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Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
24 December 2013 17:21:31

Hope people don't mind about this 🙂. Going to be doing a live xmas day forecast at 8pm tonight. I am not expecting anyone to watch it live though (and am just doing it mostly to practise speaking to a live audience) so it will be avalible afterwards. The format will be similar to my last two forecasts (glad people watched those incidently ) but I will try my best to keep it well under 10 minutes. 


The URL is here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIQd2U37YhU and the forecast will also be here after the live show has finished. I will be using soundings from the GFS plus other paramaters from the high res models (namely GFS0.5, WRF, NAE, EURO4) to do the forecast.


 I love doing weather forecasts, but I don't have time to do them more than once a year (really admire Gavin P for his efforts). I will try and do some next year if I can. 


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
24 December 2013 19:56:21

Going to start in about 5 minutes. Had a look at some of the soundings from the 0.5 deg GFS, a white xmas I think is nominally possible for some parts of England, but essentially no where on lower ground is going to get a white xmas :( 


Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
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