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picturesareme
12 September 2022 13:17:00


 


Going by the last few years, I think you could amend that to include frostless Novembers


Originally Posted by: DEW 


Very true. I always remember the time around bonfire night was often frosty when I was younger but these days they're not. 

Ally Pally Snowman
12 September 2022 14:43:34

80f in London today probably the last time this year. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Jiries
12 September 2022 14:52:29


80f in London today probably the last time this year. 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Bit bad this time as the summer was cut off early from mid-August after the heatwave and now just scrapped 80F but not very nice so I more look forward to 70F and sunny next weekend onward after a sunny cool days during the week.  25C in Letchworth today with lot of clouds so take your pick, cloudy 25C or sunny 20-21C? The latter one will give indoor temps higher than today indoor temps.

Saint Snow
12 September 2022 14:53:08


Not sure about that – if you look at record highs I think September holds the whip hand over June, quite easily. 


Originally Posted by: Downpour 


 


On average, max temps in June are around 1c above thoise in Sept, and min temps around 0.5c higher.


Sunshine hours are around 200 hours in June and 150 hours in Sept.


Obviously some small differences across the UK, but in every station data I've skimmed through, on average June is warmer and sunnier than September.


It's therefore got more claim to be a summer month


 


And, like I say, it fits more conveniently.



Martin
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Aneurin Bevan
Nick Gilly
12 September 2022 16:19:49


80f in London today probably the last time this year. 


Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


 


I wouldn't bet on that...

bledur
12 September 2022 17:59:07

Could be quite a wet 24hrs for the far south.


Chart image

Osprey
12 September 2022 18:24:34


 


Very true. I always remember the time around bonfire night was often frosty when I was younger but these days they're not. 


Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

More often than not early 60's going to school in the morning after Guy Fawkes night, freezing cold frost, very foggy, looking for


spent rockets.


Those were the days of coal fires and thick fog. (London)


Nobody likes a smartass, especially another smartass...
If it ain't broke, don't fix it!
Sevendust
12 September 2022 20:13:02


Could be quite a wet 24hrs for the far south.


Chart image


Originally Posted by: bledur 

Rain likely to turn thundery so variations may be notable

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
13 September 2022 07:21:55

The trough in S England, shown as a minor feature over the last couple of days, now appears to be much more active for areas as far north as Oxford.


WX temp summary - not much to add to yesterday the battle between cooler air from the NE and warmer air on Atlantic coasts continues, though neither much below or above norm respectively. By comparison with yesterday, the cooler air succeeds in advancing to E France & the shores of the Med in week 2, S Britain and W France hanging on to the last of the warmth. though I not a small patch of very warm quite local to S Biscay week 1 - see 'unusual world weather' thread - and the colder air also down to Turkey in week 2 (but with the Black Sea an 'island' of contrasting warmth with the land around it.


Rain in a ring around Poland in week 1 as yesterday though a bit further east so Britain is outside the ring and dry-ish; week 2 is forecast differently with the ring breaking up and wet weather moving in from the Atlantic en masse.


GFS Op consistent with yesterday; Danielle and Earl filling  to the S of UK (perhaps more slowly than shown yesterday), then HP appearing to the W of Ireland with N-lies from Thu 15th moving E-wards to cover Britain Tue 20th translating into a SW-NE ridge before Atlantic W-lies take over from Sat 24th; quite a deep LP 970mb Faeroes to start with but soon settling down to the usual LP near Iceland, HP from SW England S-wards.


ECM similar but HP further W of Ireland to start with so N-lies while not strong are more extensive; then the Lp Sat 24th is not so deep so W-lies less strong.


GEFS in the S currently warm with some rain, while the N is near norm and dry; all areas cool and dry-ish from Thu 15th for a week after which temps near norm (though quite a lot of variation between ens members sets in) and small amounts of rain then expected.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Northern Sky
13 September 2022 18:15:02

GFS 12z continues the dry high pressure borefest and takes it to new levels. 

Jiries
13 September 2022 19:08:53


GFS 12z continues the dry high pressure borefest and takes it to new levels. 


Originally Posted by: Northern Sky 


if going to be sunny days it not borefest as last first 2 weeks of Sept had been very borefest.  Need drying out and heating still won't be needed if sunny days 16-17C and 6-7C windless night will keep indoors warm.  Wind, clouds and rain can reduce the indoor temps a lot than sunny and cool nights.

tierradelfuego
13 September 2022 20:17:09


 


if going to be sunny days it not borefest as last first 2 weeks of Sept had been very borefest.  Need drying out and heating still won't be needed if sunny days 16-17C and 6-7C windless night will keep indoors warm.  Wind, clouds and rain can reduce the indoor temps a lot than sunny and cool nights.


Originally Posted by: Jiries 


 


Think you're in dreamland but...Good luck!!


Bucklebury
West Berkshire Downs AONB
135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS
Rainfall collector separated at ground level
Anemometer separated above roof level
WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Weather)
Jiries
13 September 2022 20:32:35


 


 


Think you're in dreamland but...Good luck!!


Originally Posted by: tierradelfuego 


How so when apps and forecasts going for those temps? 

ballamar
13 September 2022 21:11:38
If you want some fun look at the latest CFS run full of wintry delights, a run to cheer up Retron after the worst summer! Quick before it disappears
briggsy6
13 September 2022 21:29:32

Quite a big drop in daily maxes from Wed to Thu coming up. Are winds progged to be coming more down from a Nly direcxtion?


Location: Uxbridge
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
13 September 2022 21:53:26


Quite a big drop in daily maxes from Wed to Thu coming up. Are winds progged to be coming more down from a Nly direcxtion?


Originally Posted by: briggsy6 


Yes; go look at a chart or two.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
13 September 2022 22:00:56

If you want some fun look at the latest CFS run full of wintry delights, a run to cheer up Retron after the worst summer! Quick before it disappears

Originally Posted by: ballamar 


Wow!  Just the winter when we could do without.


Anomaly of at least 5C below norm covering most if not all of Britain from Nov to Apr inclusive, with just one month off in Feb. 


If I believed that LRFs were reliable, I'd be really worried.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Retron
14 September 2022 03:47:14

If you want some fun look at the latest CFS run full of wintry delights, a run to cheer up Retron after the worst summer! Quick before it disappears

Originally Posted by: ballamar 


Yes, a cold and snowy December on that run, with more to come afterwards - it's only 2300 hours away, what could possibly go wrong?


Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
14 September 2022 06:47:59


Quite a big drop in daily maxes from Wed to Thu coming up. Are winds progged to be coming more down from a Nly direcxtion?


Originally Posted by: briggsy6 


Yes mean gin blue skies and keep indoor warmer from strong sun input. if hazy wont warm up much.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
14 September 2022 07:40:18

And for the third day in a row, WX temp summary shows the battle between cooler air from the NE and warmer air on Atlantic coasts continuing, though neither much below or above norm respectively. By comparison with yesterday, the cooler air succeeds in advancing to E France & the shores of the Med in week 2, S Britain and W France hanging on to the last of the warmth'. Today there is a sign of a push back in week 2 from the SW led by that unusually warm area in S Biscay but the colder air continues to affect Turkey in week 2 (but with the Black Sea an 'island' of contrasting warmth with the land around it.


Rainfall however continues to shift around - week 1 dry in Ireland, wet for Europe east of and including Germany; week 2 dry in the Baltic and S Norway, wet around this area including S Britain


Jet mostly weak to the N of Britain and down the N Sea until Sat 24, when a loop off Ireland gradually begins to affect England. Last chart for Fri 30 turns violent past Greenland ad down the W Irish coast


GFS Op shows HP gradually moving in from the W to cover Britain Tue 20th after a week with N-ly winds, promoted by deep LP over Estonia. This HP moves off E-wards to Denmark Sun 25th and a shallow LP W of Ireland brings in S-lies (not W-lies as forecast yesterday). This gradually drifts N-wards but then teams up with the Atlantic to give a broad trough of LP affecting all Britain Fri 30th.


ECM shows the HP fading rather than drifting E-wards, and being replaced by a new HP on the Atlantic Sat 24th (not LP as in GFS) with a renewed spell of N-lies


GEFS is cool for a week (quite cold around Sat 17th, less so and for a shorter period in the SW) with rain starting up again in modest amounts from about Sat 24th


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
14 September 2022 08:09:16


 


Yes, a cold and snowy December on that run, with more to come afterwards - it's only 2300 hours away, what could possibly go wrong?


Originally Posted by: Retron 


Everything? CFS is quite different this morning with a cold October and a mild December, reversing yesterday's forecast, and proper winter January onwards, not letting up until May.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
ballamar
14 September 2022 09:02:24


 


Everything? CFS is quite different this morning with a cold October and a mild December, reversing yesterday's forecast, and proper winter January onwards, not letting up until May.


Originally Posted by: DEW 


don’t let the Express know about CFS though - Armageddon would have been reported by now 

briggsy6
14 September 2022 13:32:17

Have the Express printed their traditional Autumn "A new ice age is coming" headline yet?


Location: Uxbridge
Osprey
14 September 2022 16:40:52


Have the Express printed their traditional Autumn "A new ice age is coming" headline yet?


Originally Posted by: briggsy6 


The paper boy who cried Wolf!


Nobody likes a smartass, especially another smartass...
If it ain't broke, don't fix it!
The Beast from the East
14 September 2022 17:35:11


Have the Express printed their traditional Autumn "A new ice age is coming" headline yet?


Originally Posted by: briggsy6 


The new editorial team has no interest in the weather. During the heatwave they barely mentioned it, probably because it didn't fit with their anti-climate change agenda


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President

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