Best keep this up on the front page - surprised it fell off, but then it has been a rather quiet 48 hours, which hints at a huge pile of thrown towels somewhere...
I guess a lot of visitors to the site are mostly concerned about how much rain there will be and when it will not be falling (as that is now the harder thing to find).
GFS lines up a lot of 7-14mm events next week, following from the 20mm or so today, while ECM manages to look wetter than that due to the troughs having more trouble sending energy to the NE of the UK.
Correcting for undercooked or missed shower activity, I can see 50-70mm falling quite widely away from the SW and S-Central regions in the next 10 days, with those two areas potentially seeing 75-90mm.
That's just a guess based on past experience. Even the event now arriving could bring more than GFS and in particular EURO-4 predict, as the forecaster input for the Met Office precipitation charts shows more substantial shower activity tomorrow than those do, although not by much so it's not really a concern relative to what the frontal rain will manage to do.
Originally Posted by: Stormchaser