Breaking news: People are usually interested in the weather where they are, not where someone else is.

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Not at all true, DrM. I always enjoy hearing what you have to put up with.

Roger

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6Z GFS keeps the heat going longer than the 0Z and takes it up to the 100F level.

Top temps from today:

24, 25, 28, 30, 32, 34, 34, 35, 37, 38, 31, 28

compared to

24, 25, 28, 30, 32, 33, 32, 33, 34, 28, 24, 20

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….. or on top of Manchester City Centre, if our sparring from a few winters ago is anything to go by. ;-)

Anyway - I jest. 

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Yes, an odd comment. When the weather is interesting (and that’s the key thing) elsewhere in the UK or Europe most of us are very interested in it. And we don’t moan when others who live there express interest. 

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I assume you mean the comment I was replying to!

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6Z GEFS show quite a shift towards heat. Control looks roasting.

The GEFS mean hits 33C on Thursday and Friday.

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IMBY post

 

😃

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I must admit I don’t recall that one! 😊

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👍👍👍

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From the most IMBY poster on the entire thread, I will take that as a compliment. 

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Technically, we will actually be able to say that summer is over once we get to the beginning of next month as we will entering into the meteorological autumn.

Even then though, we might still find that we're not completely finished with this summer in terms of our weather.

Only time will tell with that one of course.

 

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I fully recognise the usual and sometimes vast differences in weather, say between the NW and SE.
My earlier comments were only meant to balance the conversation of dry, sunny, warm summer of the South and East with the tepid, dull weather up here.
I know it's normal! I'd have been much better staying in Edinburgh for a warmer, drier summer 😂
At least I'm in Portugal for 4 weeks in Sept ☀️🌝

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Vast differences over a relatively small area , e.g Doncaster/York with a SE climate and NWDales/Lake District much cooler and with over three times the annual rainfall. Fasnicating and all should be free to comment on all the extremes and anything in between. 

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On a more general note the trend for the medium term looks increasingly warm and generally very dry for most. That trend continues on the 06z GFS ensemble set.

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Going by the ensembles, today is about as "cold" as it's likely to get for the next fortnight*. Maybe autumn isn't arriving just yet 

 

 

Having said that it does feel distinctly fresh in the breeze today.

 

*edit: in the London area 

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Interestingly the Op run is trying to seek attention again. This time by keeping it hot for longer and then dive bombing to well below average over the space of 48 hours. 

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That would be quite something - 1995 (as far as I know) was the last time we went more than 40 days without rain in a location in the UK - that was Margate in Kent with 42 days. The record though is a whalloping 73 days in Mile End, London back in the Spring of 1893.

Does anyone know what we're up to now?

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[quote=Crepuscular Ray;1464293]I fully recognise the usual and sometimes vast differences in weather, say between the NW and SE.
My earlier comments were only meant to balance the conversation of dry, sunny, warm summer of the South and East with the tepid, dull weather up here.
I know it's normal! I'd have been much better staying in Edinburgh for a warmer, drier summer 😂
At least I'm in Portugal for 4 weeks in Sept ☀️🌝[/quote

Yes i realise that. It is a bit like a current "drought Thread " on a farming forum. Most of the posts are from the wetter areas saying it is raining again. 

AFAIK Hurn airport and Odiham are the current "leaders", both with the last measurable rainfall on 30 June, so that's 35 days up to yesterday. It looks pretty well certain there will be no appreciable rain at either of those for at least a week (although never say never in Britain!)

 

Edit: actually I see Hurn is now out of the running as it had 0.4mm of rain on Wednesday. (The total drought there started one day earlier than Odiham, in fact, with the last previous rainfall on June 29, so it managed 34 days in total.)

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After about a week of 30c+ for the South the northerly is back on the GFS.  Seems unlikely but just about possible.  GEM goes for a southerly at the same time and is extremely hot.

 

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GEM is insane

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60 days for Epsom in 2018 summer which ended on last week of July after reaching 36C.  There was some few drops few times. 

Que the drought ending on September the 1st for Portugal and Spain, with the jet digging South and an Ibrieaen low pressure in charge 

GFS 12z OP is a big cold outlier by the 16th. Huge spread on the GEFS beyond the 15th.

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