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JACKO4EVER
11 January 2015 17:48:31
Countryfile forecast tonight should be entertaining to say the least. High winds, rain, sleet and some hill snow along with the kitchen sink thrown in for good measure!
Gooner
11 January 2015 17:58:37

Countryfile forecast tonight should be entertaining to say the least. High winds, rain, sleet and some hill snow along with the kitchen sink thrown in for good measure!

Originally Posted by: JACKO4EVER 


Most interesting one of the Winter I should imagine Jacko, not some hill snow I would say an awful lot


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


JACKO4EVER
11 January 2015 18:27:07


 


Most interesting one of the Winter I should imagine Jacko, not some hill snow I would say an awful lot


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


yeh, perhaps a lot for Scotland, but not much for southern parts of England I wouldn't have thought?

Gooner
11 January 2015 20:03:13


 


yeh, perhaps a lot for Scotland, but not much for southern parts of England I wouldn't have thought?


Originally Posted by: JACKO4EVER 


Im not sure anyone ever did Jacko


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


JACKO4EVER
11 January 2015 20:20:30


 


Im not sure anyone ever did Jacko


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


good stuff, don't want you coldies too disappointed!


very vague ending to the week on Countryfile, nothing other than "cold" was the theme. Quite understandable given the possible trajectories of the midweek low. 


 

Whiteout
12 January 2015 10:26:51

Latest update from the Beeb for the next two weeks:



Monday 12 January—Sunday 18 January

Cold and windy for much of the time.

The week will get underway on a windy note, with yet another Atlantic low drifting past the northwest of the UK. The good news is that this system should stay much further to the northwest in comparison to those of last week, but nevertheless, there will still be scope for some very windy conditions, particularly for the Northern Isles and parts of southeast Scotland and northeast England. Rain will accompany the strong winds, but the rain should slowly clear into the south through the day, leaving much of northern Britain back in cold air. Indeed, some wintry showers will cross the north of the UK at times as Monday progresses.


Monday's rain should eventually clear the southeast of England on Tuesday morning, leaving a very chilly couple of days as we approach mid-week. It looks like there will be a mixture of sunny spells and wintry showers for all areas through much of Tuesday and Wednesday, which is likely to lead to some accumulating snow, even to low levels in one or two places, particularly (but not exclusively!) in the north.


By late Wednesday/early Thursday, our attention turns to an area of low pressure set to sweep in from the Atlantic bringing a particularly wet and windy spell, with widespread gales and the risk of some prolonged heavy rain. There is also a risk that some northern areas of the UK could see a spell of snowfall, at least for a time.


By the end of the week though, the low should clear away towards Scandinavia, with the return of a cold west or northwesterly airstream, and the further risk of some snow showers and overnight frosts.




Monday 19 January—Sunday 25 January

There's just no let up!

The wintry feel that marked the end of the previous week is forecast to continue into the early part of what will be the final full week of January. Most places should see a continuation of the cold feel, with strong winds adding a further chill to the air. There will also be some good sunny spells around (particularly across eastern parts), but wintry showers which could well fall as snow to fairly low levels at times will again threaten many western and northern areas at times. This colder interlude is then expected to be followed by yet another Atlantic low-pressure system that threatens to bring heavy rain, and widespread gales to our shores. Once the system clears away to the east, the cold air is expected to move in again, and the pattern repeats. More cold weather and the threat of wintry showers! The latest forecasts do indeed suggest that quieter weather seems to be at a premium as we approach the end of the month.


smile



Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Whiteout
12 January 2015 11:24:32

Snow/Ice warning up for S/SW areas:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Whiteout
12 January 2015 13:53:12

Hmmm, maybe the snow distribution is changing as per latest Euro 4, my Met area forecast now has some heavy snow symbols for Tue pm and Wed am rather than light snow, we will see.


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Whiteout
12 January 2015 14:54:58

latest tweet from Fergie:



 ·  9m 9 minutes ago


W COUNTRY Tues brings a much colder day: between 5-10C less than today's values. Consistent snow signal in latest high-resolution modelling



Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Gooner
12 January 2015 18:31:14


 


good stuff, don't want you coldies too disappointed!


very vague ending to the week on Countryfile, nothing other than "cold" was the theme. Quite understandable given the possible trajectories of the midweek low. 


 


Originally Posted by: JACKO4EVER 


Just seen the 18:25 forecast , I don't think I will be disappointed


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


JACKO4EVER
12 January 2015 20:35:55


 


Just seen the 18:25 forecast , I don't think I will be disappointed


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


enjoy it Marcus if it comes your way. We had 3 hours of snow on Boxing Day night which is more than enough for me for the entire winter season. Luckily no snow is appearing on any forecast I have seen for my area so that's fine by me!

Essan
12 January 2015 21:13:40


 


Just seen the 18:25 forecast , I don't think I will be disappointed


Originally Posted by: Gooner 



A forecast is not a 100% certainty   
Better to expect to be disappointed, and then be pleasantly surprised


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Matty H
12 January 2015 21:20:55




A forecast is not a 100% certainty   
Better to expect to be disappointed, and then be pleasantly surprised


Originally Posted by: Essan 


Tell my wife that. She's not convinced. 


moomin75
12 January 2015 21:36:35


 


Just seen the 18:25 forecast , I don't think I will be disappointed


Originally Posted by: Gooner 

I bet I will be!


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
warrenb
12 January 2015 21:56:12
They are even cut and pasting the long range forecast on News Channel at the moment. They are playing yesterdays.
Essan
12 January 2015 22:17:02


 Tell my wife that. She's not convinced. 


Originally Posted by: Matty H 




I couldnt possibly comment


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Gooner
12 January 2015 22:51:19

They are even cut and pasting the long range forecast on News Channel at the moment. They are playing yesterdays.

Originally Posted by: warrenb 


Yes, most annoying


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Quantum
12 January 2015 23:22:13

Tbh I'd rather have the outlook marginal and disturbed, than cold enough but dry. 


Anyway plenty of opportunities for snow on the 18Z, looking very promising for the foreseeable future. Pity about wednesday night.


2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Whiteout
13 January 2015 12:23:27

Amber warning for snow in Central and Southern Scotland:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&regionName=dg


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl
Snowedin3
13 January 2015 12:49:17

Wow! talk about a turnaround!, to be fair this has really appeared out of the blue! 


Dean Barnes
Finstock, Chipping Norton, Oxfordshire
160m ASL 525 Ft
AlvinMeister
13 January 2015 13:22:28
Current BBC website forecast not making much of Thursday's potential storm, even though it looked like Glasgow could be hit hard on the charts!
Gooner
13 January 2015 13:41:03

Good forecast from Louise Lear


Hopefully MBY should see a covering in the morning


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Retron
13 January 2015 16:41:21


Wow! talk about a turnaround!, to be fair this has really appeared out of the blue! 


Originally Posted by: Snowedin3 


No, it really hasn't - there has been a cold cluster of runs ever since the 2nd or 3rd. They've sometimes been in the minority, sometimes in the majority, but they've been there throughout. Over the past few days the cold cluster gradually went from having a decent chance of coming off to having a near certainty of coming off.


The Met Office text forecasts were erring on the side of caution it seems.


 


Leysdown, north Kent
idot
  • idot
  • Advanced Member
13 January 2015 17:26:49
"Yellow snow" area extended further east but avoiding the extreme South coast.
kmoorman
13 January 2015 17:28:23

"Yellow snow" area extended further east but avoiding the extreme South coast.

Originally Posted by: idot 


 


I live within 15 miles of that coast - I guess I'm extreme (in the context of the subject we're discussing).  I wonder whether the South Downs might provide just enough height?


Home: Durrington, Worthing, West Sussex. (16 ASL)
Work: Canary Wharf, London
Follow me on Twitter @kmoorman1968

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