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sriram
  • sriram
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
07 January 2014 08:33:02
Is there a link between USA freeze and uk freeze in winters gone by ?

I remember that 1978-79 had a big freeze in USA

But I think it was 2006 or a similar year they had record blizzards down the eastern seaboard - but we had a mild winter

So it could go either way

I have heard the age old theory that once we can cold in USA it can 'hope across the Atlantic' to give us a freeze later - is there any truth in this theory

But with the polar vortex locked giving us mild and USA cold - how can this be
Sriram
Sedgley, West Midlands ( just south of Wolverhampton )
162m ASL
KevBrads1
07 January 2014 08:47:28
You answered your own question by saying it could go either way.

Our coldest weather comes from the north and east not from the USA. So "hope it crosses the Atlantic" is nonsense. The storm that brought the NE USA snowstorm recently gave us windy, wet stormy weather here.



MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
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micahel37
07 January 2014 08:57:28

Agreed. We need to look to Europe for a significant freeze. Most of our significant and sustained cold spells involve easterlies.


Polbeth, West Lothian 150m asl
sriram
  • sriram
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
07 January 2014 09:31:31
Jan 1987 and Feb 1991 were both nice easterlies
Sriram
Sedgley, West Midlands ( just south of Wolverhampton )
162m ASL
Gavin P
07 January 2014 09:51:11

It's down to blocking.


If you get signifiicant Greenland blocking then both side's of the Atlantic can be cold (happened as recently as March 2013)


The current cold being experianced in America is being caused by a ridge sitting close to Alaska driving cold air out of Canada into the States.


Rural West Northants 120m asl
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Russwirral
07 January 2014 10:05:52


It's down to blocking.


If you get signifiicant Greenland blocking then both side's of the Atlantic can be cold (happened as recently as March 2013)


The current cold being experianced in America is being caused by a ridge sitting close to Alaska driving cold air out of Canada into the States.


Originally Posted by: Gavin P 


 


^ what that man said.


 


 


Maunder Minimum
07 January 2014 10:19:56

You answered your own question by saying it could go either way. Our coldest weather comes from the north and east not from the USA. So "hope it crosses the Atlantic" is nonsense. The storm that brought the NE USA snowstorm recently gave us windy, wet stormy weather here.

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


Depending on the actual synoptics of course, when the US freezes, NW Europe rarely does. One reason for that of course, is that the temperature contrast between a cold continental landmass in north America and the warmer Atlantic, breeds cyclogenesis in the Atlantic. Couple that with a roaring jet, enhanced by the temperature profile across the States and we get the zonal muck currently being experienced.


Any hope? I don't see any hope myself for this winter in the UK for January at least. Until and unless things equalise across the Pond, the zonal drivers will persist. If we are to get a decent cold snap of any duration, I would not anticipate it until February at the earliest, although there may be a couple of short lived Polar maritime incursions before then.


New world order coming.
Essan
07 January 2014 12:00:39

I think the last time proper cold air crossed the Atlantic from N America to reach Britain was about 10,560BC?  


But we've just had the remnants of the storm that caused the New Year blizzards in the USA.  So we do sometimes get their weather, and just a few days later.....   But if we want it to still be cold, we'd need to shut off the Gulf Stream and ideally freeze half the North Atlantic to do so


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
KevBrads1
07 January 2014 13:11:32
Didn't the eastern seaboard of the US enjoy temperatures in the low 20Cs as the UK was just about to be hit by the February 1991 freeze?
MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
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moomin75
07 January 2014 13:39:57
Indeed they did Kev. There was some exceptional warmth over in the US. I remember an Iain Macaskill forecast that showed as much.
More often than not, cold somewhere in the NH equates to anomalous warmth elsewhere....natures way of balancing things out.
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Sevendust
07 January 2014 13:43:00

Indeed they did Kev. There was some exceptional warmth over in the US. I remember an Iain Macaskill forecast that showed as much. More often than not, cold somewhere in the NH equates to anomalous warmth elsewhere....natures way of balancing things out.

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Kev71
07 January 2014 14:26:43

A snowstorm in the US, tends to be wind and rain over here unless there was a cold pool on top of the UK, where it would be a snow/rain event.

The Beast from the East
07 January 2014 14:32:24

It is amazing how so many people believe in the myth of snow in the US "coming here a few days later". In fact, since this morning I have spoken to 3 people who repeated the same nonsense.


I've given up trying to explain it to them!


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
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Russwirral
07 January 2014 14:38:40


It is amazing how so many people believe in the myth of snow in the US "coming here a few days later". In fact, since this morning I have spoken to 3 people who repeated the same nonsense.


I've given up trying to explain it to them!


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


 


it can happen, but is no different to throwing a paper airplane out of a window and expecting to land on the same patch of grass 100m away - EVERYTIME.


 


bledur
07 January 2014 19:10:14

it may not come directly over, but there does seem a little truth in it. weather moves west to east.

Gooner
07 January 2014 20:22:34


It is amazing how so many people believe in the myth of snow in the US "coming here a few days later". In fact, since this morning I have spoken to 3 people who repeated the same nonsense.


I've given up trying to explain it to them!


 


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Indeed , absolute garbage, I had the same conversation with my Mother , I tried explaining about a great area of water....it didnt work


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
07 January 2014 20:24:22


it may not come directly over, but there does seem a little truth in it. weather moves west to east.


Originally Posted by: bledur 


It might be the same area of LP but rarely gives the same version of ppn..................yes 2 x W's


1 W= White ( USA) and the other W= Wet ( UK)


 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Essan
07 January 2014 20:40:34


It is amazing how so many people believe in the myth of snow in the US "coming here a few days later". In fact, since this morning I have spoken to 3 people who repeated the same nonsense.


I've given up trying to explain it to them!


 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


 


But it does, and it just did.

Sadly the snow melted en route


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
ozone_aurora
08 January 2014 11:01:45

Technically, we did have bitter cold N American air over the UK, but after the passage through warm Atlantic, the cold air was confined to midde and upper layers of troposphere. Only the lowest layers has been warmed up extensively, especially during last 2 days (it became rPm airmass), becoming very moist and even having little Tm airmass properties. The surface air being very unstable, rose vigorously like helium balloons, producing widespread heavy showers and even thunderstorms, which even persisted and developed far inland (had thunder over E Anglia yesterday morning).


The only true very cold, snowy weather over the UK comes from 3 sources:-


1. From the E and NE, from Scandinavia and NW Russia. This occurs when a high pressure settles over Scandinavia, or when there is a pan Arctic high pressure, the latter that occurred in late March 2013. This produces the coldest weather in UK in Winter, and can be very persistant.


2. From the N, from the Arctic. This often occurs briefly as Atlantic depressions moves away to the E and passes over N Sea, but sometimes last much longer if a high pressure settles over Greenland. This condition usually produces the earliest and latest snowfalls in a year in UK (i.e, say April, May or even June, or October)


3. In Situ, when a high pressure settles for a while over the UK, although it helps to have a initial polar airmass to encourage clear skies at night. The persistant night time cooling cancelling out any feeble daytime warming produces very cold, dry conditions. Snow usually occurs when fronts encroach from the Atlantic, when the rain turns to snow over the cold ground. It often occurs only briefly; the snow turning to sleet then rain as mild conditions move in from the Atlantic. However, the bitter cold weather can persist if the Atlantic low moves to the SE and dives into Europe (the easterlies then, of course, develop).


The only closest we have to this myth, is when a bitter cold, wintry spell occurs in N America, and then the weather system changes over here, say, bringing E'sterly type conditions; something which appears to be on the forecast according to latest GFS charts (although, whether this will actually materialise, only time will tell). But the true cold, snowy weather does not arrive here from N America (the only true cold, wintry conditions, of course, occurs on top of Scottish Mountains).

bledur
08 January 2014 14:08:11

It might be the same area of LP but rarely gives the same version of ppn..................yes 2 x W's


1 W= White ( USA) and the other W= Wet ( UK)


not quite what i meant. i mean the weather pattern e.g cold there now , cold here in a fortnight . ought to have a look to see how often this happens, i expect someone here knows .


 






































         
         
         
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