theweatheroutlook

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moomin75
09 March 2014 18:02:48

Well from a long-standing member of this forum, Darren (Retron) is a legend and I for one miss his analysis that he used to publish every morning.


He certainly doesn't deserve having mud flung at him. OK so he prefers cold weather, but he is counter-balanced nicely by Matty H (another legend on here).


The thing I continue to like about this place is the relative lack of bickering, and I hope Darren doesn't disappear from the forums.

Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Super Cell
09 March 2014 18:38:45

All this about the weather?


God help us all when something important goes wrong.

Farnley/Pudsey Leeds
40m asl
JimC
  • JimC
  • Advanced Member
09 March 2014 18:40:58

Topped 17.5C today, beautiful weather and I hope it stays around for a bit longer, like for the rest of the year.

springsunshine
09 March 2014 18:42:10

What an absolute cracker of a day


wall to wall warm sunshine,max temp 16.4c,fantastic!


Much as iam enjoying this weather in the back of my mind are the march warm spells


of 2007 and 2012 and the summers that followed

idj20
09 March 2014 18:50:41


What an absolute cracker of a day


wall to wall warm sunshine,max temp 16.4c,fantastic!


Much as iam enjoying this weather in the back of my mind are the march warm spells


of 2007 and 2012 and the summers that followed


Originally Posted by: springsunshine 



Ssssh, think of 1984 and 1990 instead . . . not only they contained decent springs, they also started off with very wet and stormy winters!

Folkestone Harbour. 
Gusty
09 March 2014 19:40:43

Maxed at a incredibly respectable maximum temperature of 16.2c at the surprisingly late time of 6pm. 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Hamptonian
09 March 2014 19:41:49

Max temperature of 19.2c here in Hampton Hill, SW London.

NickR
09 March 2014 19:49:14

Retron nasty and twisted last spring. Retron nasty and twisted this spring.

In the meantime a lovely day.

Originally Posted by: Steam Fog 


Totally unnecessary. That sort of post is what warrants bans. Please refrain from posting such things.

Nick
Durham
[email protected]
Steam Fog
09 March 2014 20:24:09

Retron nasty and twisted last spring. Retron nasty and twisted this spring.

In the meantime a lovely day.

Originally Posted by: NickR 


Totally unnecessary. That sort of post is what warrants bans. Please refrain from posting such things.

Originally Posted by: Steam Fog 



Fair enough. Have sent you a PM.
speckledjim
09 March 2014 20:32:44
reached 17c here today...nice
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Ally Pally Snowman
09 March 2014 20:47:12


Well looks like we've hit 18c in London prob go over 20c somewhere today. It was always likely with this set up not sure why Retron couldn't see it.

Originally Posted by: Retron 


LOL! Come off it - you got lucky and despite showing next to no methodology you fluked it. Bravo.


To say "it was always likely" is just plain stupid, it was not likely in the slightest and in fact none of the models showed it being this warm! You were just fortunate that the models went the wrong way on it. If you'd actually given reasons why you expected it to be warm (rather than a simplistic extrapolation of 850s) I may have given you more credit, but you didn't.


For those who are interested in why this has happened, it's because the models underestimated the warmth of the lower layers of the atmosphere. When I was having that argument with you the models were showing 850s of 8 or 9, thicknesses lower than they are now and lower dewpoints than we're experiencing. The chart which you based your over-simplistic prediction on was an outlier amongst the ensembles - there was one ECM run which showed the 10C 850 isotherm grazing the UK. All the other models showed 850s remaining lower and, with it, the whole lower level of the atmosphere was forecast to be colder. In the end 850s reached 13C over the SE this morning, which is a remarkably poor performance by the models.


It just goes to show that sometimes you end up with something several degrees warmer than any members of the ensemble suite (across all the models) show, and just a few days out at that. It's irritating to see people like you getting plaudits for what was (at the time) a hopelessly unlikely situation - but there you go.


And yes, those are sour grapes before anyone says it! Enjoy your warmth folks, I'm off to sulk.


PS - don't bother replying vince, I won't be reading it. In fact, I won't even be on here for a few days, I'm that fed up with it.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 



Stop taking yourself so seriously it's supposed to be a bit of fun FFS.

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Arctic Hare
09 March 2014 21:32:45
Fantastic day today. Sitting out in the garden in a T-shirt with a book and a cold bitter lemon for two hours -- who'd have imagined that in the second week of March? Maxed out here at 17.3 °C, unsurprisingly the warmest day of the year. Might be a while before it gets quite that warm again, but the week to come looks decent enough.
Medlock Vale Weather
09 March 2014 23:07:58

Maxed at 14.5C here, had some stubborn cloud that did shift to leave a mostly sunny afternoon but I think if it was sunny all day we would of got a bit higher in terms of temperature, still it was a better day than yesterday.

Alan in Medlock Valley - Oldham's frost hollow. 103 metres above sea level.
What is a frost hollow? http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/wxfacts/Frost-hollow.htm 
patricia
09 March 2014 23:43:32

20.3c here at 12.55 today

schmee
10 March 2014 06:49:50
My car temp gauge reading was a consisant 20c Sunday lunch time.
Observations from around GUILDFORD in SURREY and now Nottingham
ARTzeman
10 March 2014 08:19:06

High for 09-04-2014  came in at 19.4c  at  13:11





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Andy Woodcock
10 March 2014 08:25:50
High temperatures reached northern England yesterday, I was in Huddersfield and the temperature reached 18.6c and I sat outside and had a pub lunch! Different at home in Penrith which was cloudy and just 11c..typical.

Today it's the other way round however, warm and sunny in penrith but cloudier further south.

Andy
Andy Woodcock
Penrith
Cumbria

Altitude 535 feet

"Why are the British so worried about climate change? Any change to their climate can only be an improvement" John Daley 2001
Frost Hollow
10 March 2014 08:42:17

We were sat at 6c most of the afternoon yesterday 

Stormchaser
10 March 2014 09:02:09

The current satellite imagery looks more like the GFS cloud cover forecast than the Met Office (and Euro-4) one.


That could mean sunny spells lasting until later in the afternoon down here, which is a nice bonus as it was predicted on the morning BBC TV forecasts to be largely cloudy from around 10am.

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
picturesareme
10 March 2014 09:16:50

The current satellite imagery looks more like the GFS cloud cover forecast than the Met Office (and Euro-4) one.
That could mean sunny spells lasting until later in the afternoon down here, which is a nice bonus as it was predicted on the morning BBC TV forecasts to be largely cloudy from around 10am.

Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 



It's fairly cloudy over portsmouth atm. Though if it thins a little and with gentle north/northeast winds I think 16-18C somewhere along the south coast is entirely possible.
The 8am cycle this morning to work felt a lot milder then the 8am temperatures at Solent and thorney where indicating.
picturesareme
10 March 2014 15:06:41
Yep 16-18C along the south coast as been reached. Well I'm guessing 18C had been, it certainly feels warm enough and with 17.4C at 2pm @ Solent I think it's a fair guess.

With plenty if sunshine and northeast based winds over the next few days I think the 14&15's been forecasted for this region might just end up being somewhat under come the time.

Stormchaser
10 March 2014 15:52:48

Just up the road in Salisbury it has been reportedly cloudy since noon, and the satellite imagery supports this. Temperatures never got much above 12*C.


Here, it stayed sunny until 2pm, which allowed temperatures to climb into the mid-teens. Over the past 110 minutes, however, the temperature has dropped markedly to just below 10*C, and there's a bit of a damp chill in the air.


It's just starting to brighten up again now, with occasional blue sky visible. I'll most likely be waiting until at least tomorrow for another visit to the mid-teens, however.

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
ARTzeman
10 March 2014 16:28:44

Sunny early. Then grey. High today 0f 11.2c at 11.07.   So just on the mild side. 





Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Charmhills
10 March 2014 16:39:51

Much cooler than yesterday with a high of 10c here.

Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.
Medlock Vale Weather
10 March 2014 17:12:32

11.2C the max here today depite glorious sunshine.


And the "solar noon" here was at an angle of 32.5....the sun is really starting to get higher now, I've noticed once it gets to 38.0 and above you can really feel it on your skin, which is around 24th March and onwards here. 

Alan in Medlock Valley - Oldham's frost hollow. 103 metres above sea level.
What is a frost hollow? http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/wxfacts/Frost-hollow.htm 

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