Hello folks,

Here's the week ahead forecast video: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html

Here's the Written version: http://www.gavsweathervids.com/written.html

Starting exceptionally but much cooler by Tuesday. All eye's on Gonzalo!

Tomorrow's video will be 4th Winter 14/15 update focusing specifically on Siberian snow cover.

Thanks as ever for your support.

EDIT: Here's the fourth winter 14/15 update video: http://www.gavsweathervids.com

 

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Thank you Gavin for the written report.. Leaves will be coming off the trees next week....

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Thankyou Gavin.

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Thanks both!

Here's the fourth Winter 14/15 Update video:

http://www.gavsweathervids.com

Looking at SST's, ENSO, solar and specifically Siberian/Scandinavian snow cover!

Enjoy!

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Thanks Gav, an interesting update and a few more positives than negatives going forward  into winter with regards too a potential  cold blocked winter at times. The uptick in solar activity could prove very useful if this OPI forecasts comes in negative  and we end up on the right side of any HLB, an active southerly tracking jet and big block to our N/NE/NW.

Good video Gav

 

Cheers

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so informative! great videos Gavin,here's to a freezing winter (hopefully!)

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thanks Gavin

a bit more encouraging for winter fans than last weeks horror show

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Thanks Gav, always look forward to your updates.

Hey Gav

 

Seen this and thought it might be relevant to your Modoki analysis

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/e/elnmodoki/elnm_observations.html 

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Thanks Russ.Looks interesting. 

Thanks for comment all.

Just to say have added fourth winter update with a written summary to my winter update page;

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/nao14-15.php#here …

So if you can't watch the video you can still get the gist of it. 

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Thanks for taking the trouble to provide a write-up.

Thanks too for the reminder about the solar cycle beiing a nagging worry for this winter in the UK. But I like to take solace in 1990-1. That winter was similarly just starting the downward slope from the peak of a cycle (and with a sunspot number double what we have at present). Yet it saw a memorable winter, with snow, storms and snow again with severe frost. Hundreds of thousands without power, water supplies cut off and extreme traffic disruption.

The Feb. cold was thanks to the Russian high extending westwards, the one thing you might not expect if it were true that solar activity at this stage of the cycle powers up the jet.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/archives/archives.php?day=8&month=2&year=1991&hour=0&map=1&mode=0 

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