theweatheroutlook

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chiversa
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:23:28 PM


Buoy 62107 between Lands End and The Scillys measuring rapid pressure drop now:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=62107&meas=wdpr&uom=E&time_diff=0&time_label=GMT


 


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


looking at www.xcweather.com , its calm or light winds over most of the south of england  the winds seeems much stronger to the channel and over the frech coast, could thr strongest winds  be diverting further south and east ?


Alan

beaufort
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:23:30 PM

Aviation forecast for Guernsey.


EGJB 271716Z 2718/2803 22028G39KT 9000 RA SCT010 BKN015 TEMPO 2718/2802 1500 +RA BKN003 BECMG BECMG             2721/2724 20040G65KT BECMG 2801/2803 25032G50KT=


 

Matty H
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:27:09 PM
Still not a breath of wind. Light rain continues.
Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
nsrobins
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:30:09 PM



Buoy 62107 between Lands End and The Scillys measuring rapid pressure drop now:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=62107&meas=wdpr&uom=E&time_diff=0&time_label=GMT


 


Originally Posted by: chiversa 


looking at www.xcweather.com , its calm or light winds over most of the south of england  the winds seeems much stronger to the channel and over the frech coast, could thr strongest winds  be diverting further south and east ?


Alan


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


It's possible the strongest gusts will be in the Channel, but we are still in the initial period of rapid development so all will become clear in the next four hours or so.
My gut feeling is the storm will be a half-way house affair, with the swathe of damaging gusts limited to the S Coast and SE, but no doubt there will be reports of significant affects by the morning.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
dicko
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:30:55 PM
Is this really the lull before the storm?
radiohead
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:37:32 PM

18Z NAE is further south and 6mb weaker at 6am tomorrow.

Gooner
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:38:13 PM

http://meteocentre.com/analyses/local/archive/2013102721_eur_full_large.gif?1382908263


It's got some developing to do

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gandalf The White
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:38:43 PM

Something to brighten up the evening

http://www.buzzfeed.com/lukelewis/the-best-of-the-internets-reaction-to-the-st-jude-storm 

Originally Posted by: DeeDee 



Thanks DeeDee, ROFL.

Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


blaggers1968
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:38:54 PM

The pressure is falling quickly now in Exminster (SE Devon). The wind has just picked up markedly from 2mph (gst 5) to 12mph (gst 18) in 10 mins. The direction has also changed from SE to SW suddenly.

Matty H
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:39:50 PM

18Z NAE is further south and 6mb weaker at 6am tomorrow.

Originally Posted by: radiohead 




That's potentially a fairly substantial development.
Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Jim_AFCB
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:40:10 PM


Buoy 62107 between Lands End and The Scillys measuring rapid pressure drop now:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=62107&meas=wdpr&uom=E&time_diff=0&time_label=GMT


 


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


 


Culdrose reporting 988 hpa

Jim, Bournemouth, Dorset. Home of the mighty Cherries
Bournemouth Weather Onine - Click here. 
ElusivePolarLow
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:40:13 PM

Very light winds for the Bristol area yeah?


 


Just seen a tweet:


Sky Newsdesk:


Highways Agency: both Severn crossings are closed overnight due to high winds


 


I have to pinch myself, to check if i'm actually awake !!


Trains cancelled


Flights cancelled


Bridges closed


 


All for the Storm that never was. Can't wait for the headlines in the coming days. lol

Russwirral
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:40:30 PM


WV image for 18Z


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/neatl/wv-l.jpg


Huge slot of dry air getting ingested into the system from the NW


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


 


Yup interesting that - especially after reading the article posted on here the other day.  I believe thats going to be the only substantial news story to come out of this.  - Sting Jet - all eyes on the VM.


 


Though the media will probably make more of it than there really is.  I cant see this being anything more than a typical Autumn storm.  (though parts of northern france will get a hammering)


 


Expect a few blown over trees (due to being heavy in leaf)  a few larger than normal puddles (due to leaves in the drains) and slower trains (due to cautious Netwrok rail)


 


There wiill be Reporters in Cardiff, Portsmouth, and dover all reporting - semi new stories, bins blown over, big waves, slight disruption.


Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
Gooner
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:42:13 PM


Excellent


Good stuff DD

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Bugglesgate
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:44:19 PM


Very light winds for the Bristol area yeah?


 


Just seen a tweet:


Sky Newsdesk:


Highways Agency: both Severn crossings are closed overnight due to high winds


 


I have to pinch myself, to check if i'm actually awake !!


Trains cancelled


Flights cancelled


Bridges closed


 


All for the Storm that never was. Can't wait for the headlines in the coming days. lol


Originally Posted by: ElusivePolarLow 


 


I would   say  that  statement is  a tad premature - The severe gales were never supposed to arrive until  tommow morning.  

Chris (It,its)
Between Newbury and Basingstoke
"When they are giving you their all, some stagger and fall, after all it's not easy banging your heart against some mad buggers wall"
Russwirral
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:44:25 PM


Very light winds for the Bristol area yeah?


 


Just seen a tweet:


Sky Newsdesk:


Highways Agency: both Severn crossings are closed overnight due to high winds


 


I have to pinch myself, to check if i'm actually awake !!


Trains cancelled


Flights cancelled


Bridges closed


 


All for the Storm that never was. Can't wait for the headlines in the coming days. lol


Originally Posted by: ElusivePolarLow 


 


Yeh - the headlines will still report that there was a 98Mph gust reported ... ontop of  cairngorm 10 mins ago... 900 miles away from the actual storm epicentre.


 


Need to justify the storyline somehow.


Weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWIRRAL24#history 
Sevendust
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:48:20 PM



Very light winds for the Bristol area yeah?


 


Just seen a tweet:


Sky Newsdesk:


Highways Agency: both Severn crossings are closed overnight due to high winds


 


I have to pinch myself, to check if i'm actually awake !!


Trains cancelled


Flights cancelled


Bridges closed


 


All for the Storm that never was. Can't wait for the headlines in the coming days. lol


Originally Posted by: Bugglesgate 


 I would   say  that  statement is  a tad premature - The severe gales were never supposed to arrive until  tommow morning.  


Originally Posted by: ElusivePolarLow 


Indeed - developments could be very rapid especially with the dry intrusion highlighted by Neil. I'm expecting to it be windy around 3am here. The rain has been interesting this evening. We had a torrential burst a while back sufficient to threaten to flood a friends flat due to all the run off. Anyway, time to mention a Bren word, Baroclinicity

scandyhigh
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:49:20 PM

Is this really the lull before the storm?

Originally Posted by: dicko 


 


The lull before the lull.


Just going outside to tie down the broom. :D


West Kent.

chiversa
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:49:23 PM

wind risen in an hour at southampton  from a calm  S 6 mph to SSW 22 mph  pressure falling from 29.41 to 29 .35


much stonger around the Isle of wight. 

Global Warming
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:50:18 PM

Sevenstones Lightship reporting 988.9mb at 21z a fall of 3.4mb in one hour


Scilly, St Mary's reporting 988.4mb at 21z.


The 18z NAE may be right as the system does not seem to be deepening quite as fast as earlier runs were projecting but there is still time.


Strong winds now developing off the NW coast of France to the south of the low centre. 60mph gust at Brest and 65mph at Ploumanach.

Sevendust
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:54:36 PM

One can hope that this forecast at 3am is right


http://www.xcweather.co.uk/GB/forecast

Gandalf The White
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:57:36 PM



Very light winds for the Bristol area yeah?


 


Just seen a tweet:


Sky Newsdesk:


Highways Agency: both Severn crossings are closed overnight due to high winds


 


I have to pinch myself, to check if i'm actually awake !!


Trains cancelled


Flights cancelled


Bridges closed


 


All for the Storm that never was. Can't wait for the headlines in the coming days. lol


Originally Posted by: Sevendust 


 I would   say  that  statement is  a tad premature - The severe gales were never supposed to arrive until  tommow morning.  


Originally Posted by: Bugglesgate 


Indeed - developments could be very rapid especially with the dry intrusion highlighted by Neil. I'm expecting to it be windy around 3am here. The rain has been interesting this evening. We had a torrential burst a while back sufficient to threaten to flood a friends flat due to all the run off. Anyway, time to mention a Bren word, Baroclinicity

Originally Posted by: ElusivePolarLow 



Spot on.

I have to say this premature scoffing is becoming tedious. Some posters need to refrain from unhelpful offerings, IMHO.
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Polar Low
Sunday, October 27, 2013 9:58:58 PM

The thing you have to be a bit careful about in theses readings is you dont know if local convective management is going on in such an unusual and complex unstable air espo within a base core of low pressure like this


 Neils is a little different because it has history when we are a bit stuck like this it might be better imo to use at t surface chart to get better idea of shape and form and gradents etc or watch wait and c




Buoy 62107 between Lands End and The Scillys measuring rapid pressure drop now:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=62107&meas=wdpr&uom=E&time_diff=0&time_label=GMT


 


Originally Posted by: Jim_AFCB 


 


Culdrose reporting 988 hpa


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

doctormog
Sunday, October 27, 2013 10:01:40 PM


Very light winds for the Bristol area yeah?


 


Just seen a tweet:


Sky Newsdesk:


Highways Agency: both Severn crossings are closed overnight due to high winds


 


I have to pinch myself, to check if i'm actually awake !!


Trains cancelled


Flights cancelled


Bridges closed


 


All for the Storm that never was. Can't wait for the headlines in the coming days. lol


Originally Posted by: Bugglesgate 


 


I would   say  that  statement is  a tad premature - The severe gales were never supposed to arrive until  tommow morning.  

Originally Posted by: ElusivePolarLow 



Yes Chris I am beginning to wonder where people have seen the forecasts that suggested there would be really strong winds by 9pm on Sunday. Whether there are widespread very strong winds is one matter, dismissing the possibility because they have not arrived early is something else entirely!
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Snowfairy
Sunday, October 27, 2013 10:04:13 PM
after a very windy day its all gone very still outdoors. 38 mph winds earlier.
http://www.weatherlink.com/user/puglet/index.php?view=summary&headers=1 [/url]
430ft ASL
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