He has an MSc in rampology and a PhD in wishcasting... but we love him 

I'm not a fan. Some members on netweather have habit of turning  certain members  into godlike figures.

I'll do a snow risk map tonight circa midnight. Though the story hasn't changed imo, if you are Yorkshire northwards or in the west your chance is good. 

That's why one or two others post on there. 

Steve makes an enjoyable read though

It would be nice have an evolution from the forecast northertlies to a Scandi HP or another northerly.Looking at GEFS at 192,240and 360h t the chances of this happening are  best 30%.

Yes

Ive never been welcomed

Glass half full but it took a while before GFS decided it was going to get cold this week

Will be interesting to see both how the cold spell plays out in terms of snow distribution and also post spell evolution. There's been a few runs exploring the idea of UK based highs and as you say a few of the ens go on to build the HP over scandi. (ECM 240 seems to be heading that way).

I'm assuming the milder majority are flatter zonal types (must admit not looked yet) but as this week has shown occasionally the form horse loses

I guess down here and looking at snow I'm reliant on a decaying trough bringing a few flurries from the west, a bit of back edge stuff or lucking out on a trough or similar wandering over me if winds back more Northerly or temporarily north easterly. Thems in more favoured Northern and Western spots may well have more fun however

Longer term might turn out to be one of those occasions where complications in the form of shortwaves do us a great favour by scuppering a clean merger of the Sibeiran and Canadian polar vortex lobes, and distributing energy widely enough to prevent the jet from powering up much.

If this is to be the case, resolution shortfalls suggest that the ensembles won't do a great job of picking it up until nearer the time. One to keep an eye on while the weekend/next week situation unfolds.

FWIW, the latest model runs generally seem a little more promising for some snow falling tomorrow morning across the far south - but little to indicate more than slight, transient accumulations away from higher ground.

agreed, but I havent a clue if he knows what he's talking about or not, impressive to read at least but if he was right more often than not we would be in an ice age! Shame really!

Fools!!   Have they not recognised that the true Messiah is on here, and his name be Quantum, and Matty be his prophet...

Welcome to TWO, Gooner 

I don't know what to say

Thank you

Regular on Netweather apparently, good to have him over here.......something about JFF.....

hoping GFS WILL BE RIGHT WITH REGArDS TOMORROW night down here, it's certainly consistent, but maybe consistently wrong with the snow projection charts....

Latest EURO4 is a bit more keen on some bands of snow down south

Don't hold your breath, we southerners may get a little here and there but I suspect not much, great to be wrong though

Seeing the BBC outlook day time temps of 5-6c is very cold mmmmm.

Interesting development on the 18Z GFS. Making much more of the slider coming down all the way from the southern tip of Greenland until it ends up here!
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1381.gif

Latest 96h fax

This is where our attention should be in these situations,  a nice front heading South on Saturday

Some Western areas could do very well from this