theweatheroutlook

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Matty H
  • Matty H
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
05 March 2014 09:59:03
Spring has sprung after the winter that never was.

Usual rules.
Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Gusty
05 March 2014 17:35:09

Just what we all need.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



vince
05 March 2014 17:38:59
Bloody hell the coldies have well and truly vanished .hence the lack of dissmissive posts.come out to play you know who you are !
doctormog
05 March 2014 17:45:33

Just what we all need.


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif

Originally Posted by: Gusty 



http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif  👍

I'm a little more cautious about the overall output up here as it is a bit hit and miss at times. Either way it is a massive improvement on past weeks and generally very settled at times in the south. I'm not sure it will be exceptionally mild but it looks like being above average especially in the south and with light winds and any sunshine it will feel very pleasant indeed.
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
JoeShmoe99
05 March 2014 22:38:52
Have to say it looks throroughly positive going forward, will be lovely to see some sunshine
Matty H
  • Matty H
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
05 March 2014 23:26:27
I'm always buoyed when this thread is quiet. No one getting excited because they might have to scrape a thin veneer of ice off their car on a morning etc. the outlook is positively balmy for the time of year. More importantly, it's fantastic for areas still under flood water. 👍
Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
Quantum
05 March 2014 23:31:51

I would be getting pretty excited by now if this was early december. This sort of sequence is commonly seen before a mega block over greenland; although it doesn't guarantee it ridges contuinually waxing and waning further and further NW does indicate this. Its a shame that if it does come of it will be well into march. But f*** it, I've seen one day of snow showers,  one day with a dusting, one day with a dusting at 6am, one day with a sleet shower (december), 3 days with noticable sleet, and one day with noticable wet snow. So I am not ready for spring yet, and feel that we are still sometime in late november. Spring feels 3 months away. 

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
nouska
05 March 2014 23:46:22


I would be getting pretty excited by now if this was early december. This sort of sequence is commonly seen before a mega block over greenland; although it doesn't guarantee it ridges contuinually waxing and waning further and further NW does indicate this. Its a shame that if it does come of it will be well into march. But f*** it, I've seen one day of snow showers,  one day with a dusting, one day with a dusting at 6am, one day with a sleet shower (december), 3 days with noticable sleet, and one day with noticable wet snow. So I am not ready for spring yet, and feel that we are still sometime in late november. Spring feels 3 months away. 


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


Maybe you need reminding of what early December looked like.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/archives/archives.php?day=1&month=12&hour=0&year=2013&map=0&mode=2


I don't remember much excitement then - all moans about endless Bartlett winters etc, etc.


It might actually transpire that the latter part of the month is northerly dominated - the profile high up (if maintained) is pointing in that direction. I'll take the week of beautiful spring weather as promised by today and hope that the buds and insects brought forth don't get a nasty shock later on.

GIBBY
05 March 2014 23:47:56
Hi folks. I'm sorry for not being able to post my twice daily model analysis for the last week or so. I have my elderly mum in hospital currently with an illness which in a younger person would not be life threatening but at 92 what isn't so please excuse me for interrupting this twice daily analysis. While at home resting after another time consuming day I have looked at the models and can see that a major change is imminent towards dry and settled weather with some mild spring sunshine with potentially chilly and frosty nights coupled with patchy fog. It is worthy of note though that March has a habit of offering Spring in one hand and plunging us into winter in the other so I would caution that although Spring is indicated in tonight's output to take one day at a time as Winter often has a last bite between now and Easter.

On my reports scenario I will be back as soon as possible posting my regular analysis with you guys as soon as I am able.
Martin G
Kilmersdon Radstock Bath Somerset


Look up my New Facebook Weather Page  for all the latest up to the minute weather stories as they happen
Quantum
05 March 2014 23:49:16



I would be getting pretty excited by now if this was early december. This sort of sequence is commonly seen before a mega block over greenland; although it doesn't guarantee it ridges contuinually waxing and waning further and further NW does indicate this. Its a shame that if it does come of it will be well into march. But f*** it, I've seen one day of snow showers,  one day with a dusting, one day with a dusting at 6am, one day with a sleet shower (december), 3 days with noticable sleet, and one day with noticable wet snow. So I am not ready for spring yet, and feel that we are still sometime in late november. Spring feels 3 months away. 


Originally Posted by: nouska 


Maybe you need reminding of what early December looked like.


http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/archives/archives.php?day=1&month=12&hour=0&year=2013&map=0&mode=2


I don't remember much excitement then - all moans about endless Bartlett winters etc, etc.


It might actually transpire that the latter part of the month is northerly dominated - the profile high up (if maintained) is pointing in that direction. I'll take the week of beautiful spring weather as promised by today and hope that the buds and insects brought forth don't get a nasty shock later on.


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


The ridges are pushing further and further east, not west. One of the patterns I look out for is ridges getting closer and closer to the baffin. HP over UK, collapses reforms slightly further west and repeat until you get WAA over the canadian coast. If anything early december was the opposite with everything pushing further east where you have to rely on tenous scandi blocks.  


I think something like that might have happened later in December, when I remember getting very excited. It came to very little, but such is the weather; its unpredictable. 

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Matty H
  • Matty H
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
06 March 2014 00:04:52
Hi Martin. Don't worry about this place. Best wishes to your mum for a speedy recovery.
Yate, Nr Bristol
Say NO to misogyny 
https://human-rights-channel.coe.int/stop-sexism-en.html 
nsrobins
06 March 2014 05:42:10

Hi folks. I'm sorry for not being able to post my twice daily model analysis for the last week or so. I have my elderly mum in hospital currently with an illness which in a younger person would not be life threatening but at 92 what isn't so please excuse me for interrupting this twice daily analysis. While at home resting after another time consuming day I have looked at the models and can see that a major change is imminent towards dry and settled weather with some mild spring sunshine with potentially chilly and frosty nights coupled with patchy fog. It is worthy of note though that March has a habit of offering Spring in one hand and plunging us into winter in the other so I would caution that although Spring is indicated in tonight's output to take one day at a time as Winter often has a last bite between now and Easter.

On my reports scenario I will be back as soon as possible posting my regular analysis with you guys as soon as I am able.

Originally Posted by: GIBBY 


Sorry to be blunt Martin but some things are worth more time and commitment than this place does FFS. You focus on what's important - and best wishes for you and your family.

Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Sinky1970
06 March 2014 07:35:44

Just imagine if we had this scenario in mid summer!


 

The Beast from the East
06 March 2014 07:48:56


Just imagine if we had this scenario in mid summer!


 


Originally Posted by: Sinky1970 


Yes, thank heavens its not mid Summer! Nothings worse than sweaty, stinky people on the tube


Anyway, looks like the pattern change will not last too long and unsettled conditions will return by day 9 or 10


 

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
idj20
06 March 2014 08:00:56


Hi folks. I'm sorry for not being able to post my twice daily model analysis for the last week or so. I have my elderly mum in hospital currently with an illness which in a younger person would not be life threatening but at 92 what isn't so please excuse me for interrupting this twice daily analysis. While at home resting after another time consuming day I have looked at the models and can see that a major change is imminent towards dry and settled weather with some mild spring sunshine with potentially chilly and frosty nights coupled with patchy fog. It is worthy of note though that March has a habit of offering Spring in one hand and plunging us into winter in the other so I would caution that although Spring is indicated in tonight's output to take one day at a time as Winter often has a last bite between now and Easter.

On my reports scenario I will be back as soon as possible posting my regular analysis with you guys as soon as I am able.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Sorry to be blunt Martin but some things are worth more time and commitment than this place does FFS. You focus on what's important - and best wishes for you and your family.


Originally Posted by: GIBBY 



Speaking as a home carer for an elderly mother, I third that too.

With an outlook like this, it is a good time to take a break from it all anyway: http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Folkestone_Harbour/long.html

I'm sure things will revert back to that all-too familar breezy unsettled trend as we go into the second half of the month and of course, into April as bear in mind we are still in this "transitional" period weather-wise - but, I, for one, would like to see this high-pressure type pattern return in summer proper - it'll bloody better do!
  But for now, to experience a 10-days long dry spell in March is actually just as unusual as all that wetness and storminess in the past four months, nature seems to be very good at paying it's debt.

Folkestone Harbour. 
Steam Fog
06 March 2014 08:46:11
It'll be interesting to see how warm it actually gets on Sunday. Looks like a very pleasant weekend.
JoeShmoe99
06 March 2014 09:00:53

Think the winter lovers need to let it go now, some already have (Gooner etc)


 


Looks like a decent spell weather in the next 7-10 days, although never especially mild here - nice to see a prominent azores high and a northerly jet stream this time of year, last year of course the jet was through the azores into Spain

Gaz
  • Gaz
  • Advanced Member
06 March 2014 09:13:26
Agree. Spring is here and I hope next winter repeats less of the Rain tho!

Now is the time I enjoy this thread.
Its looking mighty fine.
Gary, Torquay, Devon. 85 Meters / 279 Feet ASL


Thunderstorms in 2013: 28th September 3.30am - 8.00am Storm that lasted over 4 Hours
Thunderstorms in 2013: 17th June 6.30pm. bright Lightning out at sea - Deep Bass Thunder
Thunderstorms in 2012: 11th August 10:30pm. bright Lightning - Deep Bass Thunder
Thunderstorms in 2012: 28th June 2:00am From Spainish Plume. 5 sec lightning flashes
Thunderstorms (Flickering Lightning) in 2012: 26th May 2:30 From Spainish Plume





kmoorman
06 March 2014 10:27:57


Think the winter lovers need to let it go now, some already have (Gooner etc)


 


Looks like a decent spell weather in the next 7-10 days, although never especially mild here - nice to see a prominent azores high and a northerly jet stream this time of year, last year of course the jet was through the azores into Spain


Originally Posted by: JoeShmoe99 


 


I'm a lover of proper (cold / snowy) winter weather, but first and foremost I'm a weather lover.


I like winter weather in the winter (so last spring was not welcome), so at this stage I'm looking for the sort of weather we've got now, light overnight frosts, with warm / sunny days; in other words spring weather.


 


In my eyes, winter is over - it was horrible - let's enjoy spring.

Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968
Gooner
06 March 2014 10:31:58


Think the winter lovers need to let it go now, some already have (Gooner etc)


 


Looks like a decent spell weather in the next 7-10 days, although never especially mild here - nice to see a prominent azores high and a northerly jet stream this time of year, last year of course the jet was through the azores into Spain


Originally Posted by: JoeShmoe99 


Have I ?


http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gefs/gefsens850London0.png

Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Essan
06 March 2014 10:42:52

Winter's not over!   There's likely to be snow to low levels on Sunday .....


 


 


 


 


..... in the hills of Wester Ross and Sutherland


Looks like a very welcome week for many next week though   Increasingly warm, dry and sunny - and perhaps a bit frostier for some than winter was!

Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
The Beast from the East
06 March 2014 12:08:49


 


Have I ?


http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gefs/gefsens850London0.png


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


 


Quite a drop off there

"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Sevendust
06 March 2014 12:32:04



 


Have I ?


http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/gefs/gefsens850London0.png


Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 


 


Quite a drop off there


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Well its quite foolish to assume that wintry weather won't return at some point in the next 6 weeks or so although it may take something special to deliver anything down here

Essan
06 March 2014 12:56:17


Well its quite foolish to assume that wintry weather won't return at some point in the next 6 weeks or so although it may take something special to deliver anything down here


Originally Posted by: Sevendust 




I think after nearly 12 whole months it's safe to say it ain't coming back any time soon

Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA

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