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overland
  • overland
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
25 January 2015 15:25:27

Whilst there is merit in taking a realistic view of the models there has to be a place for ramping. For me age and life has dulled both the positives and negatives of the weather, but I see nothing wrong in being emotional about it. I can remember the bitter disappointment of waking up (it also seemed to be overnight) after a promising forecast to the noise of rain drops, and looking out on a dull grey miserable landscape. However, the one massive benefit of these let downs was that it made the wonder and joy all the more powerful when it did actually snow.  When I was younger (the pre internet days) I was obsessed with the weather and, of course, information was scarce. Therefore, you had to rely on such things as the twice daily ceefax weather updates, or staying awake until 12.30am to listen to the late night Radio 4 forecast.


I used to work in the centre of Birmingham and during the lunch break I would often go and hang around the audio visual section in Rackhams to catch the weather on the BBC1 at the end of the lunchtime news. The staff must have thought I was very interested in their TVs! This was often, but not exclusively, on Wednesdays when they did the outlook for the weekend. In hindsight this seems bizarre, but at the time I just had to get my fix! Therefore, I would say that there is absolutely no problem in people getting emotional and taking their feet of the ground so to speak, otherwise it just ends up as a dull academic exercise.


In the model output thread you do have people posting cherry picked charts of cold weather, but for some reason this does seem to upset some people. This is not meant as a personal attack on Brian as there are a number of other posters who do it, but he posted one chart today showing mild weather, admitting that the reason he posted it was because of the predominance of cold charts posted. If you actively crave mild weather in winter then fine post the mildest charts you can find. However, I don’t think you should post such a chart simply because other people take pleasure in posting the most extreme cold permutations. It’s what makes the weather so exciting.


In my opinion, emotion is what makes life exciting with its peaks and troughs (pun intended!). In some ways I personally would love to go back to the time when I was emotionally involved, so that I would once again, experience the crushing disappointment of a non event, as this would then make the rare snowy occasions all the more enjoyable. Therefore, my all means be realistic, but also please don’t be afraid of a good ramp!


Mumbles, Swansea. 80m asl
Stormchaser
25 January 2015 18:15:38

An interesting insight into past eras there 


 


I feel the main problem with ramping is, the bigger the ramp, the bigger the slide if it all goes pear shaped.


It's good fun raising expectations higher and higher, but that can lead to some bad backlash if statements like "memorable cold spell" get thrown around only to not bear fruit in reality.


Still, it does make for a compelling read, as I can recall from the run-up to December 2010 for example.


I guess this is why some sites have a dedicated 'ramping thread', with the hope that readers will be able to (almost religiously) apply the usual caveats and not take the content too seriously.


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doctormog
25 January 2015 18:26:03

James I think you should register that phrase...


"The bigger the ramp, the bigger the slide" 


Whether Idle
25 January 2015 20:04:02

Good post Overland.  It will strike a chord with many of us I think.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Andy Woodcock
26 January 2015 07:23:31

Standing outside Radio Rentals watching the lunch time forecast even though I couldn't hear the sound! Done that often but we forget how scarce was weather information pre internet.

I agree with need emotion otherwise it would be like doing a Open University course with dry analysis. I like the ramp and I am so used to the let downs I enjoy the Black Humour that comes with them as well.

My wife once asked me if she had ever met Uncle Barty and did we invite him to the wedding! With a smile on my face I said no but he always wants to come for Christmas to which she gave me that 'your going mad' look and walked off.

I read and post on hear as much for the shared experience as for the meteorological information and the humour and banter is just as important, over on Netweather it can sometimes be like a dictatorship devoid of emotion which I think is a bad thing. I have enough of serious, full of themselves but brainless people at work, on here I want some friendship.

Andy


PS What was the cede fax updates and how were they accessed?


Andy Woodcock
Penrith
Cumbria

Altitude 535 feet

"Why are the British so worried about climate change? Any change to their climate can only be an improvement" John Daley 2001
Saint Snow
26 January 2015 10:02:30

This site has, over the years, become far more realistic & sensible. I remember the days when so many (me included) would whip themselves up into a frenzy of ramping at the first sight of -5c 850's or pressure building over Scandinavia appearing in the distant fringes of GFS runs. All this led by people like Tom Presutti, who came across as being a meteorological magi, but was, as we eventually realised, just an excitable ramper with a solid met knowledge.


When a cold/snowy period was in the offing in the early/mid-00's on here, there would literally be people posting their thoughts on every single 6/12-hourly increment as it rolled out, pointing out and explaining changes from the previous run.


There'll always be a place for ramping, and I think now the vast majority of people on here can discern when ramping is taking place.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Solar Cycles
26 January 2015 10:31:00


This site has, over the years, become far more realistic & sensible. I remember the days when so many (me included) would whip themselves up into a frenzy of ramping at the first sight of -5c 850's or pressure building over Scandinavia appearing in the distant fringes of GFS runs. All this led by people like Tom Presutti, who came across as being a meteorological magi, but was, as we eventually realised, just an excitable ramper with a solid met knowledge.


When a cold/snowy period was in the offing in the early/mid-00's on here, there would literally be people posting their thoughts on every single 6/12-hourly increment as it rolled out, pointing out and explaining changes from the previous run.


There'll always be a place for ramping, and I think now the vast majority of people on here can discern when ramping is taking place.


 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

Lol, unfortunately for us in the NW ramping is rarely an issue.

Saint Snow
26 January 2015 10:38:08


Lol, unfortunately for us in the NW ramping is rarely an issue.


Originally Posted by: Solar Cycles 


 


Give over. 


Seriously, if this week's synoptics had been showing in, say, winter 2002 or 2003, TWO would have been in meltdown with an enormous amount of ramping obliterating any sensible discussion.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
overland
  • overland
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
26 January 2015 13:44:35


PS What was the cede fax updates and how were they accessed?


Originally Posted by: Andy Woodcock 


Hi Andy, It was the Teletext service on the BBC (Ceefax not cede!) with the weather updated each day, every morning and late afternoon. At the time it was the height of technology and it was reasonably accurate and informative. Other than the radio and TV it was the only other source of forecasts. They used to use coloured coded maps to illustrate the weather between areas and they used (I think) purples for particularly cold weather!


Mumbles, Swansea. 80m asl
Arcus
26 January 2015 13:54:29


 


Hi Andy, It was the Teletext service on the BBC (Ceefax not cede!) with the weather updated each day, every morning and late afternoon. At the time it was the height of technology and it was reasonably accurate and informative. Other than the radio and TV it was the only other source of forecasts. They used to use coloured coded maps to illustrate the weather between areas and they used (I think) purples for particularly cold weather!


Originally Posted by: overland 


 


Ahhh... happy days...




Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
overland
  • overland
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
26 January 2015 14:09:20


 


 


Ahhh... happy days...




Originally Posted by: Arcus 


 


Fond memories! Although I remember when they first introduced those five day forecasts they were often worse than useless, frequently showing higher night time temperatures than day!


Mumbles, Swansea. 80m asl
Stormchaser
26 January 2015 21:49:33


Ahhh... happy days...




Originally Posted by: Arcus 


I remember how dramatic it seemed when it showed 'hy rain' or 'sunny' for all of the five days listed. Somehow more effective than seeing five heavy rain or sunshine icons these days. Or maybe that's just me!


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Essan
27 January 2015 22:00:41


Standing outside Radio Rentals watching the lunch time forecast even though I couldn't hear the sound! Done that often but we forget how scarce was weather information pre internet.


Originally Posted by: Andy Woodcock 





We sometimes forget how it was in the old days, though the forecast for farmers on Countryfile still plays its part (always annoyed me it only went out to Friday, when I was going away the weekend!)

Edit: of course, the arrival of Ceefax was like manna from heaven!    Though in retrospect it was just a very very basic version of the meaningless not-a-forecast rubbish you get on mobile phone aps ....


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA

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