Had a couple of days away from model output, hoping to come back to see an upgrade.
Wrong; it's worse. The 12z GFS is a horror movie, and the 0z ECM just as bad.
The problem is the persistence of the Azores High, and its propensity to ridge eastwards into mainland Europe. This slams the door on the prospect of energy sliding SE'wards, and instead first pushes the blocking over Scandanavia back eastwards, then collapses it into Europe.
If reality turns out like this, we can write off well into February - and then the prospect of a long cold period is gone, and any snow lying is annoyingly short lived.
I'm giving up on this winter now. It certainly aint going to deliver what I yearn for.
Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan