Hello folks,

Here's the Week Ahead video forecast: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html

Here's the Written Thoughts: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/written.html

Still waiting for something (anything) to happen!

Will have the first seasonal model round-up for Winter 14/15 tomorrow, so keep an eye out for that.

Thanks to everyone for their support as always.

EDIT: Here's the first winter 14-15 seasonal model update video:

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/winter15v1.php

Thank You Gavin ..  Mild indeed. For South West ..  Keep the frost away as long as possible...

A good forecast, one that suits me fine - but the one thing that did confuse me is are we in 2009 or 2014?   

PS: The best advice I've been given in terms of being an amateur forecaster is being careful what to wish for in terms of hoping or wanting a change in our weather.

Well somethings going to happen sometime. I just get the feeling that when the Atlantic breaks through we will endure an endless run of storms  to balance out the dry weather. Either that or it will turn exceptionally cold 

thanks Gavin

interesting to note that I read a report the Uk's most severe winters have all been preceded by dry Octobers - food for thought if the dry weather goes on

to add meat to the bone 1927  1939. 1944.  1946. 1962  1978. 2009

Perhaps I was trying to drop a clue about where this fine/dry September could be going?

Thanks all.

Here's today's video update:

First Winter 14-15 Seasonal Model Round-Up:

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/winter15v1.php

Use's 8 long range seasonal models to see what they are showing for the winter at this very early stage.

Enjoy.

Thanks both!

Just to say, for anybody that couldn't watch the video, the first winter 14/15 seasonal model round-up now has it's own page with a written description;

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/winter15v1.php

Does anyone know what the METO were forecasting this time last year?