The prediction game had an entertaining year in 2013, with plenty of banter and speculation and, I'm pleased to report, hardly a trace of gloating or bad tempers 

All members of this forum are invited to join in each month, and those who are persistent across multiple months get to see their names in the league tables both seasonally and annually 

The prize for 1st place? The right to wear a massive grin on your face 

It is by and large a game of luck, although yes, looking at forecasts and charts does tend to be helpful with regards to the first week of the month 

It is not unreasonable to just throw out numbers that you like the sound of or have some favourism towards - provided they're physically possible of course 

I will be posting the event categories soon - they follow a simple format;

first are three 'temperature threshold' events e.g. the first -7.5*C to be officially recorded in the UK by a Met Office station.

then comes the UK extremes - the highest and lowest UK temperatues to be officially recorded by a Met Office station.

After than comes the % of the average sunshine and rainfall.

For the last of those, climate-uk seems to have been abandoned now, so it looks like I need a new resource for those stats - does anyone know of a good one (if not, the Met Office summary would have to do, but that takes some time to be released)? Thanks 

Booting this onto the front page again 

Oooh great!  Good humoured banter and camaradarie aplenty and a chance to beat Rob this year! 

Bump! 

That's the spirit! 

Hopefully the weather will prove to be an exciting backdrop to our banter 

With the models so hapless at the moment, I imagine we won't see many predictions here until the final day or two - crazy times! 

I will try to enter every month this year

www.met.reading.ac.uk bruuge/CURR.html       The month so far-in the British Isles can be very handy.

Ps. could not do the little sguiggle between  uk bruuge

Or until the categories are released

Glad you posted that ,, I didnt like to ask

When the cold and snow doesn't arrive in February that'l all change especially with the inevitable sleet in march lasting until may. 

Oooh great!  Good humoured banter and camaradarie aplenty and a chance to beat Rob this year! 

Originally Posted by: Caz 

That's the spirit! 

Hopefully the weather will prove to be an exciting backdrop to our banter 

 

With the models so hapless at the moment, I imagine we won't see many predictions here until the final day or two - crazy times! 

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

Or until the categories are released

Originally Posted by: RobSnowman 

Glad you posted that ,, I didnt like to ask

Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 

I await in suspenders, I mean suspense for the categories to be posted. 

Originally Posted by: Caz 

steady Caz.....sweating now

Oh !!! The anticipation  is like waiting for snow.............. 

Oh all right, here you go:

For the UK in February 2014 and going by the official Met Office station reports what/when will be:

- The first -5*C       - The number of days above 10*C       - The number of nights failing to reach 0*C (not usually frequent!)

- The highest UK temperature?              - The lowest UK temperature?

- The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average?              - The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA?

As you may have guessed, I am being careful when setting the categories, in order to try and avoid having ones that are met within the first few days of the month 

 1st -5c.   13th             Days above 10c.   1      Nights failing 0c.    9

Highest  UK  temperature    8.1c              Lowest    UK   temperature    -6.7c

Rainfall Percentage             87%               Sunshine  Percentage    91%   

These are my figures  ..So Help Me ...

- The first -5*C  5th Feb

- The number of days above 10*C   7

- The number of nights failing to reach 0*C    0 

- The highest UK temperature?      12.5c

- The lowest UK temperature?       -9.5

- The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average?   120%   

- The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA?    90%

Good luck all!  Let the competition begin! 

PS - Sorry Marcus!  You can cool down now!  I had to do something to keep the thread bumped up. 

- The first -5*C  4th Feb

- The number of days above 10*C   8

- The number of nights failing to reach 0*C    1

- The highest UK temperature?      13.6c

- The lowest UK temperature?       -11c

- The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average?   100%  

- The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA?    70%

I daresay the month would not be remembered fondly if that was all that happened 

To all: thanks for the predictions so far, nice to see a good turnout 

I'll be recording them from around 7pm today but the deadline can be about midnight I suppose.

I'll have a go;

- The first -5 C = 8th Feb

- The number of days above 10 C = 6

- The number of nights failing to reach 0 C = 1

- The highest UK temperature? = 13.2 C

- The lowest UK temperature? = -12 C

- The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average? = 140%

- The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA? = 70%

To summarise, mostly very wet and windy!