NCEP have switched across to GFSv16. Running here on TWO:

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx

And a cold looking Easter it would be if this version came off.....

Jetstream - the current loop N of the UK soon dissipating in favour of a W-ly flow later this week, lasting to Tue 30th but weaker than previously forecast. Another loop then breaks up the flow and the tendency  Thu 1st - Tue 6th is then for the jet to split into two, a N branch near Iceland (though with occasional bits briefly breaking off to visit the UK) and a S branch across N Africa.

GFS - current HP declines as in previous forecasts with Atlantic trough carried in on W-lies Fri 26th - but W-ly spell now appears more short-lived as HP from S and SW build to place centre over UK as a whole 1035mb Thu 1st, It retrogresses to a position S of Greenland allowing LP over Spain/France to affect mainly the S of UK by Sun 4th. Finally, GFS hasn't given up on a N-ly blast; today's version is back over the UK Wed 7th and reviving the LP over France for what looks like a rather cold and wet spell after Easter.

GEFS - brief dip in temp Fri 26th soon recovering to be mild to Sat 3rd. Variation between runs is already happening then, most noticeable in Scotland,  and becomes greater everywhere, with op and control both favouring a cold end by Thu 8th. Little prospect of rain in the S (brief blip on Fri 26th), rather more days with rain in NW England and in Scotland but not in great amounts

ECM - same as GFS to Fri 26th but then quite different - a further Atlantic trough on  Mon 29th which leaves LP generally over the UK with a small depression localised 985mb Hebrides Wed 31st and then another 1000 mb Cornwall Fri 1st, both combining to draw in air from far N- looks much colder than GFS.

Thanks Dew - seriously hoping the cold signal drops away, April can bring pretty much any type of weather but late season cold is worst of the lot for me.

GFS, GEM and ECM ops all showing chilly or cold weather in 10 days time, with some support from their respective ens sets (GFS/ECM anyway).

Before then and IMBY looking fairly average for the time of year other than a brief chilly interlude this weekend and a warmer couple of days to finish the month. 

Not a particularly welcome pattern I guess if it does verify but could lead to some beefy wintry showers, so interesting from a weather POV. Still of course plenty of time to move back towards something a touch warmer - the last cold blip forecast got significantly watered down after all. 

16-dayer shows above average temps and dry weather spreading up through W Europe towards the Baltic, while further east still cold and in places wet from the Caspian down into Turkey. Doesn't match the GFS synoptics at all well

GFS brief burst of Atlantic activity with trough for most of UK linked to LP 970mb Iceland Fri 26th and another more affecting Scotland linked to 955mb Iceland Mon 29th. That passes on into Scandinavia but the worst of its trailing N-lies deflected for a while by new HP 1035mb NI Thu 1st Apr - but the LP over Scandinavia regroups Denmark 1000 mb and brings in a spell of N/NE-lies Sat 3rd - Wed 7th while the HP retires to Greenland. At end of run Fri 9th pressure is slack over the UK but with residual cold air. 

GEFS temp dips briefly on Fri 29th then mild in S to Wed 31st after which (unlike previous forecasts) a long period of consistently cool weather agreed on by most runs - 3/5C below norm through to Fri 9th. Intermittent and small amounts of rain. Scotland misses out on the mild spell but does warm up a little towards Fri 9th; also more rain around Mon 29th there and NW England. Also, later on. some wet days for the E coast.

ECM agrees with GFS, if anything the N/NE-ly spell is  more directly from the Arctic controlled by trough of LP the whole length of Norway

TWO snow row is at 13/33 so less than 50%. Sites using slightly different grid points could be showing something different.

A significant cold plunge from the north looks more and more likely this morning as we head to the start of April.  Could be some beefy snow showers to be had.

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=1&model=ecm&var=2&run=0&time=240&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=24#mapref

Miles out but HP soon settles us down again , I am ready for some upper teen temps now , this time last year we were gearing up for some warmth 

Hail showers and moderate breeze forecast for my area.

Just as we entered Lockdown 1 last year, the weather was glorious and warm, now the complete opposite. It sums up this country perfectly. We are dammed.

Wasn’t it 2 Easters ago (might have been 3) 

start of Easter (Good Friday) it snowed (and settled) in Peak District

But last year during first lockdown it was rather warm

Easter 2018 was a cold one. I remember some higher routes getting snow on the Easter Monday (2 April).

Easter 2019 was a stunner. All four days were lovely and warm and sunny.

Easter 2020 started warm but turned colder as it progressed.

But yes it's looking increasingly likely this one could join the cold club. Some of those charts look very reminicient of early April 2008 which saw snow to some quite low and southerly locations.

I remember one Easter school holidays taking my kids on a 'snow safari' in the Peak District. Disappointing depths and we got to near Buxton before finding enough to sledge on. Going on pics and the ages of the girls, I reckon 2011 or 2012.

Could have been 2012? This was during the Easter holidays up here:

The theme does seem quite consistent. To be honest I would prefer a warm sunny spell (but that is unfortunately irrelevant regarding what will happen!) 

April showers https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/ECMOPEU12_216_1.png 

It definitely wasn't 2013. I remember that very well!

You only have to go back one year for a switcheroo at this time of year. Exactly one year ago, the first half of the first lockdown week was shirtsleeve weather for going out for a walk - but the second half of that week thick coats were needed.

Hope for some to get skiing once lockdown eases a bit.  Some of my best days skiing have been in April.

 LLTNP 105m asl 

I remember being on Cairngorm one April in the early 90s. The snow was down to the car park level and most or all of the runs were open. We didn't ski on that occasion but took the chairlifts up to the Ptarmigan cafe. Looking down to Loch Morlich was a magnificent sight.

The GFS showing remarkably widespread snow falling on the 3rd April, 8 days too early for Buchanan’s second cold spell, but the cold could linger until then on this run.