This is a particularly tough prediction to make because when looking for a guide to the initial few days, GFS predicts much lower minimums than the Met Office, which according to my calculations has a surprisingly large impact on the CET for the month as a whole - around 0.4°C.
After the year's nature to date, and given the colder than average SSTs around the UK, it's hard to fully believe that an above average month can be achieved - but some of the patterns within our grasp are certainly capable of achieving that, so...
I'm going to go for 14.77°C and hope for the best!
Edit: added another 7 because I might as well
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[email protected] https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On