Conversely Roger J Smith thinks mild;
http://www.gavsweathervids.com/rogerjsmith.html
(second post in the table)
Personally I've not really started thinking about winter 13/14 yet, though my NAO forecast based on May's SST's did suggest a negative NAO was likely again.
For a long time 2013 seemed to be running very closely to 1962, but we deviated from that in July.
Solar activity remains way, way below what you would normally expect in a typical solar maximum, so even if we do end up mild overall, I suspect we'll still have some cold/snowy snaps to deal with...
I'll start turning my mind to it much more seriously in September.
Originally Posted by: Gavin P