Hello folks,

Here's the week ahead forecast videoi: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html

Here's the traditional week ahead Thoughts: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/written.html

High pressure (and Northern Blocking) rules the roost, but questions for Wed/Thu onwards.

Just a heads up to say that tomorrow I'll have the first winter 13/14 seasonal model round-up, which will hopefully be very interesting.

Thanks for your support and thanks as ever to Brian and the Mods.

Edit: Here's today's video - The First Winter 13-14 Seasonal Model Round-Up;

http://www.gavsweathervids.com

Thanks Gary for the traditional ..

All very well put...

Cheers Gav

Cheers as always, Gavin. Looks like summer's final fling for around here.

Cheers Gav.

Thanks all.

Thanks Gavin

Hi all,

Here's the first Winter 13-14 seasonal model round-up video;

http://www.gavsweathervids.com

Haven't got all that many this month, but what we have got seem's to be pointing to a cold winter - Though the CFS may be backing off at the moment to be honest

Thanks Gavin, just got rid of some weekend guests and hoped you had time to upload it this early and you had! Great video as always - very interesting regarding CFS - is it leading the pack or having a wobble? Without the Beijing model it's hard to tell - I take it the Brazillian model isn't available either?  Didn't CFS have a wobble around this time last year if I remember correctly and I also seem to remember the Meto model flipped in October to a milder solution. One to watch I think and at this early stage a lot can change quickly.

Thanks Scandy.

The Brazillian doesn't quite cover the winter yet, so I left it out for this month - We'll see it next month.

CFS did indeed have a wobble through last autumn, infact you may remember that by the time we got to the final 12/13 seasonal model round-up I think it was only the BCC and JAMSTEC that was still going for a cold winter. All the others (including CFS) had lost it.

Now we are getting towards the interesting months I have been flicking through the CFS runs and they aren't producing much in the way of quality ( in terms of cold ) charts . Hopefully it is just a wobble

Thanks Gavin,

Didn't hapened to be a nice day over the S and E as you mentioned for today.  Last Friday was a lovely day than yesterday and today.

thanks Gavin

looks like the odds are favoured towards a cold winter