I think its best to leave this one open, as snow could be on the cards for a few days, or very much longer than that if the GEM is anything to go by.
This is my frontal intepretation for tonight from the EURO4 model. The occluded front wrapps right in towards the LP centre and there is some cold air ahead of it, cold enough, I think to temporily bring snow right down to sea level to parts of England and southern scotland. In fact given that this is a nightime event, it may even lie although it is unlikely to be anything but transient as much milder air follows the front.
The nature of the precipatation will be showery, but I think at times it could merge into longer spells of sleet ot snow, and over the pennines it could be very tricky tonight; I understand the pennines was badly hit by snow this morning aswell so snow could really start to pile up above about 500m.
From then on it stays cyclonic and cold up to midweek where we are always in the marginal zone for snow; I think briefly on thursday it could turn cold enough to shift us right onto the right side or marginal; and from then on its very uncertain.
Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)
Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.
2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)
Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.
2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.