theweatheroutlook

Remove ads from site

Steve Murr
01 December 2020 09:50:01
Also the updated 06z is also bang on the mean track of the overnights.

High ground to the W & NW of london look good however it is T72 so some variation of track to be expected...
Brian Gaze
01 December 2020 10:08:47


 


What's WAA?


Thanks


Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Think it means Winter Abashed Abandoned or thereabouts. 

Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Russwirral
01 December 2020 10:27:21

Netweather GFS Image


Pressure systems all in the right places, but just not alot of cold air about.


This could change. Synoptically one of the best December charts ive seen in years.  Big swathes of High pressure to our north...


 


All this needs is maybe a LP to the east of the Med.  Something to stem that warm feed and draw in proper easterly flow


Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
Rob K
01 December 2020 10:41:47


 


Think it means Winter Abashed Abandoned or thereabouts. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


Alternatively WAA is the sound that usually accompanies toys being hurled from prams as yet another cold spell goes off the rails :)


 


Not too much sign of that happening though, still chances of some early snowfall for some in the SE this Friday. Looks like a messy picture with rain and snow both very much in the mix but I am optimistic that some will hit the sweet spot.

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
ballamar
01 December 2020 10:44:31
I remember last year the thought was there is so much cold air to the NOrth it has to flood south at some point! This year hopefully it will happen
www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_276_2.png
idj20
01 December 2020 10:53:44

I remember last year the thought was there is so much cold air to the NOrth it has to flood south at some point! This year hopefully it will happen
Originally Posted by: ballamar 

">www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_276_2.png



And we went onto having a mild and VERY wet Winter with flooding anyway. 

Folkestone Harbour. 
Ally Pally Snowman
01 December 2020 10:59:30

I remember last year the thought was there is so much cold air to the NOrth it has to flood south at some point! This year hopefully it will happen
Originally Posted by: ballamar 

">www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_276_2.png


 


Its coming on this run. Really lovely set up by the end . Plenty of blocking and some significant cold approaching. 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Rob K
01 December 2020 11:01:01

Yes that WAAAAAA going up the west of Greenland is nice to see, sets up a proper Greenland block and lets some of that cold air fly south for the winter.... albeit still not all that cold just yet

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
ballamar
01 December 2020 11:04:15


">www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_276_2.png

Originally Posted by: idj20 



And we went onto having a mild and VERY wet Winter with flodding anyway. 



very true !

fairweather
01 December 2020 11:14:03


Yes that WAAAAAA going up the west of Greenland is nice to see, sets up a proper Greenland block and lets some of that cold air fly south for the winter.... albeit still not all that cold just yet


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


Did you miss an "H" and a "Y" out.


WAAAAHAAY

S.Essex, 42m ASL
Russwirral
01 December 2020 11:15:27

If anyone said to me in the summer these would be the anomaly charts in December I would have bitten their hand off


Reality can be a right pain cant it....



Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
Saint Snow
01 December 2020 11:30:23


 


Think it means Winter Abashed Abandoned or thereabouts. 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


Not Wuhan Airborne Aerosols?


 


 


Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Quantum
01 December 2020 11:36:54

Preparation for later this week...


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Brian Gaze
01 December 2020 11:38:48


 


 


Not Wuhan Airborne Aerosols?


 


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Heavy Weather 2013
01 December 2020 11:44:15


Preparation for later this week...



Originally Posted by: Quantum 


EXCELLENT

Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
Russwirral
01 December 2020 11:47:13


Preparation for later this week...



Originally Posted by: Quantum 


 


Ive wondered if someone could make an app that uses the Ceefax charts and allows you to make your own Ceefax/Teletext weather pages


 


I tried doing it manually a few years back but it took too long to even reset the picture let alone create new


Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
JOHN NI
01 December 2020 11:52:12


Netweather GFS Image


Pressure systems all in the right places, but just not alot of cold air about.


This could change. Synoptically one of the best December charts ive seen in years.  Big swathes of High pressure to our north...


 


All this needs is maybe a LP to the east of the Med.  Something to stem that warm feed and draw in proper easterly flow


Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


A December La Nina footprint / pattern across northwest Europe.  Not as extreme looking as some of classics but there nonetheless. Looks like a below average temperature month for the UK.  

John.
The orange County of Armagh.
nsrobins
01 December 2020 11:57:16
GFS is slowly correcting its bias for adding a few degrees to 850s 😄
Some very tasty Synoptics that promise so much.
Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 December 2020 12:01:17


Preparation for later this week...



Originally Posted by: Quantum 

  Looking forward to seeing your little snow maps again! 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
ballamar
01 December 2020 12:15:29


Preparation for later this week...



Originally Posted by: Quantum 


just don’t draw a blue box it could haunt you

David M Porter
01 December 2020 12:17:12


 


 


Not Wuhan Airborne Aerosols?


 


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
01 December 2020 12:48:17


 


Not sure which run but the 12z is still available and looks reasonably consistent with this morning's update. Link is:


https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/arpege.aspx?run=12&charthour=87&chartname=ukpreciptype&chartregion=uk-region&charttag=Precip%20type


 


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


It was the 06z run that I was referring to.

Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Tom Oxon
01 December 2020 13:54:15
Well it looks like we had solid agreement across the big 3 that the Atlantic shut down starts at T96 with WAA beefing heights up around Iceland

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_96_1.png 
https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/ECMOPEU00_96_1.png 
https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/UKMOPEU00_96_1.png 

That for me is what kicks it all off, stopping the conveyor belt and really sets the stage for something to happen.
S Warwickshire countryside, c.375ft asl.
idj20
01 December 2020 14:06:45

Well, that's just p****d on the virtual bonfire. 

Folkestone Harbour. 
Brian Gaze
01 December 2020 14:11:56


Well, that's just p****d on the virtual bonfire. 


Originally Posted by: idj20 


It's being discussed in the media thread. See:


https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/default.aspx?g=posts&t=20532&p=42


 

Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Remove ads from site

Ads