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doctormog
05 August 2022 10:24:37

Breaking news: People are usually interested in the weather where they are, not where someone else is.


Roger Parsons
05 August 2022 10:31:41


Breaking news: People are usually interested in the weather where they are, not where someone else is.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Not at all true, DrM. I always enjoy hearing what you have to put up with.


Roger


RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Rob K
05 August 2022 10:46:08
6Z GFS keeps the heat going longer than the 0Z and takes it up to the 100F level.

Top temps from today:

24, 25, 28, 30, 32, 34, 34, 35, 37, 38, 31, 28

compared to

24, 25, 28, 30, 32, 33, 32, 33, 34, 28, 24, 20
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Joe Bloggs
05 August 2022 10:53:59


 


 


 


Of course, the opposite strangely doesn’t apply in winter, when it is snowing on Helvellyn and the Derbyshire Peaks, but bang average tepid rain for 70%+ of the UK population. 


Originally Posted by: Downpour 


….. or on top of Manchester City Centre, if our sparring from a few winters ago is anything to go by. ;-)


Anyway - I jest. 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
05 August 2022 10:57:10


 


Not at all true, DrM. I always enjoy hearing what you have to put up with.


Roger


Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 


Yes, an odd comment. When the weather is interesting (and that’s the key thing) elsewhere in the UK or Europe most of us are very interested in it. And we don’t moan when others who live there express interest. 


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
doctormog
05 August 2022 11:00:19


 


Yes, an odd comment. When the weather is interesting (and that’s the key thing) elsewhere in the UK or Europe most of us are very interested in it. And we don’t moan when others who live there express interest. 


Originally Posted by: TimS 


I assume you mean the comment I was replying to!


Rob K
05 August 2022 11:16:20

6Z GEFS show quite a shift towards heat. Control looks roasting.


The GEFS mean hits 33C on Thursday and Friday.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Downpour
05 August 2022 11:16:44


Breaking news: People are usually interested in the weather where they are, not where someone else is.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


IMBY post


 


😃


Chingford
London E4
147ft
Downpour
05 August 2022 11:17:47


 


….. or on top of Manchester City Centre, if our sparring from a few winters ago is anything to go by. ;-)


Anyway - I jest. 


Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


 


I must admit I don’t recall that one! 😊


Chingford
London E4
147ft
Downpour
05 August 2022 11:18:51


 


Yes, an odd comment. When the weather is interesting (and that’s the key thing) elsewhere in the UK or Europe most of us are very interested in it. And we don’t moan when others who live there express interest. 


Originally Posted by: TimS 


 


👍👍👍


Chingford
London E4
147ft
doctormog
05 August 2022 11:19:17


 


IMBY post


 


😃


Originally Posted by: Downpour 


From the most IMBY poster on the entire thread, I will take that as a compliment. 


johncs2016
05 August 2022 11:54:43

Summers over?

Originally Posted by: dagspot 


Technically, we will actually be able to say that summer is over once we get to the beginning of next month as we will entering into the meteorological autumn.


Even then though, we might still find that we're not completely finished with this summer in terms of our weather.


Only time will tell with that one of course.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Crepuscular Ray
05 August 2022 12:01:41
I fully recognise the usual and sometimes vast differences in weather, say between the NW and SE.
My earlier comments were only meant to balance the conversation of dry, sunny, warm summer of the South and East with the tepid, dull weather up here.
I know it's normal! I'd have been much better staying in Edinburgh for a warmer, drier summer 😂
At least I'm in Portugal for 4 weeks in Sept ☀️🌝
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Tim A
05 August 2022 12:32:18

I fully recognise the usual and sometimes vast differences in weather, say between the NW and SE.

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 


Vast differences over a relatively small area , e.g Doncaster/York with a SE climate and NWDales/Lake District much cooler and with over three times the annual rainfall. Fasnicating and all should be free to comment on all the extremes and anything in between. 


Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

 My PWS 
doctormog
05 August 2022 12:38:31


 


Vast differences over a relatively small area , e.g Doncaster/York with a SE climate and NWDales/Lake District much cooler and with over three times the annual rainfall. Fasnicating and all should be free to comment on all the extremes and anything in between. 


Originally Posted by: Tim A 



On a more general note the trend for the medium term looks increasingly warm and generally very dry for most. That trend continues on the 06z GFS ensemble set.


Rob K
05 August 2022 12:38:59

Going by the ensembles, today is about as "cold" as it's likely to get for the next fortnight*. Maybe autumn isn't arriving just yet 


 



 


Having said that it does feel distinctly fresh in the breeze today.


 


*edit: in the London area 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
05 August 2022 13:20:38


 



On a more general note the trend for the medium term looks increasingly warm and generally very dry for most. That trend continues on the 06z GFS ensemble set.


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Interestingly the Op run is trying to seek attention again. This time by keeping it hot for longer and then dive bombing to well below average over the space of 48 hours. 


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
scillydave
05 August 2022 13:28:12


This is one of the most telling charts



 


That would take us to 45 days with no measurable rainfall in parts of Hampshire (none since 30 June) and even June was hardly wet.


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


 


That would be quite something - 1995 (as far as I know) was the last time we went more than 40 days without rain in a location in the UK - that was Margate in Kent with 42 days. The record though is a whalloping 73 days in Mile End, London back in the Spring of 1893.


Does anyone know what we're up to now?


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
bledur
05 August 2022 13:48:28

[quote=Crepuscular Ray;1464293]I fully recognise the usual and sometimes vast differences in weather, say between the NW and SE.
My earlier comments were only meant to balance the conversation of dry, sunny, warm summer of the South and East with the tepid, dull weather up here.
I know it's normal! I'd have been much better staying in Edinburgh for a warmer, drier summer 😂
At least I'm in Portugal for 4 weeks in Sept ☀️🌝[/quote


Yes i realise that. It is a bit like a current "drought Thread " on a farming forum. Most of the posts are from the wetter areas saying it is raining again. 

Rob K
05 August 2022 14:41:11


 


 


That would be quite something - 1995 (as far as I know) was the last time we went more than 40 days without rain in a location in the UK - that was Margate in Kent with 42 days. The record though is a whalloping 73 days in Mile End, London back in the Spring of 1893.


Does anyone know what we're up to now?


Originally Posted by: scillydave 


AFAIK Hurn airport and Odiham are the current "leaders", both with the last measurable rainfall on 30 June, so that's 35 days up to yesterday. It looks pretty well certain there will be no appreciable rain at either of those for at least a week (although never say never in Britain!)


 


Edit: actually I see Hurn is now out of the running as it had 0.4mm of rain on Wednesday. (The total drought there started one day earlier than Odiham, in fact, with the last previous rainfall on June 29, so it managed 34 days in total.)


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Ally Pally Snowman
05 August 2022 17:05:36

After about a week of 30c+ for the South the northerly is back on the GFS.  Seems unlikely but just about possible.  GEM goes for a southerly at the same time and is extremely hot.


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
The Beast from the East
05 August 2022 17:09:41

GEM is insane



"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Jiries
05 August 2022 17:15:22


 


AFAIK Hurn airport and Odiham are the current "leaders", both with the last measurable rainfall on 30 June, so that's 35 days up to yesterday. It looks pretty well certain there will be no appreciable rain at either of those for at least a week (although never say never in Britain!)


 


Edit: actually I see Hurn is now out of the running as it had 0.4mm of rain on Wednesday. (The total drought there started one day earlier than Odiham, in fact, with the last previous rainfall on June 29, so it managed 34 days in total.)


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


60 days for Epsom in 2018 summer which ended on last week of July after reaching 36C.  There was some few drops few times. 

Zubzero
05 August 2022 17:26:45

I fully recognise the usual and sometimes vast differences in weather, say between the NW and SE.
My earlier comments were only meant to balance the conversation of dry, sunny, warm summer of the South and East with the tepid, dull weather up here.
I know it's normal! I'd have been much better staying in Edinburgh for a warmer, drier summer 😂
At least I'm in Portugal for 4 weeks in Sept ☀️🌝

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 


Que the drought ending on September the 1st for Portugal and Spain, with the jet digging South and an Ibrieaen low pressure in charge tongue-out

Ally Pally Snowman
05 August 2022 17:50:42

GFS 12z OP is a big cold outlier by the 16th. Huge spread on the GEFS beyond the 15th.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.

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