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picturesareme
11 September 2022 14:15:10
Looking like the first autumn chill of the season is coming later in the week. We have an overnight low of 9C being shown Friday, and day temperatures in the high teens.
fairweather
11 September 2022 15:29:10


I posted this a week ago today.


I'm really not convinced about this rainfall chart Jiries. Hence the reason why I posted it. I'll drink the water in my water butt. If we do receive 25mm this week !


 


End result = 49.2mm. The butt water tastes...errr lovely. 


Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Still nothing much here - just 15mm so far for September. Downpours all around in the last week but mostly missing us. 


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Jiries
11 September 2022 17:43:54


Surprised no mention of tomorrows potential record temperature in the south


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


25C in the south or 23C in Birmingham is not a record just standard Sept warm spell.  The record still at 35C so no chance to break it.

Downpour
11 September 2022 18:55:05
Summer continues towards the equinox, as is normal. Can we finally ditch the ‘meteorological’ summer nonsense - a convention even the Met Office accepts is merely a statistical convenience.

Autumn begins on 22 September.
Chingford
London E4
147ft
Zubzero
11 September 2022 19:32:19

Now the recent showers/storms have cleared its back to the same old. Temperature above average and not much happing 


Hope this chart isn't a sign of the coming winter 


https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=240&mode=1&map=0&type=0&archive=0


No doubt once October rolls round and set ups like 


https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=96&mode=1&map=0&type=0&archive=0


this would be welcome, the Atlantic will awaken from its slumber. 

Zubzero
11 September 2022 19:44:13

Summer continues towards the equinox, as is normal. Can we finally ditch the ‘meteorological’ summer nonsense - a convention even the Met Office accepts is merely a statistical convenience.

Autumn begins on 22 September.

Originally Posted by: Downpour 


As the Met Office say its statistical convenience. 


So your welcome to use the equinox statistics if you wish. 

GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
11 September 2022 20:52:49


 As the Met Office say its statistical convenience. 


So your welcome to use the equinox statistics if you wish. 


Originally Posted by: Zubzero 


Exactly. Neither are wrong and both can be used in different contexts. According to the Met Office, autumn starts on September 23rd this year ....


When does autumn start? - Met Office 


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Chunky Pea
11 September 2022 21:04:51

In terms of weather and temps, this breakdown is just a valid in my opinion. 


Jan/Feb/Mar = Winter


Apr/May/Jun = Spring


Jul/Aug/Sept = Summer


Oct/Nov/Dec = Autumn 


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Matty H
11 September 2022 21:24:46


In terms of weather and temps, this breakdown is just a valid in my opinion. 


Jan/Feb/Mar = Winter


Apr/May/Jun = Spring


Jul/Aug/Sept = Summer


Oct/Nov/Dec = Autumn 


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


March is spring here nowadays. Mostly the first proper warmth. There are odd exceptions (BFTE)


Even late Feb can feel spring-like now and often does 


Zubzero
11 September 2022 22:01:39


 


March is spring here nowadays. Mostly the first proper warmth. There are odd exceptions (BFTE)


Even late Feb can feel spring-like now and often does 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 


That's another thing it verrys alot from North to South in the UK.  That's why a 3 month segment starting the 1st of each month makes it much more simple for the UK overall. 


Why some care what start date is used for each season baffles me. 

picturesareme
11 September 2022 22:56:31


In terms of weather and temps, this breakdown is just a valid in my opinion. 


Jan/Feb/Mar = Winter


Apr/May/Jun = Spring


Jul/Aug/Sept = Summer


Oct/Nov/Dec = Autumn 


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


Dec/Jan/ early Feb = winter 


Mid Feb/ March/ Apr/ early May = spring


Mid May/June/Jul/Aug/ First half SEP = summer


Late sep/Oct/Nov = autumn 


 


 


 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
12 September 2022 06:52:42

Temp summary: the battle between cooler air from the NE and warmer air on Atlantic coasts continues, though neither much below or above norm respectively. By comparison with yesterday, the cooler air succeeds in advancing to E France & the shores of the Med in week 2, S Britain and W France hanging on to the last of the warmth. Rain in a ring around Poland which is itself dry in week 1; the ring expands as does the drier area at its centre in week 2, the latter then centred on Channel coasts up to Denmark.


GFS Op: as before Danielle dying off NW Spain with trough to S Britain Tue 13th, and Earl dying mid-Atlantic. Then a period with HP to W of Ireland and LP centred in Baltic and N-lies for Britain, until Mom 19th when the HP moves E-wards but hangs on, situated in the northern  N Sea while a broad trough develops from Spain to Greenland by Sun 25th. LP then controls the N Atlantic but not a dartboard low as shown yesterday, just a trough extending S over UK Wed 28th.


GEFS : in the S, warm with a little rain at first, dropping to cool Fri 16th and steadily back to norm Wed 21st, very dry during this period, perhaps a little rain from Mon 26th. ENs members good agreement. The N misses out on the early warmth and rain, and with more disagreement in ens members from 26th but probably cooler and wetter at this time.


ECM: similar to GFS but HP situated more to south in N Sea Wed 21st so W-lies rather than S-lies at this time


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
12 September 2022 08:33:51


 


Dec/Jan/ early Feb = winter 


Mid Feb/ March/ Apr/ early May = spring


Mid May/June/Jul/Aug/ First half SEP = summer


Late sep/Oct/Nov = autumn 


 


 


 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


Yes, I think that fits well for the southernmost part of Great Britain, including here in Kent.


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.
Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl
Sevendust
12 September 2022 08:44:31


Yes, I think that fits well for the southernmost part of Great Britain, including here in Kent.


Originally Posted by: AJ* 


Agreed. The need to segment into 3 month blocks seems to occupy people too much 

Rob K
12 September 2022 10:05:22


Surprised no mention of tomorrows potential record temperature in the south


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


What record potential is there? The date record is over 30C and there's surely no danger of that being broken?


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Saint Snow
12 September 2022 10:58:51


 


That's another thing it verrys alot from North to South in the UK.  That's why a 3 month segment starting the 1st of each month makes it much more simple for the UK overall. 


Why some care what start date is used for each season baffles me. 


Originally Posted by: Zubzero 


 


 



 


It's an irrelevance.


I think, when you're a parent and the return to school is the beginning of September, it neatly ties off the summer mindset. So summer ending at the end of August fits from a psychological perspective.


Also, I find the weather's usually better in June. And there's the long days, too. It's dark around 8 now - hardly summery! (and that's with the artificially later sunset times through BST)


I've always thought of June as a summer month and September as an autumn month. It's convenient and more accurate.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Saint Snow
12 September 2022 11:00:28


 


Dec/Jan/ early Feb = winter 


Mid Feb/ March/ Apr/ early May = spring


Mid May/June/Jul/Aug/ First half SEP = summer


Late sep/Oct/Nov = autumn 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


 


June, July & August = summer


September to May = autumn



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Jiries
12 September 2022 11:50:55


 


 


June, July & August = summer


September to May = autumn


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


that true there no winter season at all, that only called winter for UK latitude is snow, ice and sub-zero days but without that Autumn persist and it been boring Autumnal since late August this year so hope to get some decent sunny days then get warmer during Queen funeral date onward so that welcome. to keep heating off 100% in Sept.  Very soon we will see what October bring but hope to be a repeat of 1995 October as it been well over due for warm Oct since 2011.

The Beast from the East
12 September 2022 12:01:29


 


What record potential is there? The date record is over 30C and there's surely no danger of that being broken?


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


There was a story on my Windows feed, but its clear the date record is safe, but night time temp will be high, perhaps that is the record they were talking about


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Chunky Pea
12 September 2022 12:10:03


 


Dec/Jan/ early Feb = winter 


Mid Feb/ March/ Apr/ early May = spring


Mid May/June/Jul/Aug/ First half SEP = summer


Late sep/Oct/Nov = autumn 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


Also valid. Though temp wise, I think potential minima plays a factor in people's perceptions as well. Low temps and frosts only rarely occur from late June/July thourgh to early Aug, but become more frequent from the end of Aug up until late May or early June even. Grant it, late Aug and Sept can also record some of the warmest nights of the year as well. 


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Downpour
12 September 2022 13:04:09


In terms of weather and temps, this breakdown is just a valid in my opinion. 


Jan/Feb/Mar = Winter


Apr/May/Jun = Spring


Jul/Aug/Sept = Summer


Oct/Nov/Dec = Autumn 


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


 


I'd be happy with that TBH – also matches the business quarters which are often called by those names as shorthand (winter quarter, spring quarter etc)


Chingford
London E4
147ft
picturesareme
12 September 2022 13:08:40


 


Also valid. Though temp wise, I think potential minima plays a factor in people's perceptions as well. Low temps and frosts only rarely occur from late June/July thourgh to early Aug, but become more frequent from the end of Aug up until late May or early June even. Grant it, late Aug and Sept can also record some of the warmest nights of the year as well. 


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


Frost down here is nonexistent from late April (usually mid) and doesn't return in until October - athough frostless Octobers are not unusual. May is actually a rather unpredictable month here as it's the month that we transition into overnight double digit lows, but the timing can be anywhere from the first week to the last week. For growing tomatoes I usually wait until the end of the second week before planting outside.

Downpour
12 September 2022 13:08:55


 


 


 



 


It's an irrelevance.


I think, when you're a parent and the return to school is the beginning of September, it neatly ties off the summer mindset. So summer ending at the end of August fits from a psychological perspective.


Also, I find the weather's usually better in June. And there's the long days, too. It's dark around 8 now - hardly summery! (and that's with the artificially later sunset times through BST)


I've always thought of June as a summer month and September as an autumn month. It's convenient and more accurate.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


Not sure about that – if you look at record highs I think September holds the whip hand over June, quite easily. 


Chingford
London E4
147ft
picturesareme
12 September 2022 13:11:14


 


There was a story on my Windows feed, but its clear the date record is safe, but night time temp will be high, perhaps that is the record they were talking about


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


It actually warmed up here after midnight with an overnight low of 18.4C which for mid September is impressive. Probably not a record breaker though.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
12 September 2022 13:14:41


 


Frost down here is nonexistent from late April (usually mid) and doesn't return in until October - although frostless Octobers are not unusual. May is actually a rather unpredictable month here as it's the month that we transition into overnight double digit lows, but the timing can be anywhere from the first week to the last week. For growing tomatoes I usually wait until the end of the second week before planting outside.


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


Going by the last few years, I think you could amend that to include frostless Novembers


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl

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