The final month of autumn already! Will it leave us with strong memories, good or bad? I know which I would prefer...

For the UK for 1st-30th November 2014 and going by the official Met Office station reports what/when will be:

- The first ice day (maximum temperature 0*C or below)              - The first night falling to or below -5.0*C

- The longest run of days with a minimum temperature of 0*C or below somewhere in the UK?

- The highest UK temperature?              - The lowest UK temperature?

- The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average?              - The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA?

Could I please have all entries by noon Saturday - a little later than normal because on Friday I'll be celebrating another year on this Earth and in no condition to accurately record your predictions.

As ever, good luck to all participants 

Better get my guesses in early to avoid penalties this month.  Here goes!

• The first ice day (maximum temperature 0*C or below)    28th


• The first night falling to or below -5.0*C  15th


• The longest run of days with a minimum temperature of 0*C or below somewhere in the UK?  8


• The highest UK temperature?   17.5c


• The lowest UK temperature?  -5.5c


• The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average?     90%


• The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA?  90%

The first ice day: Will not be one

The first night falling to or below -5.0*C: 23rd

The longest run of days with a minimum temperature of 0*C or below somewhere in the UK: 4

The highest UK temperature? 20.4C

The lowest UK temperature? -7.1C

The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average? 134%

The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA? 84%

The first ice day: N/A

The first night falling to or below -5.0 C  29th

The longest run of days with a minimum temperature of 0*C or below somewhere in the UK: 6

The highest UK temperature? 17.4c

The lowest UK temperature? -6.2c

The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average? 110%

The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA? 95%

I have a go;

The first ice day (maximum temperature 0 C or below) = will not occur

The first night falling to or below -5.0 C = 29th

The longest run of days with a minimum temperature of 0*C or below somewhere in the UK: 4

The highest UK temperature? = 20.5 C

The lowest UK temperature? = -6.5 C

The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average? = 88%

The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA? = 92%

The first ice day    18th.   

The 1st night to or below -5c.    18th.

The longest run of minimum 0c. or below    3 days. 

The highest UK temperature 21.0c.

The  lowest Uk  temperature  -6.2c.

The LTA of rainfall   92%.

The LTA  of sunshine  84%...

There endeth my prediction.

Bump..

For the UK for 1st-30th November 2014 and going by the official Met Office station reports what/when will be:

•   The first ice day (maximum temperature 0*C or below)   no ice days           -


•   The first night falling to or below -5.0*C  5th


•   The longest run of days with a minimum temperature of 0*C or below somewhere in the UK? 3


•   The highest UK temperature?  20.2c          


•   The lowest UK temperature? -7c


•   The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average? 105%            


•   The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA? 85%

___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Gary

For the UK for 1st-30th November 2014 and going by the official Met Office station reports what/when will be:

• The first ice day (maximum temperature 0*C or below)  none          


• The first night falling to or below -5.0*C 5th


• The longest run of days with a minimum temperature of 0*C or below somewhere in the UK? 5


• The highest UK temperature?  18.3            


• The lowest UK temperature? -5.1


• The rainfall as a percentage of the long term average? 110%            


• The sunshine as a percentage of the LTA? 95%

Have a great birthday SC! I hope you have an awful hangover tomorrow

I'm afraid there's no hangover here Rob, got an earache instead 

Here's my predictions:

First Ice Day 28th     First -5*C or Below 24th     Longest Run Hitting 0*C or Below 14 Days     

Highest UK Temperature 18.2*C     Lowest UK Temperature -7.7*C

% Average Rainfall 121     % Average Sunshine 114

Deadline is Noon Today - Still Two Hours Left to Enter 

Here we go then, it's November already!  Good luck everyone! 

Happy birthday for yesterday SC!  Sorry, I didn't read all your OP because I was in such a hurry to get my guesses in.  Hope you had a good one!   

Thanks for all the predictions - and the Birthday wish Caz 

The maximum of 18.7*C at Writtle on 1st November will take some beating this month, in fact I'd be astounded if it was, given that the next mild weather will be from a week into the month and doesn't look nearly as pronounced.

In which case, it's well done to Rob for landing closest, scoring 1 point, while its 2 points for me and three for Schmee - nicely done  

A real split in expectations for rainfall this month; we have four predictions for wetter than average, four for drier than average, and one for near average.

The vast majority have gone for below average sunshine, just two for above average.

I agree Rob.  Never rule out record breakers as we have had quite a lot in the past few years.  It has felt much colder today though and more like November and no doubt the most seasonal month since summer. 

Rescued from page 3! 

I am a bit confused (it doesn't take much) as to why so many have predicted 'no ice days' this month, when there's already snow in the Scottish mountains.  Are there any official stations in those areas? 

Hmm.  Thanks Rob.  Well, as my guesses are just stabs in the dark, I'm not to be taken seriously.  If I get it right, I'm just lucky, or maybe I'm just long in the tooth and have lived through more seasons than most of you.  

Just wondering if we've met or passed any of our categories yet?

I think I've well underestimated the rain this month. 

There hasn't been an ice day anywhere yet, which is quite unusual, and there hasn't been a -5*C or below either 

The longest run of temperatures hitting 0*C or below somewhere in the UK is just 4, which is also lower than an average sort of November tends to bring.

For me this is hardly surprising though, given this is the second mildest November in my series going back to 2003. Yawn.

Could well be a -5 tonight

It looks like we'll get a frost tonight as the temp is already down to 2.4c, so I might be scraping my windscreen for only the second morning this month. 

Another good frost this morning and it took a long time to clear in the shade.  The temp was down to -2 here at daybreak, so I wonder if somewhere managed -5c.