theweatheroutlook

Remove ads from site

Whether Idle
16 January 2014 18:46:13


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2014011612/ECH1-192.GIF?16-0


looks like a very brief NEly


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


You cannot fault the ECM for effort.

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
The Beast from the East
16 January 2014 18:46:43

high pressure over the pole though so maybe down the line something good will come

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
SEMerc
16 January 2014 18:47:02

This evening's run is less progressive in terms of the sh i te coming across the Atlantic.

doctormog
16 January 2014 18:48:33

This evening's run is less progressive in terms of the sh i te coming across the Atlantic.

Originally Posted by: SEMerc 



Yes, instead we get it from the North Sea? 😝
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Polar Low
16 January 2014 18:49:11
The Beast from the East
16 January 2014 18:49:53

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2014011612/ECH1-216.GIF?16-0


atlantic bursts into life but good to the north

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gooner
16 January 2014 18:50:22


high pressure over the pole though so maybe down the line something good will come


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


Was watching that , just one models version as we know

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Whether Idle
16 January 2014 18:51:29

Day 10 could be getting ready to be tasty with trof disrupion to SW and Arctic High to NE??

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
The Beast from the East
16 January 2014 18:54:17

CAnt believe it would burst through so quickly but could give some frontal snow


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Stormchaser
16 January 2014 18:54:32

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/runs/2014011612/nmm-25-35-0.png?16-17


For anyone not looking in the precipitation thread, this WRF precipitation projection is alarming...


70mm across the Southampton area from 2pm today, with 45-50mm of that falling tomorrow. What in the name of...?!


 


In theory, there is the chance of a very severe event unfolding having not been forecast by the Met Office. Yikes.

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Rob K
16 January 2014 18:54:52
1050mb isobar nosing in over the pole.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Polar Low
16 January 2014 18:55:21

cold uppers cling on for dear life along the east coast


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=216&mode=0&map=3&archive=0

Ally Pally Snowman
16 January 2014 18:56:27
A snow event for some possibly many if ECM is on it

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1922.html 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Gooner
16 January 2014 18:57:09

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2014011612/ECH1-240.GIF?16-0


Atlantic wns the day , but at least it s day 10

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Rob K
16 January 2014 18:57:15


http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/runs/2014011612/nmm-25-35-0.png?16-17


For anyone not looking in the precipitation thread, this WRF precipitation projection is alarming...


70mm across the Southampton area from 2pm today, with 45-50mm of that falling tomorrow. What in the name of...?!


 


In theory, there is the chance of a very severe event unfolding having not been forecast by the Met Office. Yikes.


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 


Nothing like that showing up on NAE:


http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2014/01/16/basis12/ukuk/rsum/14011800_1612.gif


 


Heavy stuff comin in from the west by T48 though: http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2014/01/16/basis12/ukuk/prec/14011812_1612.gif

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
The Beast from the East
16 January 2014 18:57:18

Day 9 and 10 evolution looks implausible

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Whether Idle
16 January 2014 18:59:56

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=204&mode=0&carte=0  GEM of interest


 


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/jma.php?ech=192&mode=1  JMA noteworthy


 


 


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=192&mode=1&map=1&type=0&archive=0 ECM ok.


A shift in emphasis this evening, towards a brief, rather cold east/ nely perhaps? ...but ECM ends poorly.


 


 

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
KevBrads1
16 January 2014 19:04:15
Lol the UK is under colder 850hpa than Alaska on the ECM 240 hr chart.

What would happen if "warm" uppers got within the Arctic circle?
MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
Ally Pally Snowman
16 January 2014 19:04:44
Best run of the day goes to the JMA! Cold and snowy!



http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/jma.php?ech=180&mode=1 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
The Beast from the East
16 January 2014 19:07:07

Lol the UK is under colder 850hpa than Alaska on the ECM 240 hr chart. What would happen if "warm" uppers got within the Arctic circle?

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


Someone at our latitude will freeze their nuts off!

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Polar Low
16 January 2014 19:13:47

looks like a n/w 2 s/e repeating pattern that might not be that bad as long as n/e heights hold with support from the pole


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=216&mode=101&map=1&archive=0



Day 9 and 10 evolution looks implausible


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

Rob K
16 January 2014 19:14:18


http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/runs/2014011612/nmm-25-35-0.png?16-17


For anyone not looking in the precipitation thread, this WRF precipitation projection is alarming...


70mm across the Southampton area from 2pm today, with 45-50mm of that falling tomorrow. What in the name of...?!


 


In theory, there is the chance of a very severe event unfolding having not been forecast by the Met Office. Yikes.


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 


Check out the totals on the coast of NW Italy! If you go ahead to 72 hours it has over 400mm accumulated rainfall in one spot in far northern Tuscany. More devastating flooding in the Cinque Terre if that is accurate!

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Phil G
16 January 2014 19:30:45
JACKO4EVER
16 January 2014 19:46:00

Wouldn't need too many tweaks
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1442.gif 

Originally Posted by: Phil G 


Yep, though a thoroughly wet, miserable and cool chart. Certainly trending less mild ATM
Gooner
16 January 2014 19:57:29
Yep, though a thoroughly wet, miserable and cool chart. Certainly trending less mild ATM


Many thanks Jacko

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Users browsing this topic

    Remove ads from site

    Ads