So, further indicators on top of the long range models that point towards an average June.
The way it seems to be shaping up, I can see greater potential than in recent years for some warm conditions to establish at times, but the threat of slow moving troughs in the vicinity of the UK is also substantial.
Drawing it all together, and anticipating no major shift in where blocking tends to develop, produces more or less the same result as the models - it looks likely to be a fairly average month overall to me.
I suspect (or should I say hope) that the average whole might end up masking some marked variations between parts of the month, from warm and dry to cool and showery.
For a provisional prediction, I'll say 14.2°C please.
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser