theweatheroutlook

Remove ads from site

Gavin D
  • Gavin D
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
22 August 2024 09:30:14
The met office have named Storm Lilian for tomorrow morning across Northern England, North Wales and South West Scotland

An area of strong winds associated with Storm Lilian is expected to move east across northern England during Friday morning.
Whilst there remains some uncertainty about the details, some very strong winds are likely to develop, with gusts widely in the 50 to 60mph range, with a lower chance that a small core of winds gusting 65-75 mph, perhaps 80 mph, could push quickly east during the morning. 
These winds are likely to affect major routes such as the M6, A66 and A1(M), as well as potentially impacting infrastructure.

As well as the strong winds, some locally heavy rainfall will add to the difficult travel conditions.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2024-08-23&id=1a0a4fcb-43b8-4a5a-a69c-283dcf6a7572 
Retron
22 August 2024 10:00:16

The met office have named Storm Lilian for tomorrow morning across Northern England, North Wales and South West Scotland

An area of strong winds associated with Storm Lilian is expected to move east across northern England during Friday morning.
Whilst there remains some uncertainty about the details, some very strong winds are likely to develop, with gusts widely in the 50 to 60mph range, with a lower chance that a small core of winds gusting 65-75 mph, perhaps 80 mph, could push quickly east during the morning. 
These winds are likely to affect major routes such as the M6, A66 and A1(M), as well as potentially impacting infrastructure.

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Sounds like sting jet potential - exceptionally rare to be looking out for one in August, I'd have thought! Hopefully it won't happen, because if it did it'd be headline news due to the devastation it'd cause (what with trees being in full length).

It's worth noting too that the "risk matrix" is one step away from amber. If the stronger swathe of winds looks likely tomorrow then an amber is assured, I'd have thought.
Leysdown, north Kent
johncs2016
22 August 2024 11:21:35
Yet another named storm occurring during our so-called "summer", albeit right at the end of the summer on this occasion just before the new list of names for next year is due to be released.

That has become quite a regular occurence just lately and the only year during the last three years in which we didn't get a named storm during the summer as far as I know (and I am more than happy to be corrected on that if I'm wrong) was last year and given that last summer was the worst of our most recent summers overall, that is probably something which wouldn't have been expected to have been the case.
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Chunky Pea
22 August 2024 11:32:34

Yet another named storm occurring during our so-called "summer", albeit right at the end of the summer on this occasion just before the new list of names for next year is due to be released.

That has become quite a regular occurence just lately and the only year during the last three years in which we didn't get a named storm during the summer as far as I know (and I am more than happy to be corrected on that if I'm wrong) was last year and given that last summer was the worst of our most recent summers overall, that is probably something which wouldn't have been expected to have been the case.

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


August has always been prone to vigorous depressions though. Massive destruction in the east of Ireland from one such event in 1986 and even a few years ago, we had deep depressions passing over at this stage in August. 

UserPostedImage


Also, a Wiki article here on the 'Fastnet Storm of 1979.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1979_Fastnet_Race 
Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 

"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
lanky
22 August 2024 11:40:44

August has always been prone to vigorous depressions though. Massive destruction in the east of Ireland from one such event in 1986 and even a few years ago, we had deep depressions passing over at this stage in August. 

UserPostedImage


Also, a Wiki article here on the 'Fastnet Storm of 1979.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1979_Fastnet_Race 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


Not to mention the infamous Fastnet Storm of 14 Aug 1979
Martin
Richmond, Surrey
+1
bledur
22 August 2024 12:03:08

Not to mention the infamous Fastnet Storm of 14 Aug 1979

Originally Posted by: lanky 


Yes , i do not think this is anything particularly unusual. Hurricane Charlie brought widespread damage to Ireland and the U.K.  in 86
speckledjim
22 August 2024 12:16:44

August has always been prone to vigorous depressions though. Massive destruction in the east of Ireland from one such event in 1986 and even a few years ago, we had deep depressions passing over at this stage in August. 

UserPostedImage


Also, a Wiki article here on the 'Fastnet Storm of 1979.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1979_Fastnet_Race 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 


I remember it well. we were living just south of Drogheda
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
+1
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
22 August 2024 14:32:26
A transgender storm? or should we consider Lilian to be Ernesto's daughter?
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
picturesareme
22 August 2024 15:00:16

A transgender storm? or should we consider Lilian to be Ernesto's daughter?

Originally Posted by: DEW 


The bulk of what was Ernesto is now clearing into the north sea
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
22 August 2024 16:05:26

The bulk of what was Ernesto is now clearing into the north sea

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 


From a daily look at the charts, there has been and is a disturbed spell of weather starting with remains of Ernesto arriving in NW Scotland on Wednesday, but the broad trough to which it contributed not clearing until Saturday. IMO the current gales and rain AND Lilian, for which the warnings have been issued, AND the spell of very heavy rain for the SE on Saturday are all part and parcel of what was initiated by Ernesto.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
+1
StoneCroze
22 August 2024 16:31:24
Impressive swells already arriving and coinciding with 10 metre Spring tides.
I remember the 79' Fastnet Race, I personally knew one skipper off a local yacht that was lost and have a friend who lost his father, uncle and two others.  
Alderney, Channel Islands. (previously known as Beaufort)
Bolty
22 August 2024 21:10:56
Raining in Manchester city centre at the moment, though the wind is fairly light. It was a bit windy back at home before I left though.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
Jiries
22 August 2024 22:40:55

Impressive swells already arriving and coinciding with 10 metre Spring tides.
I remember the 79' Fastnet Race, I personally knew one skipper off a local yacht that was lost and have a friend who lost his father, uncle and two others.  

Originally Posted by: StoneCroze 


Another yawn fest and nothing special about it.  Storms in other countries without stupid names are far more superior than here.  Storms are meant to bring lot of thunder, hail, sharp drop in temperatures, high winds or tornadoes.
See the posts from Stainesbloke who live in Czech, he kept mentioning lot of storms over there during the summer so seem very iively without names.  Aways detest Staines climate when he come here for work a lot.

The recent storm hit Death Valley last year August that sent over 2 inches of rain, strong winds, thunder and temperatures drop very low to 21C something that really cold for their summer season which is around 46-47C maxes. I was very intense interested viewing that rare storm event.
ballamar
23 August 2024 05:37:04
Chance of a very wet spell in the South East tomorrow morning wouldn’t be surprised to see a yellow warning at some point today. Definitely going to be a miserable start for some on the bank holiday weekend
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
23 August 2024 05:50:44
A gust of 44mph seems to be easing now though.
We had 53mph two days ago.
There's been heavy bursts of rain on and off since midnight just gone past 10mm which did surprise me as it doesn't seem 'wet' it has just been soaked up as we were really dry before that with about 12mm for the month. 
North York Moors weather 
Bolty
23 August 2024 06:11:27
Blowing a hooley here with a few heavy, squally showers passing through. I've recorded a wind gust of 50mph on my PWS.

Also a bit of a mess outside as well. Fridays are bin day around here so there's quite a few wheelie bins and rubbish all over the place. A good few branches and small trees down as well. It shows what a massive difference it makes when these storms happen at a time when the trees are still in full leaf. The leaves just act like massive sails, ripping branches down more easily.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
Retron
23 August 2024 06:15:38
Crosby reporting 45 gusting to 59 at 6:50 this morning - tropical storm levels of wind. That follows a gust of 70 earlier. I'd imagine there'll be quite a mess up there as a result...

Highest gust right now is 69 at Lake Vyrnwy in Wales, so the warnings were well deserved IMO - and I do wonder if a sting jet is involved, as those gusts are much higher than those recorded relatively nearby.
Leysdown, north Kent
+1
StoneCroze
23 August 2024 06:33:44

Crosby reporting 45 gusting to 59 at 6:50 this morning - tropical storm levels of wind. That follows a gust of 70 earlier. I'd imagine there'll be quite a mess up there as a result...

Highest gust right now is 69 at Lake Vyrnwy in Wales, so the warnings were well deserved IMO - and I do wonder if a sting jet is involved, as those gusts are much higher than those recorded relatively nearby.

Originally Posted by: Retron 


We're a long way from the centre but I imagine there will be some funnelling effect up the Channel, sea is looking very rough as I look out the window.
Latest Metar from our airport.

EGJA 230620Z 24029G39KT 3000 -DZ BR BKN002 18/17 Q1005.
Alderney, Channel Islands. (previously known as Beaufort)
Tim A
23 August 2024 07:15:26
60mph at Leeds Bradford Airport.  I would say 60mph is quite unusual for August .
11.9c on my PWS. Grim. 
Hope there has not been too much damage but can imagine my arch and arbour could have fallen over especially with the extra weight of the leaves. Will have to wait until next week when I am back to find out. 
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

 My PWS 
+1
Crepuscular Ray
23 August 2024 07:52:02
https://www.facebook.com/share/4qDESpZyKJZB85gU/ 
Quite a bit of tree damage and blocked roads around the Dales
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Joe Bloggs
23 August 2024 08:18:40
Wow severe disruption in the Manchester area this morning . Most trams suspended and big problems on the rail network.
I was surprised by the ferocity of the wind around 6am - it really was quite bad.
Despite the warnings - this has taken a few by surprise, probably due to the time of year. Not a good start to the bank holiday weekend. 

Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
speckledjim
23 August 2024 08:23:08

Wow severe disruption in the Manchester area this morning . Most trams suspended and big problems on the rail network.
I was surprised by the ferocity of the wind around 6am - it really was quite bad.
Despite the warnings - this has taken a few by surprise, probably due to the time of year. Not a good start to the bank holiday weekend. 

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


Peaked here about 7am. Lots of issues at Leeds Festival just up the road from me 
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
23 August 2024 08:24:21
Strong gusts here this morning, with the first rain we’ve had for a while and we have a tree down over a local road.  It’s very gradually losing strength now.  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Saint Snow
23 August 2024 08:50:15

Impressive swells already arriving and coinciding with 10 metre Spring tides.
I remember the 79' Fastnet Race, I personally knew one skipper off a local yacht that was lost and have a friend who lost his father, uncle and two others.  

Originally Posted by: StoneCroze 




I was reading about the 79 Fastnet recently - around its anniversary. I remember it on the news at the time (I was 7). Heard references in subsequent years but didn't think that much about it. Reading about some of the personal stories of survival - and having to leave family/friends on boats - was pretty strong stuff.

As for the weather here, it's certainly been blowy and wet since last night. But no damage that I can see.

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
23 August 2024 09:00:04

I was reading about the 79 Fastnet recently - around its anniversary. I remember it on the news at the time (I was 7). Heard references in subsequent years but didn't think that much about it. Reading about some of the personal stories of survival - and having to leave family/friends on boats - was pretty strong stuff.

As for the weather here, it's certainly been blowy and wet since last night. But no damage that I can see.

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I was camping in Cornwall with my 7 year old son at the time of the Fastnet disaster.  It was certainly very rough, but thankfully our campsite was fairly sheltered. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

Remove ads from site

Ads