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Awful GFS 6z. I'm thinking/hoping we end up with a half way house between the big two ECM and UKMO which would be very wintry but perhaps not the insane Easterly the UKMO shows this morning.
Originally Posted by: Karl Guille
Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman
After I crticised UKMO at the 144 range several days ago saying it was always off the mark, lets hope it is as accurate as some said it was
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014012506/gfsnh-10-384.png?6
biggest warming of the Winter
Originally Posted by: Gooner
HOLY BARTLETT
that could be the biggest warming ever.
...and it will be meteorological spring if and when that propogates down.
Hmmm, outside temperature has shot up from 6.1c to 9.9c in the last hour and 20 mins!! Is this possibly the leading edge of this evenings weatherfront...
Originally Posted by: VIRTUAL STORMCHASER
More likely to be Waterfront.....
Originally Posted by: Gusty
Another stunted Spring then! March is rapidly replacing December as a winter month nowadays
This may be a silly question, but I will ask it anyway! What could the stratospheric warming mean for us?😚
Originally Posted by: peeps in west oxon
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East
I wouldn't be too sure about that Steve, that chart is for the 10th leaving 18days to go, no-one on here can be sure how long it takes to have an influence on our weather
There is a march that has a CET of 1.0C, which is amazing given we had a 2.7C march last year.
Originally Posted by: Quantum
That must have been incredible!
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2014012512/UN60-21.GIF?25-16
UKMO so far
Originally Posted by: idj20
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014012512/gfsnh-0-102.png?12
looks a brief Easterly from GFS
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10217.png
chilly
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014012506/gfsnh-10-384.png?6 biggest warming of the Winter
Looks like UKMO coming into line with the others. Only a brief easterly, and then we have to hope for a slider or it goes pete tong and we only get cold rain which is what the METO are expecting. Disappointing, but not surprising
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2014012512/UN120-21.GIF?25-17
UKMO out to 120
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1621.png
different shape to the LP on the 12z
UKMO goes from hero to zero. GFS is a lot better.
OVer to ECM to restore some faith
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1621.png different shape to the LP on the 12z
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/runs/2014012512/UN144-21.GIF?25-17
yes a bit of a disappointment
Wonderful looking chart
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014012512/gfsnh-0-180.png?12
GFS now flavour of the month again!
http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014012512/gfsnh-0-186.png?12
it does look a bit different, nice HP to North, hopefully it will stick around