theweatheroutlook

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DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
28 April 2024 17:30:55
Extreme heat in Manila with 38C braking a record which has stood for over 100 years., and persisting for several days. Add in humidity and effectively it's 46C
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-28/philippines-shuts-schools-as-heat-in-capital-busts-1915-record?embedded-checkout=true 

Of course, global warming is driven by energy consumption, so the first thing to do in a heat wave is to use more power in the form of air conditioning!
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
The Beast from the East
29 April 2024 01:01:26

Extreme heat in Manila with 38C braking a record which has stood for over 100 years., and persisting for several days. Add in humidity and effectively it's 46C
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-28/philippines-shuts-schools-as-heat-in-capital-busts-1915-record?embedded-checkout=true 

Of course, global warming is driven by energy consumption, so the first thing to do in a heat wave is to use more power in the form of air conditioning!

Originally Posted by: DEW 



Surprised that was their record, but I suppose tropical climates dont get that high but humidity makes it feel hotter than it is 
"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Jiries
29 April 2024 04:42:25

Surprised that was their record, but I suppose tropical climates dont get that high but humidity makes it feel hotter than it is 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 



The highest temperature ever recorded in the Philippines was 42.2°C (108.0°F) in Tuguegarao City, Cagayan on May 11, 1969.

Surprised it did not break that record this year.  I also know Manila did reached 40C sometimes at some past years before. 
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
29 April 2024 05:28:01
I still follow temps in that part of the world.
I'm sure when I was there in 1998 in an El Nino there were similar temps. Manila in particular was hot.
What I've noticed this year is that people over there refer to heat index figures more than they used to.
The south west monsoon (Habagat) will begin soon and with it cooler, relatively speaking, temps.
The high humidity is the hard part to live in.
Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Jiries
29 April 2024 05:56:29

I still follow temps in that part of the world.
I'm sure when I was there in 1998 in an El Nino there were similar temps. Manila in particular was hot.
What I've noticed this year is that people over there refer to heat index figures more than they used to.
The south west monsoon (Habagat) will begin soon and with it cooler, relatively speaking, temps.
The high humidity is the hard part to live in.

Originally Posted by: NMA 



I noticed that and can be misleading and confused them as many are not into weather.  We don’t use this index here at all but sprouting up there as they upgraded their weather station equipments.
+1
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
06 May 2024 08:14:30
Serious floods in Tanzania and Kenya - 400 dead - about to be compounded by cyclone Hidaya
https://watchers.news/2024/05/03/tropical-cyclone-hidaya-heading-toward-tanzania-and-kenya/ 
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/05/a-rare-tropical-cyclone-landfall-is-on-tap-for-tanzania/ 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Chunky Pea
18 May 2024 11:04:56
That big storm in southern Texas the other evening turned day into night. Freaky stuff.



Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 

"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
Joe Bloggs
21 May 2024 12:09:46
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c8889d7x8j4o 

Always goes to show - keep your seatbelt fastened, especially during wet season. 

I have had some horrible turbulence over the Bay of Bengal and wider areas of SE Asia over the years. 

Latest maps show occasional CBs all the way up to 50,000 feet - must be very difficult for pilots to navigate through weather like that. 

https://www.turbulenceforecast.com/maps/india-middle-east.gif 

RIP to the poor soul who died. 
 

Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Retron
21 May 2024 13:00:56

That big storm in southern Texas the other evening turned day into night. Freaky stuff.


Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


I've seen something similar once, and only once: heading to my nan's house with my parents, around the year 2000. Even though it was the middle of the day (summer, I think), it turned into dusk... it was like driving at 4PM on a cloudy late November afternoon.

There was some epic hail and thunder from that, though, and of course it didn't last for long. By the time we were heading home (around 5PM) the sun was shining and you would never have known how dark it had been!

(And no, it wasn't the eclipse - I watched that from my back garden!)
Leysdown, north Kent
+1
Jiries
22 May 2024 12:06:12

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c8889d7x8j4o 

Always goes to show - keep your seatbelt fastened, especially during wet season. 

I have had some horrible turbulence over the Bay of Bengal and wider areas of SE Asia over the years. 

Latest maps show occasional CBs all the way up to 50,000 feet - must be very difficult for pilots to navigate through weather like that. 

https://www.turbulenceforecast.com/maps/india-middle-east.gif 

RIP to the poor soul who died. 
 

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 



I had been over to Singapore then to Manila, that route they take over Nico islands always get nasty turnulence every time we passed over follow by a slight drop on height then flight back to smooth.  I think they should re-route and avoid those areas with islands west of Thailand as it seem a turbulence zone
+1
tierradelfuego
22 May 2024 12:55:04

I had been over to Singapore then to Manila, that route they take over Nico islands always get nasty turnulence every time we passed over follow by a slight drop on height then flight back to smooth.  I think they should re-route and avoid those areas with islands west of Thailand as it seem a turbulence zone

Originally Posted by: Jiries 



I do that flight most years as well Jiries, or at least down to Singapore and onto Australia, yes it is often pretty turbulent.

I think the point though is that it isn't the islands that cause it, as they really aren't big enough to create that level of turbulence.

It is more to do with flying over the ITCZ, so re-routing wouldn't make a difference. I have also flown direct to Bangkok and to Brazil, neither of which fly over the islands and it was just as bad once you got down into the ITCZ. The ITCZ obviously moves north and south though with the seasons so some years can be worse than others, depending on the time of year I fly.
Bucklebury
West Berkshire Downs AONB
135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS
Rainfall collector separated at ground level
Anemometer separated above roof level
WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Weather)
LeedsLad123
22 May 2024 13:34:08

That big storm in southern Texas the other evening turned day into night. Freaky stuff.



Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


I know a few people in Houston and they tell me they’re tired of living there - they are looking to move due to the risk of severe weather all year and it only seems to be getting worse, with hurricanes and flooding being especially big threats but the summer heat and humidity is getting to be too much. Home insurance rates are sky high and some companies have even abandoned the Houston market entirely.

it’s one of the cities that will be most affected by climate change moving forward.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
+1
Rob K
23 May 2024 15:18:47
https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1793310148728926595 

Tropical eastern Atlantic temperatures already on a par with what would be seen in mid August. Totally unprecedented and off the charts.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Gandalf The White
23 May 2024 16:48:11

https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/1793310148728926595 

Tropical eastern Atlantic temperatures already on a par with what would be seen in mid August. Totally unprecedented and off the charts.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 



I’ve been keeping an eye on ocean and land surface temperatures - the ocean is at crazy high levels and those tracking this are very worried by the unprecedented heat, just hoping that somehow it might be El Niño related (which I don’t see how it can be).

When you think about how much energy is required to heat water (v air) that’s an awful lot of energy.
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


+1
Roger Parsons
23 May 2024 20:12:42

I’ve been keeping an eye on ocean and land surface temperatures - the ocean is at crazy high levels and those tracking this are very worried by the unprecedented heat, just hoping that somehow it might be El Niño related (which I don’t see how it can be).

When you think about how much energy is required to heat water (v air) that’s an awful lot of energy.

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

This BBC piece seems to follow that neatly...
"As many as 13 Atlantic hurricanes of category one or above are forecast for the period, which runs from June to November.
Record high sea surface temperatures are partly to blame, as is a likely shift in regional weather patterns.
While there's no evidence climate change is producing more hurricanes, it is making the most powerful ones more likely, and bringing heavier rainfall.
"This [hurricane] season is looking to be an extraordinary one," NOAA administrator Rick Spinrad said in a news conference."

The old 1950s mnemonic ran:
"June - too soon.
July - stand by.
August - come it must.
September - remember!
October - all over."
Only now the season seems at least a month longer.

Atlantic to get 'extraordinary' hurricane season
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw441ng00wxo 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Jiries
23 May 2024 20:23:37

I’ve been keeping an eye on ocean and land surface temperatures - the ocean is at crazy high levels and those tracking this are very worried by the unprecedented heat, just hoping that somehow it might be El Niño related (which I don’t see how it can be).

When you think about how much energy is required to heat water (v air) that’s an awful lot of energy.

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 



I remember last year there was some very warmer sea temps around SW of Ireland and Cornwall that started to appeared and wiped out our seasons with nearly a year now of dull, wet and cool summer temps and mild winters.   Thought if the sea get warmer there should be more HP in our lattitude which UK becoming like Azores zone.? I all i see is HP kept reversing wrong way NW instead of east as it should be due to earth rotates and how it used to before moving east easily.   
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
28 May 2024 21:19:19
Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. Experts predict an 85 percent chance of an above-normal season., linked to La Nina and unusually warm ocean temps

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season 

I'll start up a dedicated thread when these hurricanes appear.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
+1
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
30 May 2024 07:46:04
New record temperature in India? Probably not, but still extremely hot ....

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c166xxd4y36o 


 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Jiries
05 June 2024 20:13:45
Today Nicosia reached 43.6c just 0.3 short to the June hottest record back in 1978 at 43.9C .  Tomorrow forecast going for 44C and slightly hotter before drop back to low 30's for June average.   

See what global warming is all about sending all places record broken except UK failed to get anything average to warm weather let alone June record never broken since 1976.  With global warming if was true for UK it would had already hit 38-39C this month.  
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
05 June 2024 20:52:14

Today Nicosia reached 43.6c just 0.3 short to the June hottest record back in 1978 at 43.9C .  Tomorrow forecast going for 44C and slightly hotter before drop back to low 30's for June average.   

See what global warming is all about sending all places record broken except UK failed to get anything average to warm weather let alone June record never broken since 1976.  With global warming if was true for UK it would had already hit 38-39C this month.  

Originally Posted by: Jiries 



19/7/22, 40.3 C, Coningsby Lincs - that wasn't too long ago!
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
+3
Jiries
05 June 2024 22:02:45

19/7/22, 40.3 C, Coningsby Lincs - that wasn't too long ago!

Originally Posted by: DEW 



It one off but no other months or June get some heat record broken more often and surprising that last record was set in June 1976  and never came back to that value of 35.6C  If wasn't the stupid summer northern blocking that started to appeared too much this century we would be already got a 38C or 39C for June.   Most other months warm records was set in non-global warming times.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
06 June 2024 06:06:13

It one off but no other months or June get some heat record broken more often and surprising that last record was set in June 1976  and never came back to that value of 35.6C  If wasn't the stupid summer northern blocking that started to appeared too much this century we would be already got a 38C or 39C for June.   Most other months warm records was set in non-global warming times.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 



I refer you to https://www.torro.org.uk/extremes/date-records/max-temp  which lists 6 dates in June since 2017 when the date record was broken.

 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
+3
Jiries
06 June 2024 08:40:15

I refer you to https://www.torro.org.uk/extremes/date-records/max-temp  which lists 6 dates in June since 2017 when the date record was broken.

 

Originally Posted by: DEW 



Guess you don;'t understand what I mean about June absolute max record had not been achieved under this so-called global warming only 35.6C was recorded in 1976 under non-global warming that time.  48 years on and no record being broken to beat 35.6C not even 36.0C rounded figure.   Someone posted the live cam of Santa Claus village and it was 22C at midnight to now 21C.  It now flashing number and the red light themometer seem not working now.   Lapland warmer than the UK at the moment but look over cast.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cp4RRAEgpeU 
Jiries
06 June 2024 08:46:21
42.2 at the moment in Athienou, near Nicosia and Nicosia itself now 41.7 with forecast of 44C today so possible to break the 43.9C record today.
Jiries
06 June 2024 10:16:24
45.0C in Athienou whlie Nicosia 43.5.  Still going on but record broken now to 45C at the moment.  Just shy of 5C left to 50C and might see that one day in my life time in Cyprus.
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