same - just shrug their shoulders. 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I think I have worked out why the Tories are still polling so high. Its still about Brexit. Those 46% of the population that still want it are all voting Tory with no Farage anymore


Its a cult and Boris is the messiah of this cult


The polling will not shift until we actually see hard Tory Brexit in reality - post transition I mean. Only then, will they realise that the grass is not greener on the other side, and in fact its not only brown, but covered in shit


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
David M Porter
21 April 2020 11:05:05


 


I think I have worked out why the Tories are still polling so high. Its still about Brexit. Those 46% of the population that still want it are all voting Tory with no Farage anymore


Its a cult and Boris is the messiah of this cult


The polling will not shift until we actually see hard Tory Brexit in reality - post transition I mean. Only then, will they realise that the grass is not greener on the other side, and in fact its not only brown, but covered in shit


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


But you voted for Brexit yourself didn't you, Beast?



Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
The Beast from the East
21 April 2020 11:07:59


 However, if one is rushed out I suspect many people will want to sit back and see it "tested" on other people before agreeing to have it themselves. It's an interesting scenario. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


My view as well, but I have no underlying conditions other than being a bit tubby with a half cut liver


Gooner seems very keen to be a guinea pig. Rather him than me!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
The Beast from the East
21 April 2020 11:09:25


 


But you voted for Brexit yourself didn't you, Beast?



Originally Posted by: David M Porter 


Yes, but as they say "There is no point having a mind, if you can't change it"


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
21 April 2020 11:15:12


 


Yes, but as they say "There is no point having a mind, if you can't change it"


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts."


Bertrand Russell


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.

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