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31 October 2014 21:59:55

My attention is now turning to the next possible date record.


We almost certainly won't break the record for the highest Nov 1 temperature tomorrow which is 19.7C. However we could see temperatures exceed 18C locally in and around the Thames Estuary - for example at Gravesend. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/runs/2014103112/nmm_uk1-41-25-0.png?31-18


What is of more interest is a possible all time November highest minimum temperature record. This record is currently held by Eastbourne at 15.9C on 3 November 2005. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/climate-extremes/#?tab=climateExtremes


The question is can we get a station somewhere to stay at 16C or above overnight tonight. Seems possible given the cold front is not expected to clear the far south east until lunchtime tomorrow http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/bracknell+24.gif


However, many locations in the SE have already dipped below 16C at some point today. Further west temperatures have held up under cloud cover all day. Many places in Wales and SW England have been above 16C constantly since 9z this morning. Problem is they will probably be west of the cold front before 9z tomorrow and hence fall back below 16C.


Best chance will be somewhere in Central Southern England on the Channel coast. Possible candidates at the moment include Swanage and St Catherine's Point for example. Further east Thorney Island has fallen well below 16C already so there is a narrow window along the Dorset and west Hampshire / Isle of Wight coast where we might set that November record. I suspect Swanage may be too far west by 09z so my money is on St Catherine's Point at the moment.

Deluxe
31 October 2014 22:06:49


Incredible conditions today despite it not being overly sunny. It was still 19c when I left Manchester an hour ago. It was surreal walking around in a T shirt with the a warm breeze blowing. Back at home now and its 17c and clearish. Could easily be a June night!


Originally Posted by: snow 2004 


Yeah same here dude went out to grab party drinks a few hours ago and conditions were amazingly warm for here. Shame I'm too old for trick or treating now 

ARTzeman
31 October 2014 23:13:30

Still 17c. in Yeovolton with 18c in the Bournemouth area.






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Others just get wet.
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RobR
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31 October 2014 23:53:29

It was dull and overcast all day in Stoke but it felt warm on the evening dog walk. A humid feel, most odd with all the trick and treaters around (and there were tons tonight!).


Just wished I could have seen some sun, particulary as the garden is so wet from the weeks of rain and I really need one last mow of the lawn. I noticed some flowers are still out though.


Winter 23/24 in Nantwich
Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 3rd December 23 (2cm)



Winter 22/23 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th March (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 10th March

Winter 21/22 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 3
Days Snow Lying: 1
Deepest Snowfall: 28th November (3cm)
Latest Snowfall: 31st March

Winter 20/21 in Solihull

Days Snow Falling: 21
Days Snow Lying: 8
Deepest Snowfall: 24th January (9cm)
Latest Snowfall: 12th April

Winter 19/20 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 5
Days Snow Lying: 2
Deepest Snowfall: 10th Feb (5cm)

Winter 18/19 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 6
Days Snow Lying: 6
Deepest Snowfall: 29th Jan (3cm)

Winter 17/18 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 27
Days Snow Lying: 24
Deepest Snowfall: 18th March 2018 (10cm)
snow 2004
01 November 2014 00:19:34
Temp had dropped to 16.1c but has shot up again to 16.7c. That will probably be our lot as the rain has just started. What an incredible shortlived spell of warmth.
Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
Whether Idle
01 November 2014 06:50:19

Great to see the events of yesterday getting plenty of positive and well informed coverage in the digital media.  Just goes to show what an amazing weather event we have just experienced.  For me, as I have said, yesterday was one of the most extraordinary weather days in my experience.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Jive Buddy
01 November 2014 09:50:24

It was a perfect day for ambling around Canterbury, watching the girls go by.....


It's not over, until the fat Scandy sinks.....

Location: St. Mary Cray, S.E. London border with Kent.
Solar Cycles
01 November 2014 09:56:42

Highest it got here was 18.6 c before dropping to 18.0c shortly after 1pm, nowhere near breaking the record around here probably down to the fact that it was a dreary day.

Stormchaser
01 November 2014 10:03:41

http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&ind=03770&decoded=yes&ndays=2&ano=2014&mes=11&day=01&hora=06


This is the highest minimum I can find, 15.8*C at St James Park.


Can anyone find a higher reading or did we just miss out on the record?


Regardless, the diurnal mean there is an incredible 19.5*C!

Down here, a mean that high has only happened 3 times since the start of August - though of course it does tend to be cooler here than in London.


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Matty H
01 November 2014 10:06:44

21.6c in South Glos yesterday. An amazing spell of weather. After last night's bit of drizzly stuff we now have crystal clear skies and sunshine again. Best bit is ever day of this eats a little bit further into autumn and then hopefully winter. 


idj20
01 November 2014 10:25:30


21.6c in South Glos yesterday. An amazing spell of weather. After last night's bit of drizzly stuff we now have crystal clear skies and sunshine again. Best bit is ever day of this eats a little bit further into autumn and then hopefully winter. 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 



^ That as well. Not to mention not having to turn the central heating on.

Even though temperatures levelled out at 18.6 C here at my little coastal location yesterday, that is still remarkable given the time frame, it felt wrong and yet so right how I wanted to wear a T shirt and shorts. Even my elderly mother, who tend to feel the cold, complained about how humid it felt and asked me to open the window for her.  

So, yes. I am appreciating this extended spell of warmth, especially now that I no longer work in a greenhouse. But (there is always a "but" with me), I've had to spend a fair bit of money on proper flea treatment and flea spray from the vet as the mild weather is causing the flea population to flourish courtesy of my kitty.


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Charmhills
01 November 2014 10:50:10



 the sun has the same strength as in early February at the moment.

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


Yes but what today shows is the thermal lag in the climatic conditions. 


What Gavin P says, you have to take that into account.


Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 


Quite right Kevin.


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Gray-Wolf
01 November 2014 11:14:54

What would be interesting is if we see a similar trough over the US through this winter again with the odd PV migration? If the Invigorated Jet then ploughed north of us we'd have the chance of drawing in similar balmy airs throughout winter? There is a lot of heat in those equatorial oceans and all we need is a decent transport north for them!


For every sag south the PV makes surely we get an equal amount of warm air advected North? We just need to be under that air ( and south of the rain bands!!!).


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Gavin P
01 November 2014 11:37:22




 the sun has the same strength as in early February at the moment.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


Yes but what today shows is the thermal lag in the climatic conditions. 


What Gavin P says, you have to take that into account.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


It is wise to always take what Gavin says into account in my experience


Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 


They didn't call me "The Thinking Man's Gary Sarre" for nothing!


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01 November 2014 12:50:58


http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&ind=03770&decoded=yes&ndays=2&ano=2014&mes=11&day=01&hora=06


This is the highest minimum I can find, 15.8*C at St James Park.


Can anyone find a higher reading or did we just miss out on the record?


Regardless, the diurnal mean there is an incredible 19.5*C!

Down here, a mean that high has only happened 3 times since the start of August - though of course it does tend to be cooler here than in London.


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 


I am fairly sure that is the highest minimum. So we just missed the record.

four
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01 November 2014 13:28:23
Quantum
01 November 2014 14:06:54

18C quite widely in the SE atm, what's the November record?


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
ozone_aurora
01 November 2014 15:13:27


18C quite widely in the SE atm, what's the November record?


Originally Posted by: Quantum 


I believe it was 21.7 C (71.0 F) in Prestatyn (Clwyd), on 4th, 1946 (please correct me if I'm wrong).

bledur
01 November 2014 18:25:24


Simon Keeling mini-rant
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyJpS8g2sco


Originally Posted by: four 

Dont really understand what he is beefing about. THere was a plume of very warm air over the country and in those situations some locations will always record a  higher temperature than others . I can find differences of maybe one or two degrees on different locations in a small area round here in certain weather conditions.

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