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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
12 May 2020 11:01:03


 


Just had something similar from Hillier's. Best of British to them with that. I'll be sticking to online. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Actually, Hillier’s are the best of British.  By Royal Appointment!  I used to work for them many moons ago.  


Got my silly head on today!  I blame lockdown!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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picturesareme
12 May 2020 11:01:10


 


 


I'll repeat my wild prediction from a month ago: most people will never catch this virus.


Originally Posted by: xioni2 


Estimated 136,000 currently infected with it. 


"It is estimated 136,000 people in England were currently infected with COVID-19 (95% confidence interval: 76,000 to 225,000)."


https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurvey/england10may2020


 


We are over a month now past its peak, and the virus had been running rampant even longer. So its  not inconceivable that potential infections past & present could be in the 10's of millions by now.


 

Brian Gaze
12 May 2020 11:12:20

 


We are over a month now past its peak, and the virus had been running rampant even longer. So its  not inconceivable that potential infections past & present could be in the 10's of millions by now. 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


How do you reconcile that with the figures Vallance revealed yesterday? Based on antibody testing the estimate is 4% past infections for the UK exc London and 10% for London.  


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
llamedos
12 May 2020 11:12:32


Actually, Hillier’s are the best of British.  By Royal Appointment!  I used to work for them many moons ago.  


Got my silly head on today!  I blame lockdown!  


Originally Posted by: Caz 

Only today 


"Life with the Lions"

TWO Moderator
Brian Gaze
12 May 2020 11:14:14

Agree with Hancock. Not sure what Ryan Air is playing at. 


Britons are unlikely to be able to go on foreign summer holidays this year, Health Secretary Matt Hancock said.


Asked whether "summer was cancelled", he told ITV's This Morning: "I think that's likely to be the case. We haven't made a final decision on that yet but it is clear that we will seek to reopen hospitality, some hospitality, from early July if we keep successfully reducing the spread of this virus...


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-news-government-guidance-boris-johnson-lockdown/


 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
12 May 2020 11:16:14


Only today 


Originally Posted by: llamedos 

  You know me too well!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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fairweather
12 May 2020 11:17:14

I'm not too sure about this drive as far as you like so long as you go home that day. People are going to take that as licence to drive anywhere for any reason. 


But to me everything is pretty much as clear as it ever was, despite, not because of the Government's efforts.


Most sane human beings don't want to catch it or transmit it to another. (Of course only about 80% of the UK population are sane).


So all you need to do as an individual is do nothing that will cause close contact with others outside your household, avoid potentially contaminated surfaces and sterilise if you have had contact and minimse any activity that will put extra pressure on the NHS. I fully realise this is not straightforward for people who need to go to work and they will have to make their own judgements whether or how to do that in the safest way.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
12 May 2020 11:22:35

Fauci to warn on risk of opening US economy too soon


Top expert will tell Senate that reopening economy too soon may result in 'needless suffering and death', report says.


Monday's report about the warning from Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and a leading member of the White House's coronavirus taskforce, came as President Donald Trump pressed states to lift lockdown measures, saying "people are dying in the lockdown position, too".


"We're not reopening based on science," Dr Thomas R Frieden, former director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was quoted as saying by the New York Times. "We're reopening based on politics, ideology and public pressure. And I think it's going to end badly."


Meanwhile, Trump in a Twitter post complained that Democratic governors were being too slow in lifting restrictions in their states.


https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/05/coronavirus-fauci-warn-risk-opening-economy-200512055622273.html


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
The Beast from the East
12 May 2020 11:24:33


 


Exactly the point.  Going to the pub now could mean a 2% risk of dying and a hangover to boot. Not exactly an appealing offer IMHO. Beast and Tim Martin may of course think otherwise.  


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


You are of course far more likely to die of liver disease or getting run over staggering home


And there is actually quite a high risk of getting mugged outside or beaten up inside. 


Since Christmas, the police have been called 8 times to fights and violent incidents in my pub alone! In February some chavs smashed the TV up, so we couldn't watch the 6 nations rugby at all, let alone any news, but at least the Wifi still worked!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
picturesareme
12 May 2020 11:26:43


 


How do you reconcile that with the figures Vallance revealed yesterday? Based on antibody testing the estimate is 4% past infections for the UK exc London and 10% for London.  


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


ONS estimates were from a much larger sample pool i think. I suspect the more anti body test that get done those estimates will increase.


However in those figures you give  around 4 million have antibodies.


Also if i recall correctly antibodies take around 3 weeks to appear once over an infection.. 


Pure conceptualisation here but those who tested positive in those antibody test would have been infected before the peak. 

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
12 May 2020 11:27:59


You are of course far more likely to die of liver disease or getting run over staggering home


And there is actually quite a high risk of getting mugged outside or beaten up inside. 


Since Christmas, the police have been called 8 times to fights and violent incidents in my pub alone! In February some chavs smashed the TV up, so we couldn't watch the 6 nations rugby at all, let alone any news, but at least the Wifi still worked!


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

Jeez!  Your ‘Spoon’s sounds rough!  The one I go to is much more civil!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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Saint Snow
12 May 2020 11:29:17


Agree with Hancock. Not sure what Ryan Air is playing at. 


Britons are unlikely to be able to go on foreign summer holidays this year, Health Secretary Matt Hancock said.


Asked whether "summer was cancelled", he told ITV's This Morning: "I think that's likely to be the case. We haven't made a final decision on that yet but it is clear that we will seek to reopen hospitality, some hospitality, from early July if we keep successfully reducing the spread of this virus...


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-news-government-guidance-boris-johnson-lockdown/


 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


I've still got a ferry crossing booked in late July to Le Havre. We were looking to finalise booking a villa in the Vendee just before CV19 hit so we put it on hold. Now it looks like it might be possible - France is waiving its 14-day quarantine for UK (and Schengen) travellers and whispers are that July 24th will be the day for significant scaling back of restrictions there. Plenty of available property!


Driving there (overnight cabin on the ferry) is the safest way, from a CV19 perspective, and we'd be staying in a villa with its own pool and about 500m walk to the beach through countryside/forest.


But I doubt restaurants and bars would be open (perhaps outside seating ones would be?), and I don't think we'd get the full France experience.


A fair bit to pay for a week of sunshine and moderate heat. This has actually made me think hard about the cost-benefit of a week away. I tend to just allocate a chunk of outgoings to the main holiday each year as an inevitable cost, and in the past 3 years we've had two 'bumper' special holidays that have been fantastic experiences for all of us that I'd not want to swap. But a 'normal' holiday that's going to cost north of £3.5k? Like I say, it's got me questioning the spend.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
12 May 2020 11:29:36


 


ONS estimates were from a much larger sample pool i think. I suspect the more anti body test that get done those estimates will increase.


However in those figures you give  around 4 million have antibodies.


Also if i recall correctly antibodies take around 3 weeks to appear once over an infection.. 


Pure conceptualisation here but those who tested positive in those antibody test would have been infected before the peak. 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

On the subject of antibody testing.  Did Darren get his results back?


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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The Beast from the East
12 May 2020 11:29:55


Fauci to warn on risk of opening US economy too soon


 


Originally Posted by: RobN 


He is likely to get sacked for talking to CNN as well


He gets death threats from Trump supporters and needs security, unlike the lady Dr Birx, who has shown herself to be a stooge, like Whitty and Vallance


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
chelseagirl
12 May 2020 11:30:18


So the moral of the story is:  get some decent specs so you can see it zipping by!  


Seriously, I’ve had varifocals for a while and have had no problem. You just have to remember to move your head up and down to switch from close to distant and not just your eyes.  


Originally Posted by: Caz 

. I’ve got multi focal contact lenses. They take a bit of getting used to and you lose a bit of sharpness with distance vision, but as I was forever losing/sitting on/scratching readers, it was a small price to pay!


The Fenlands of Cambridgeshire
Saint Snow
12 May 2020 11:31:55


I'm not too sure about this drive as far as you like so long as you go home that day. People are going to take that as licence to drive anywhere for any reason. 


Originally Posted by: fairweather 


 


The missus and I are pondering a trip to South Cumbria at the weekend, just to see something different and take the dog for a long walk.


Disappointed we wouldn't be able to end the day with a meal out, but I guess some chippies will be open



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Saint Snow
12 May 2020 11:32:58


 


He is likely to get sacked for talking to CNN as well


He gets death threats from Trump supporters and needs security, unlike the lady Dr Birx, who has shown herself to be a stooge, like Whitty and Vallance


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


 


It's horrendous there, isn't it.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
The Beast from the East
12 May 2020 11:33:24


Jeez!  Your ‘Spoon’s sounds rough!  The one I go to is much more civil!  


Originally Posted by: Caz 


This used to be a nice area, but over the past 20 years, the chavs have moved in and big houses are getting turned into flats left right and centre


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
westv
12 May 2020 11:36:14


But I doubt restaurants and bars would be open (perhaps outside seating ones would be?), and I don't think we'd get the full France experience.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


For us, eating out is all part of our holiday.


At least it will be mild!
The Beast from the East
12 May 2020 11:37:29


So the moral of the story is:  get some decent specs so you can see it zipping by!  


Seriously, I’ve had varifocals for a while and have had no problem. You just have to remember to move your head up and down to switch from close to distant and not just your eyes.  


Originally Posted by: Caz 


Yes, watching porn is getting more blurry as well, which defeats the purpose! I can see clearly from a distance, but not close up.


I will have to go to the Opticians when they are allowed to open


 


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gooner
12 May 2020 11:38:53


 


Why particularly? Children have a miniscule risk from COVID-19.


Originally Posted by: Maunder Minimum 


Because the risk will be there and it hasn't been proven they cant pass it on 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gavin D
12 May 2020 11:39:46
Rishi Sunak has announced an extension of the government's furlough scheme from June to October
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
12 May 2020 11:40:09


I've still got a ferry crossing booked in late July to Le Havre. We were looking to finalise booking a villa in the Vendee just before CV19 hit so we put it on hold. Now it looks like it might be possible - France is waiving its 14-day quarantine for UK (and Schengen) travellers and whispers are that July 24th will be the day for significant scaling back of restrictions there. Plenty of available property!


Driving there (overnight cabin on the ferry) is the safest way, from a CV19 perspective, and we'd be staying in a villa with its own pool and about 500m walk to the beach through countryside/forest.


But I doubt restaurants and bars would be open (perhaps outside seating ones would be?), and I don't think we'd get the full France experience.


A fair bit to pay for a week of sunshine and moderate heat. This has actually made me think hard about the cost-benefit of a week away. I tend to just allocate a chunk of outgoings to the main holiday each year as an inevitable cost, and in the past 3 years we've had two 'bumper' special holidays that have been fantastic experiences for all of us that I'd not want to swap. But a 'normal' holiday that's going to cost north of £3.5k? Like I say, it's got me questioning the spend.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

If it’s the only holiday you’re likely to get this year, go for it!   Your girls will only be this age once and if you wait, this time will be lost!  


I can’t wait for my next holiday.  We had hoped to go on another cruise last month but obviously didn’t.  The other day, hubby said that if a cruise was available tomorrow, he’d take it.  Might sound mad to some people but I think life in general is a risk and if the FO say it’s safe, I’ll take that advice.  Just for the record though, we have followed the lockdown rules.


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
speckledjim
12 May 2020 11:43:37


 


 


I've still got a ferry crossing booked in late July to Le Havre. We were looking to finalise booking a villa in the Vendee just before CV19 hit so we put it on hold. Now it looks like it might be possible - France is waiving its 14-day quarantine for UK (and Schengen) travellers and whispers are that July 24th will be the day for significant scaling back of restrictions there. Plenty of available property!


Driving there (overnight cabin on the ferry) is the safest way, from a CV19 perspective, and we'd be staying in a villa with its own pool and about 500m walk to the beach through countryside/forest.


But I doubt restaurants and bars would be open (perhaps outside seating ones would be?), and I don't think we'd get the full France experience.


A fair bit to pay for a week of sunshine and moderate heat. This has actually made me think hard about the cost-benefit of a week away. I tend to just allocate a chunk of outgoings to the main holiday each year as an inevitable cost, and in the past 3 years we've had two 'bumper' special holidays that have been fantastic experiences for all of us that I'd not want to swap. But a 'normal' holiday that's going to cost north of £3.5k? Like I say, it's got me questioning the spend.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Restaurants and cafes are opening in June in France so you’ll be fine....


 


Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Brian Gaze
12 May 2020 11:44:07


I've still got a ferry crossing booked in late July to Le Havre. We were looking to finalise booking a villa in the Vendee just before CV19 hit so we put it on hold. Now it looks like it might be possible - France is waiving its 14-day quarantine for UK (and Schengen) travellers and whispers are that July 24th will be the day for significant scaling back of restrictions there. Plenty of available property!


Driving there (overnight cabin on the ferry) is the safest way, from a CV19 perspective, and we'd be staying in a villa with its own pool and about 500m walk to the beach through countryside/forest.


But I doubt restaurants and bars would be open (perhaps outside seating ones would be?), and I don't think we'd get the full France experience.


A fair bit to pay for a week of sunshine and moderate heat. This has actually made me think hard about the cost-benefit of a week away. I tend to just allocate a chunk of outgoings to the main holiday each year as an inevitable cost, and in the past 3 years we've had two 'bumper' special holidays that have been fantastic experiences for all of us that I'd not want to swap. But a 'normal' holiday that's going to cost north of £3.5k? Like I say, it's got me questioning the spend.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Eating and drinking out is a big part of our summer hols normally. Your planned holiday sounds more feasible than most but I would also be questioning the spend.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

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