10.65c

Just joining in the fun & taking a wild punt...

9.77 for me please.

10.44 for me please

10.15c please GW.

Hard to believe I underestimated last year. Give the warmth and relative lack of rainfall so far this winter, the 1989/90 feel to things, the chance of a El Nino and nothing (I can see) to force temps down I'll go high again.

11C please.

10.6 for me please.

Still time to make a prediction for 2015 if you want to take part. I am keeping this open until Monday evening.

Here are the predictions so far. I have amended some of them as we had a number of duplications. The first person who picked a particular figure gets to keep it. Anyone who subsequently picked the same figure as had their prediction amended to the nearest available figure.

Hope I'm wrong, but I'm going for a cool guess. Every hot year recently seems to be followed by a cold one.

9.85C

We end the first month of the year close to average.

cheers GW, I wonder if it will be stickied this time!

After two months we are bang on average when compared to the 1971-2000 mean. A bit below when using the 1981-2010 figures.

Got a 4.4c Anomaly  -1.3c. at the moment....

looks like this month will be near average as well.

Wonder if this will be stickied by 2016!! I had to go and hunt for it. 

My Annual reads 5.0c. Anomaly -0.7c.  ....

So 3 very average months in a row. Currently we are 0.05C above the 1971-2000 mean but nearly 0.2C below the 1981-2010 mean

My own backyard annual reads 6.3c. Difference of 0.3c.    NOAA Annual Report.

Sorry forgot to post an update last month. Here is the May update. Overall we are very close to average for 2015.

0.10C above the 1971-2000 mean and 0.20C below the 1981-2010 mean

Here is the June update. A very close to average month compared to the 1971-2000 mean although 0.5C below the 1981-2010 mean.

Overall 2015 remains very close to average.

Another below average month. We are now very slightly below the 1971-2000 mean and one-third of a degree below the 1981-2010 mean for 2015 as a whole.

The first 7 months of 2015 are the 3rd coldest since 1996.

Coldest first 7 months of the year since 1996:

2013  8.45C
2010  8.87C
2015  9.21C
2001  9.23C

August was the fourth below average month in a row. Overall the 2015 CET mean stays slightly below the 1971-2000 mean.

Here is the September update. Biggest anomaly of the year in September. I have switched the anomaly chart to the 1981-2010 mean. This shows that every month bar April has been below average this year.

We are now almost 0.5C below average for the year compared to the 1981-2010 mean. Fifth coldest first nine months of the year since 1987 (1991, 1996, 2010 and 2013 were colder)