Well the GFS pub run is in serious of being rather interesting . . . .
Originally Posted by: Chiltern Blizzard
This really has taken the wind out of my sails. We have WAA coming into canada, a monster siberian high and rather dramatic cyclosis in the atlantic. I'm betting an outlier.
Originally Posted by: Whether Idle
Looks Zonal for the UK
Originally Posted by: Quantum
Its transitioning between zonal and blocked. The overall NH pattern is very good. I can't quite believe this run though, given it is a polar opposite to every run preceeding it. Most likely scenario imo is that this run is drunk and tommorow morning it will be back to buisness as usual.
Originally Posted by: Whether Idle
The current pattern is pretty stable... a kind of dynamic equilibrium. We need a game changer.
Originally Posted by: Quantum
Whereas the run is indeed broadly zonal for the UK, the pattern around us is rather different... Whereas earlier runs were stable zonal set-up, this is more tenuous zonal where a tweak here or there could give some seriously wintry weather. Although we're on the mild side at the end, the cold to our NE is both severe and nearby, quite different to recent charts...
It is quite likely to be an outlier, and even if it verified, we'd still not quite be in serious cold... But then again,can anyone remember the mid-Feb 09 mild outlier?... A reversal of fortunes perhaps?
Andrew
Originally Posted by: nsrobins