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Sevendust
26 February 2014 06:18:50


Has a potential snowfall on Friday slipped under the radar?

The latest fax shows a small depression running along the south coast on Friday with light winds and sub 528dam air just to the north.

That's a classic evaporation snowfall scenario with areas from Cardiff to London along the M4 corridor most at risk with the low,s current path. No mention on the Beeb but the potential is there.

It would be typical if Brian G got the only low level snowfall of the winter!

Andy

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn841.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn843.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn844.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn8417.gif


Valid comment, an outside chance for sure


Originally Posted by: Andy Woodcock 


This is now coming up on automated local forecasts and has been mentioned overnight on the BBC News 24 efforts.


Depressional track remains key, but theres no doubting the combination of ambient cold air on the northern flank of the feature, and the heaviness of precipitation could well lead to an evaporative cooling snow event, albeit wet.


This is by no means a forecast from me of a snowfall but it would be notable as I haven't seen any falling snow here since last April


 

SnowyHythe(Kent)
26 February 2014 07:31:14
Yes, the wintry potential was mentioned after the 10pm news last night. One they are keeping an eye on...
Chiltern Blizzard
26 February 2014 14:22:41

Has a potential snowfall on Friday slipped under the radar?

The latest fax shows a small depression running along the south coast on Friday with light winds and sub 528dam air just to the north.

That's a classic evaporation snowfall scenario with areas from Cardiff to London along the M4 corridor most at risk with the low,s current path. No mention on the Beeb but the potential is there.

It would be typical if Brian G got the only low level snowfall of the winter!

Andy

Originally Posted by: Andy Woodcock 


Worth keeping an eye on in my location given it's ~500ft.....


Andrew

Rendlesham, Suffolk 20m asl
Arcus
26 February 2014 18:54:54
Warnings out from the MetO for friday for snow: as one would expect at this range given the uncertain track of the low the area covered is quite large, and favours areas with altitude. Still, some temporary snow at lower levels isn't ruled out.
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Gusty
26 February 2014 19:28:29

You wouldn't rule out a cheeky evaporative cooling snow event down here on Saturday based on these marginal parameters in heavy precipitation.


http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=EGMD


 


EDIT... Deeper analysis shows that Saturday potential is indeed there. 


 


http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014022612/78-779UK.GIF?26-12


 


 


 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Gooner
26 February 2014 19:34:57

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1141.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1145.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1143.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn11417.gif


Wouldn't rule out snow on the back edge of this


 


 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Medlock Vale Weather
26 February 2014 19:46:29

EURO4 model going for snow cover on Friday in areas like the Peak District, North Wales etc


http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2014/02/26/basis12/ukuk/weas/14022812_2_2612.gif

Alan in Medlock Valley - Oldham's frost hollow. 103 metres above sea level.
What is a frost hollow? http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/wxfacts/Frost-hollow.htm 
Hade Edge Snowman
26 February 2014 20:08:06


EURO4 model going for snow cover on Friday in areas like the Peak District, North Wales etc


http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2014/02/26/basis12/ukuk/weas/14022812_2_2612.gif


Originally Posted by: Medlock Vale Weather 


 


Looking good for here then hopefully!


We've seen a little snow up here half a dozen or so times this Winter but it really has been a pitiful 3 month's.


Here's to hoping for a repeat of last March!

Hade Edge Snowman
West Yorkshire
1060 feet/323 metres ASL
idj20
27 February 2014 07:13:00

Bit hard to get excited about this "potential snow risk" for the favoured few when in general all it's going to do is to bring yet more persistent and sometimes heavy cold rain to Southern England and the South East tomorrow, thus providing a renewed risk of flooding - not good for prone areas trying to recover from that.

I want proper spring-like mildness, sunshine and dryness which I have enjoyed on occasions in the past couple of weeks, not more of this rubbish.

Still, at least this time round winds are expected to be lighter at this end so that's one saving grace I suppose (makes a change).


PS: Sorry about the grumpy sounding post, I guess it's where I've just woken up to gale force southerly wind (yet again) and blustery rain this morning. This is enough to turn us all into Richardabdns.

Folkestone Harbour. 
nsrobins
27 February 2014 07:43:07

None of the mainstream models making much of the snow risk, with differences in track and intensity only and a shift south from yesterday.
At the current time it's a rain event only except on highest Brecons, Mendips and Cotswolds for instance.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Andy Woodcock
27 February 2014 08:19:52

None of the mainstream models making much of the snow risk, with differences in track and intensity only and a shift south from yesterday.
At the current time it's a rain event only except on highest Brecons, Mendips andCotswolds for instance.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 




If that's the case then this pathetic winter will end in the way it began and has carried on since.

The synoptic still screams snow but how typical of this winter that it will just be another sleet on high ground event.

I am sooooooooooo glad winter ends tomorrow

Andy
Andy Woodcock
Penrith
Cumbria

Altitude 535 feet

"Why are the British so worried about climate change? Any change to their climate can only be an improvement" John Daley 2001
Gooner
27 February 2014 08:25:18


None of the mainstream models making much of the snow risk, with differences in track and intensity only and a shift south from yesterday.
At the current time it's a rain event only except on highest Brecons, Mendips and Cotswolds for instance.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


I'd say this has more of a chance


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1021.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1023.gif


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn10217.gif


 


 

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


nsrobins
27 February 2014 08:30:26

None of the mainstream models making much of the snow risk, with differences in track and intensity only and a shift south from yesterday. At the current time it's a rain event only except on highest Brecons, Mendips andCotswolds for instance.

Originally Posted by: Andy Woodcock 

If that's the case then this pathetic winter will end in the way it began and has carried on since. The synoptic still screams snow but how typical of this winter that it will just be another sleet on high ground event. I am sooooooooooo glad winter ends tomorrow Andy

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


I'd much rather it didn't snow at all tommorow because


a) Work takes me into the Midlands and I like clear roads not slushy ones
b) It would spoil the snowless winter. Much better saying to people in years to come 'Remember the Jeff Wayne winter of 2013/14. Completely, utterly snowfree here' as opposed to 'the 2013/14 winter. Virtually snowfree except for a sleety blob on the very last day'.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
The Beast from the East
27 February 2014 09:32:37

the low looks to be heading further and further south. Wouldn't surprise me if it missed us altogether


 

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
turbotubbs
27 February 2014 12:04:04

The low is heading further south but there is not a lot of time left for it to get too much further...


 


The meto have extended the yellow warning down to Wiltshire now


 


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map


 


They seem more bullish about snow than the models appear to show - time will tell.


Usual places I suspect - i.e. the high ground. I bet blooming Cinderford and the Forest of Dean gets some! And then they'll show it on Points West just to upset me...

ARTzeman
27 February 2014 12:19:28

I see the potential event covers Bath and North East somerset. At 153 meters I shall be watching the street lamp for signs..





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Essan
27 February 2014 12:29:16


I'd much rather it didn't snow at all tommorow because


a) Work takes me into the Midlands and I like clear roads not slushy ones
b) It would spoil the snowless winter. Much better saying to people in years to come 'Remember the Jeff Wayne winter of 2013/14. Completely, utterly snowfree here' as opposed to 'the 2013/14 winter. Virtually snowfree except for a sleety blob on the very last day'.



Originally Posted by: nsrobins 



Aye, if it does snow it means the whole winter has been for nothing......

Next month it can snow all it likes

Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Rob K
27 February 2014 12:40:15
http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2014/02/27/basis06/ukuk/th85/14022809_2706.gif  I cannot see any snow below about 250 metres at best. You need the next shade of blue to have any hope at low levels, from past experience.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Gusty
27 February 2014 12:46:59
http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2014/02/27/basis06/ukuk/th85/14022809_2706.gif  I cannot see any snow below about 250 metres at best. You need the next shade of blue to have any hope at low levels, from past experience.


Thanks Rob. That chart seals the deal on a completely snowless winter around these parts.

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



patricia
27 February 2014 13:02:10

Same for me too,  I,m afraid,  at least had some on my holiday in Scotland recently

The Beast from the East
27 February 2014 15:03:06


http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2014/02/27/basis06/ukuk/th85/14022809_2706.gif  I cannot see any snow below about 250 metres at best. You need the next shade of blue to have any hope at low levels, from past experience.

Originally Posted by: Gusty 


Thanks Rob. That chart seals the deal on a completely snowless winter around these parts.



Another shot next wednesday perhaps?


Though were are technically in Spring of course!


 

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
nsrobins
27 February 2014 16:04:19

Euro4 now dropped all snow signatures - not surprising given the parameters.
UKMO high-res and GLOSS must be showing something for the warnings to be issued though.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
nsrobins
28 February 2014 07:01:34


Euro4 now dropped all snow signatures - not surprising given the parameters.
UKMO high-res and GLOSS must be showing something for the warnings to be issued though.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


I presume there is some snow falling now, maybe the high Brecons, but generally it's rain and will stay as rain as per the last few days model parameters.


I understand the warnings but the chances were and still are very slim.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
vince
28 February 2014 08:01:27



Euro4 now dropped all snow signatures - not surprising given the parameters.
UKMO high-res and GLOSS must be showing something for the warnings to be issued though.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


I presume there is some snow falling now, maybe the high Brecons, but generally it's rain and will stay as rain as per the last few days model parameters.


I understand the warnings but the chances were and still are very slim.


Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


and that ends a shocking winter without snow , people asking me where the snow this morning is ,as they heard on many forecasts , im red faced saying its not my fault ,blame the over eager met office and their yellow warnings. roll on summer now sick to the back teeth of false promises.

Snowjoke
28 February 2014 08:06:42

Joke cold snap!! Pissing with rain here in the "continental" south east!!

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